Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Red Wings

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena, with face-off scheduled for 12:00 on Friday, November 28.

We’re keeping things simple by backing the Lightning on the Moneyline. The visitors should have the edge over the Red Wings and our betting prediction is available at -120.

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Tampa Bay Lightning have won their previous five games. The latest was a 5-1 home triumph at Benchmark International Arena against Calgary Flames. Nikita Kucherov was one of five different players on the scoresheet. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was red hot in the net, stopping 32 shots (.970).

Detroit Red Wings have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Little Caesars Arena, they were turned over 6-3 by Nashville Predators. Ben Chiarot, Alex DeBrincat and James van Riemsdyk each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Red Wings have beaten the Lightning in the last two encounters. They won 4-3 (OT) at Benchmark International Arena and triumphed 2-1 (OT) at Little Caesars Arena. The Red Wings have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-5-2	2.3	.915	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Cam Talbot (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	9-4-0	3	.887	0
23/24	27-20-4	2.5	.913	3

8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 25.4 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.5 goals from 26.6 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.7%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 16 points, 6 goals and 10 assists, with Brandon Hagel racking up 15 points, 8 goals and 7 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.69 goal against average with a .938 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Red Wings have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 33.7 shots on goal, with a 15.1% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.8 goals from 25.2 shots, averaging 4.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.0%.

The top points scorer is Lucas Raymond with 13 points, 3 goals and 10 assists, while Alex DeBrincat is next in line after registering 11 points, 8 goals and 3 assists. Goalie Cam Talbot have a 3.19 GAA with a .876 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The -120 about Tampa Bay Lightning look really attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think their opponents can be beaten in this NHL encounter, so this is our pick.

We only publish our hockey predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable NHL stats to support every pick we make.

Key Lightning vs Red Wings stats:

• Lightning have won 5 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Red Wings have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Red Wings have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Red Wings have lost their last 2 games.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s the opportunity to get bigger win odds for Tampa Bay by combining this with the number of goals that are scored. Match Winner & Total Goals is a popular betting option.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 2 Red Wings

The Lightning are available at +1500 to secure a 4-2 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Red Wings

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Red Wings

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+5000

Red Wings

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1500

Red Wings

+1600

3-0

Lightning

+3500

Red Wings

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1900

Red Wings

+2000

3-2

Lightning

+850

Red Wings

+900

4-0

Lightning

+4000

Red Wings

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1600

Red Wings

+1700

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Red Wings

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Red Wings

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+7000

Red Wings

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2500

Red Wings

+2800

5-2

Lightning

+1600

Red Wings

+1800

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Red Wings

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+1800

Red Wings

+1900

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+12000

6-1

Lightning

+5500

Red Wings

+6600

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Red Wings

+3400

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Red Wings

+3000

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Red Wings

+4500

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Red Wings

+11000

7-2

Lightning

+7500

Red Wings

+9000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Red Wings

+6000

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Red Wings

+6600

7-5

Lightning

+9000

Red Wings

+10000

7-6

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+11000

8-2

Lightning

+12500

Red Wings

+14000

8-3

Lightning

+12500

Red Wings

+14000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Red Wings

+12000

8-5

Lightning

+12500

Red Wings

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You can choose Detroit Red Wings at -100 or alternatively Tampa Bay Lightning who have betting odds of -120. The hosts have a 50% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -102.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Lightning

-120

Red Wings

-100

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+133

Tie

+325

Red Wings

+160

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+194

Red Wings +1.5

-244

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-120

Over 6.5

-102

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.7
• Blocks: 12.6
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 19.2
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.5
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 17.1
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 33.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14.5
• Blocks: 15.7
• Faceoff Wins : 33.9
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 15.9
• Faceoff Wins : 32.8
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 3.8

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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