Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Wild

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Minnesota Wild at Xcel Energy Center, with face-off scheduled for 21:30 on Tuesday, March 3.

We’re keeping our betting prediction nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the -132 that the Lightning are able to secure a victory over the Wild.

Tampa Bay Lightning have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Buffalo Sabres by a 6-2 scoreline at Benchmark International Arena. Victor Hedman and Dominic James each scored one goal. Goalie Jonas Johansson was red hot in this one, making 20 saves (.952).

Minnesota Wild have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Xcel Energy Center, they were turned over 3-1 by St Louis Blues. Wild managed 23 shots and Kirill Kaprizov recorded the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wild have won the last two meetings against the Lightning. They triumphed 4-2 at Benchmark International Arena and then 5-3 at Xcel Energy Center. The Wild have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-8-3	2.2	.916	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Filip Gustavsson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	21-10-6	2.6	.909	3
23/24	20-18-4	3.06	.899	3

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 33.8 shots on goal, with a 15.8% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.2 goals from 29.8 shots, averaging 5.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 22 points, 7 goals and 15 assists, with Darren Raddysh racking up 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.37 goal against average with a .915 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Wild have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.9 goals from 28.5 shots on goal, with a 34.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.2 goals from 33.5 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.8%.

The top points scorer is Matthew Boldy with 18 points, 8 goals and 10 assists, while Kirill Kaprizov is next best after having 15 points, 9 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Filip Gustavsson have a 2.66 GAA with a .914 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We think that Tampa Bay Lightning should prove too strong in this NHL clash. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win and there’s juice in the -132 available.

The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Lightning vs Wild stats:

• Lightning have won 16 of their last 20 games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Wild have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Wild have lost their last 2 games.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There’s the opportunity to get bigger win odds for Tampa Bay by combining this with the number of goals that are scored. Match Winner & Total Goals is a popular betting option.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 3, 01:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 1 Wild

We’re betting on the Lightning to secure a 4-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +1500 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Wild

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Wild

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Wild

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Wild

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3000

Wild

+3400

3-1

Lightning

+1800

Wild

+1900

3-2

Lightning

+850

Wild

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4000

Wild

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1500

Wild

+1700

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Wild

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Wild

+1050

5-0

Lightning

+6600

Wild

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2400

Wild

+2900

5-2

Lightning

+1600

Wild

+1900

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Wild

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Wild

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Wild

+12000

6-1

Lightning

+5500

Wild

+7000

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Wild

+3500

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Wild

+3300

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Wild

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Wild

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Wild

+11000

7-2

Lightning

+7500

Wild

+9000

7-3

Lightning

+5500

Wild

+6600

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Wild

+7000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Wild

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Wild

+12000

8-4

Lightning

+11000

Wild

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Tampa Bay Lightning odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -132 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 57% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Minnesota Wild are trading at +110.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +110.

National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Lightning

-132

Wild

+110

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+128

Tie

+320

Wild

+165

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+176

Wild +1.5

-222

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Minnesota Wild Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.30 pts and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 33.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 18.8
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 30.4
• Hits: 21.8
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 13.2
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.4
• Hits: 16.1
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.2
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 18.3
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.4
• Blocks: 9.4
• Faceoff Wins : 20.2
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 4.6

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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