Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Canadiens

The Tampa Bay Lightning meet the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, December 9.

For a value wager, head to the Moneyline where you can back the Lightning to get the better of the Canadiens. Our betting prediction is currently available at a generous +104.

If you're picking Lightning, don’t place that wager just yet — grab the best BetMGM promo code and check out our in-depth review for key insights first.

Tampa Bay Lightning have been defeated in their previous four games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-0 loss against Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. They fired 29 shots on goal, with goalie Jonas Johansson able to make 22 saves (.957).

Montreal Canadiens lost when they last took to the ice. At Bell Centre, they were turned over 4-3 at home to St Louis Blues. Noah Dobson, Cole Caufield and Lane Hutson scored one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning triumphed 5-3 when they last played the Habs. This head-to-head was played at Bell Centre. The Lightning have won seven of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Brandon Halverson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-1-0	5.3	.792	0

Sam Montembeault (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-6-1	3.6	.861	0
23/24	16-15-9	3.14	.903	0

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 28.6 shots on goal, with a 8.6% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 1.9 goals from 25.7 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.9%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 16 points, 3 goals and 13 assists, with Brandon Hagel racking up 14 points, 10 goals and 4 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.41 goal against average with a .949 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Habs have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 26.1 shots on goal, with a 22.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.6 goals from 28.8 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.5%.

The top points scorer is Cole Caufield with 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists, while Nick Suzuki is next best after registering 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 3.35 GAA with a .880 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

This Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

We are having a wager on Tampa Bay Lightning in this NHL encounter and they could prove too strong. You can back our pick at +104 on the Moneyline and we think this offers great value.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NHL stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate hockey predictions.

Key Lightning vs Canadiens stats:

• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Canadiens have lost 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Canadiens have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Canadiens have lost 7 of their last 10 games against Lightning.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 49% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you also have a strong view on the Under / Over line, then it could be worth a Match Winner & Total Goals bet where you can effectively back Tampa Bay at bigger odds.

Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ +104 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 1 Canadiens

We’ve picked out a correct score of 4-1 being landed by the Lightning. You can secure odds of +1700 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Canadiens

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Canadiens

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+5000

Canadiens

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1500

Canadiens

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+3500

Canadiens

+3400

3-1

Lightning

+2000

Canadiens

+1900

3-2

Lightning

+900

Canadiens

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Canadiens

+4000

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Canadiens

+1600

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Canadiens

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Canadiens

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+8000

Canadiens

+7000

5-1

Lightning

+2800

Canadiens

+2500

5-2

Lightning

+1800

Canadiens

+1600

5-3

Lightning

+2400

Canadiens

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Canadiens

+1900

6-0

Lightning

+12000

Canadiens

+10000

6-1

Lightning

+6600

Canadiens

+5500

6-2

Lightning

+3500

Canadiens

+3000

6-3

Lightning

+3000

Canadiens

+2800

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Canadiens

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Canadiens

+4500

7-1

Lightning

+11000

Canadiens

+9000

7-2

Lightning

+9000

Canadiens

+7500

7-3

Lightning

+6000

Canadiens

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Canadiens

+6000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Canadiens

+10000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Canadiens

+11000

8-2

Lightning

+14000

Canadiens

+12500

8-3

Lightning

+14000

Canadiens

+12500

8-4

Lightning

+12000

Canadiens

+11000

8-5

Lightning

+14000

Canadiens

+13000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Montreal Canadiens are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -125 about them triumphing means a 56% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. At +104, Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s +106.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.

Moneyline

Lightning

+104

Canadiens

-125

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+160

Tie

+320

Canadiens

+135

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-238

Canadiens -1.5

+190

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

Favorite Cole Caufield is now available at +900 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Player Goals

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

First

+135

Anytime

+900

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+165

Anytime

+1000

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

First

+180

Anytime

+1100

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+180

Anytime

+1100

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+185

Anytime

+1200

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+200

Anytime

+1200

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

First

+250

Anytime

+1500

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)

First

+320

Anytime

+2000

Zack Bolduc (Canadiens)

First

+340

Anytime

+2000

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+350

Anytime

+2200

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+380

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Kapanen (Canadiens)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Alexandre Texier (Canadiens)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Josh Anderson (Canadiens)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Jake Evans (Canadiens)

First

+625

Anytime

+3500

Noah Dobson (Canadiens)

First

+625

Anytime

+3500

Lane Hutson (Canadiens)

First

+650

Anytime

+3000

Jared Davidson (Canadiens)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Joe Veleno (Canadiens)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+800

Anytime

+4500

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Mike Matheson (Canadiens)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Maxwell Crozier (Lightning)

First

+1400

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-145

Under 0.5

+110

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-100

Lane Hutson (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-105

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-154

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-200

Noah Dobson (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-222

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-222

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Mike Matheson (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-455

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-175

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+110

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-175

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+130

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+135

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-115

Noah Dobson (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Lane Hutson (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-110

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-120

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 1.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.60 pts and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 4.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 11
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 24.9
• Hits: 17.2
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.7
• Hits: 16.9
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 26.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 12.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 22.6
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 13.8
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 26.6
• Hits: 25
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 4.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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