Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Apr 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Canadiens

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, April 9.

The Canadiens are available at -102 when it comes to the Moneyline. Our prediction is that they’ll outscore the Lightning and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

Tampa Bay Lightning have been defeated in their previous three road games. They recently suffered a 6-2 loss against Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre. Corey Perry and Nick Paul each scored one goal.

Montreal Canadiens won their last game, beating Florida Panthers at home. It was a 4-3 (SO) win at Bell Centre. Nick Suzuki, Ivan Demidov and Phillip Danault scored one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Habs won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 4-1 victory was registered against the Lightning at Benchmark International Arena. The Lightning have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	37-14-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Jakub Dobes (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-8-4	2.7	.904	0

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.3 goals from 26.3 shots, averaging 5.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Darren Raddysh racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.59 goal against average with a .893 save percentage.

The Habs have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 25.2 shots on goal, with a 12.3% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.0 goals from 30.2 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.7%.

The top points scorer is Cole Caufield with 17 points, 9 goals and 8 assists, while Nick Suzuki is next best after registering 15 points, 4 goals and 11 assists. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 1.79 GAA with a .948 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

Take on Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

If you’re looking for a value bet, then -102 that Montreal Canadiens win this NHL game certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline at attractive odds.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert hockey picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NHL stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Lightning vs Canadiens stats:

• Canadiens have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Canadiens have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Lightning have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Canadiens Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are different ways to boost the odds on a Moneyline pick and some bettors take the Bet Builder option. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

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Our Game Prediction

Canadiens Moneyline @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 8, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 3 - 5 Canadiens

Let’s take a chance on the +2200 available that the Canadiens secure a 5-3 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Canadiens

1-0

Lightning

+6000

Canadiens

+6000

2-0

Lightning

+5500

Canadiens

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1600

Canadiens

+1600

3-0

Lightning

+4000

Canadiens

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+2000

Canadiens

+2000

3-2

Lightning

+900

Canadiens

+900

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Canadiens

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Canadiens

+1700

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Canadiens

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Canadiens

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+7500

Canadiens

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2800

Canadiens

+2800

5-2

Lightning

+1700

Canadiens

+1700

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Canadiens

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+1800

Canadiens

+1800

6-0

Lightning

+11000

Canadiens

+11000

6-1

Lightning

+6000

Canadiens

+6000

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Canadiens

+3300

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Canadiens

+2800

6-4

Lightning

+4000

Canadiens

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+4000

Canadiens

+4000

7-1

Lightning

+10000

Canadiens

+10000

7-2

Lightning

+7500

Canadiens

+8000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Canadiens

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+5500

Canadiens

+6000

7-5

Lightning

+9000

Canadiens

+9000

7-6

Lightning

+10000

Canadiens

+10000

8-2

Lightning

+12500

Canadiens

+13000

8-3

Lightning

+12500

Canadiens

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Canadiens

+11000

8-5

Lightning

+12000

Canadiens

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about Montreal Canadiens winning is -105, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced up at -114 to achieve victory. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 51%.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Lightning

-114

Canadiens

-105

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+143

Tie

+320

Canadiens

+148

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+210

Canadiens +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-115

Over 6.5

-105

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.80 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.5
• Blocks: 17
• Faceoff Wins : 28.2
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.5
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4.1

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.7
• Blocks: 11.3
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 22.9
• Giveaways: 12.9
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 8.8
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 29.1
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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