Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Red Wings

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the Detroit Red Wings in this NHL matchup at Little Caesars Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, October 17. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

When the Lightning meet the Red Wings, we’re not expecting the scoreboard to tick over too much. Odds of -130 are available for Under 6.5 goals and that makes appeal.

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Tampa Bay Lightning suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-2 (OT) scoreline occurred on the road at Capital One Arena against Washington Capitals. Brayden Point and Jake Guentzel each scored one goal.

Detroit Red Wings last game was a 4-1 home win. This victory over Florida Panthers at Little Caesars Arena was their third successive victory. Mason Appleton scored two goals, with Patrick Kane and Michael Rasmussen also scoring. Goalie Cam Talbot had a great game and ended up with 20 saves (.952).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 4-3 in favor of the Red Wings when they last played the Lightning, with the encounter taking place at Benchmark International Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Red Wings victories.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-6-2	2.3	.916	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

John Gibson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-7-1	3.6	.869	0
23/24	13-27-1	3.54	.888	0

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.5 goals from 22.3 shots on goal, with a 10.9% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 3.9 goals from 27.6 shots, averaging 4.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.2%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, with Brayden Point racking up 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.57 goal against average with a .870 save percentage.

The Red Wings have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 28.9 shots on goal, with a 17.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.2 goals from 25.2 shots, averaging 2.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.0%.

Dylan Larkin and Alex DeBrincat have scored the most points on 11, with each player managing 4 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Cam Talbot have a 2.72 GAA with a .892 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction & Picks

This expert Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

We’re going under the line in this NHL clash. Our pick is available at -130 and we’re expecting the teams to find the net six times or less.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our NHL analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our hockey predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Lightning vs Red Wings stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Red Wings games at home.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Red Wings games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Red Wings games.

Under 6.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of landing a return. However, our analysts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s the option to place a Bet Builder should you want to bet on Under but also combine this with other selections. The big upside is that you can land a bigger return if the wager wins.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -130 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alex DeBrincat Over 2.5 Shots -161

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings) has finished with Over 2.5 shots on goal in 6 straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Goal and you can get -161 that he goes over the line.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 2 - 3 Red Wings

There are odds of +950 available that the Red Wings land a 3-2 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Red Wings

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Red Wings

+6000

2-0

Lightning

+5000

Red Wings

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1500

Red Wings

+1700

3-0

Lightning

+3000

Red Wings

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+1800

Red Wings

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+850

Red Wings

+950

4-0

Lightning

+3500

Red Wings

+5500

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Red Wings

+2000

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Red Wings

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+950

Red Wings

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+6000

Red Wings

+9000

5-1

Lightning

+2000

Red Wings

+3300

5-2

Lightning

+1400

Red Wings

+2000

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Red Wings

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+1800

Red Wings

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+9000

Red Wings

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+7500

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Red Wings

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2400

Red Wings

+3300

6-4

Lightning

+4000

Red Wings

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+4500

7-1

Lightning

+7500

Red Wings

+12500

7-2

Lightning

+6000

Red Wings

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+6600

7-4

Lightning

+5500

Red Wings

+7000

7-5

Lightning

+9000

Red Wings

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+11000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+12500

8-5

Lightning

+12000

Red Wings

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tampa Bay Lightning have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability due to their -161 Moneyline betting odds. At +132, Detroit Red Wings are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -141.

The best betting apps provide an extensive range of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. Take the time to explore all your options before placing your bet to ensure you find the best value.

Moneyline

Lightning

-161

Red Wings

+132

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+106

Tie

+340

Red Wings

+195

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+154

Red Wings +1.5

-192

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+112

Over 5.5

-141

If you have a view on Goalscorers, Assists, Shots on Goal, Powerplay Points, Blocked Shots or Saves, then the goalie and player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.7
• Blocks: 12.6
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 19.2
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.5
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 17.1
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 33.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14.5
• Blocks: 15.7
• Faceoff Wins : 33.9
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 15.9
• Faceoff Wins : 32.8
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 3.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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