Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Islanders

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the New York Islanders at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, December 2.

The -139 about the Lightning look really attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the Islanders can be beaten, so this is our betting prediction.

Think Lightning have this one? Make sure to grab the latest BetMGM promo code and take a look at our trusted review before you commit to your play.

Tampa Bay Lightning have won their previous seven games. A 4-1 triumph recently occurred on the road at Madison Square Garden when playing New York Rangers. Brandon Hagel registered two goals, with Nick Paul and Jake Guentzel also finding the net. Goalie Jonas Johansson stopped 12 shots (.923).

New York Islanders were defeated last time out, making it three losses on the spin. UBS Arena saw them beaten 4-1 at home to Washington Capitals. Islanders had 31 shots and Bo Horvat scored the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have claimed victories in the last two encounters against the Islanders. At Benchmark International Arena, the scoreline was 5-3 and then we saw 4-1 at UBS Arena. The Lightning have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	24-7-3	2	.920	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Ilya Sorokin (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	18-12-2	2.4	.917	6
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 27.0 shots on goal, with a 9.5% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.4 goals from 25.2 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 18 points, 4 goals and 14 assists, with Brandon Hagel recording 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.79 goal against average with a .934 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Islanders have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 29.2 shots on goal, with a 7.1% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 23.3 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.3%.

The top points scorer is Matthew Schaefer with 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, while Emil Heineman is next in line after having 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.23 GAA with a .905 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

The home team look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make Tampa Bay Lightning our pick for this NHL encounter. You can currently get -139 for this selection which looks great value.

The NHL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest hockey stats to support every prediction.

Key Lightning vs Islanders stats:

• Lightning have won 7 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 15 of their last 20 games.
• Islanders have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Islanders have lost 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Islanders have lost their last 3 games.
• Islanders have lost their last 2 games against Lightning.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, there’s a 58.1% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our cappers have this figure between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.

Tampa Bay can be backed in different ways and you might find the odds more attractive when you check out the Match Winner & Total Goals, Puck Line or the Winning Margin lines.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:56, 01 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikita Kucherov Over 0.5 Assists -161

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) has made at least one assist in 7 straight games. The odds for him on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors currently able to get odds of -161 for this happening.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 3 - 1 Islanders

We’ve picked out a correct score of 3-1 being landed by the Lightning. You can secure odds of +1700 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Islanders

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Islanders

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Islanders

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Islanders

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+2800

Islanders

+3300

3-1

Lightning

+1700

Islanders

+1800

3-2

Lightning

+850

Islanders

+850

4-0

Lightning

+3500

Islanders

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Islanders

+1700

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Islanders

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Islanders

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+6600

Islanders

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2200

Islanders

+2900

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Islanders

+1900

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Islanders

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+2200

Islanders

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Islanders

+12500

6-1

Lightning

+5500

Islanders

+7000

6-2

Lightning

+2900

Islanders

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Islanders

+3500

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Islanders

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+5500

Islanders

+5500

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Islanders

+12000

7-2

Lightning

+7500

Islanders

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+5500

Islanders

+7000

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Islanders

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Islanders

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+12500

Islanders

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+12000

Islanders

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Tampa Bay Lightning odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -120 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 55% chance of winning. New York Islanders are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at -100.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. The Over 5.5 selection is available to back at -133.

Before placing your bet, explore the top NHL sportsbooks for a wide selection of game lines and team props. Compare the lines and betting odds to find the most appealing options.

Moneyline

Lightning

-120

Islanders

-100

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+128

Tie

+320

Islanders

+170

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+205

Islanders +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+110

Over 5.5

-133

You shouldn’t overlook the goalie and player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Goals, Assists, Points or Shots on Goal.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

New York Islanders Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 24.3
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 27.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.8
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 24.6
• Hits: 17.9
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 31
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 4.6
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 27.4
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 32.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 4
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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