Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Apr 2025

Lightning Look a Great Bet to Win

There is a strong case that the Lightning will end up winning and that means betting the visitors on the Moneyline. You can get a value -130 that they overcome the Senators.

Lightning Beat Senators in Pair’s Previous Clash

Tampa Bay Lightning have won four on the spin, triumphing 4-1 in their previous game. This was on the road against New York Islanders at UBS Arena. Victor Hedman found the net along with three other players. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had an awesome game, keeping out 28 shots (.966).

Ottawa Senators have lost back-to-back games, most recently suffering a 5-2 home defeat to Buffalo Sabres at Canadian Tire Centre. Jake Sanderson and Claude Giroux each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have beaten the Sens in their last two meetings, winning by 4-3 and 5-1 scorelines. Both encounters were played at Amalie Arena. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Sens land six wins.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-3-2	2.6	.899	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Linus Ullmark (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-4-1	3.4	.862	0
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.2 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 17.1% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.2 goals from 24.8 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.6%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 19 points, 5 goals and 14 assists, with Jake Guentzel recording 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.28 goal against average with a .942 save percentage, including two shutouts.

The Sens have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 27.4 shots on goal, with a 19.4% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.2 goals from 28.6 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.7%.

The top points scorer is Drake Batherson with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, while Ridly Greig is next in line after registering 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 3.33 GAA with a .882 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

The pick is that Tampa Bay Lightning will come out on top in this NHL encounter, with odds of -130 currently available that they beat the home team. That looks a price worth taking on this value selection.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important player and goalie stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Lightning vs Senators stats:

• Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 4 consecutive games.
• Senators have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Senators have lost their last 2 games.
• Lightning have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 56.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

We advise heading to the Match Winner & Total Goals lines if you want to combine the Tampa Bay win with an Under or Over selection. This provides lots of juice for bettors looking for extra value.

Best Bet

Lightning Moneyline @ -130 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jake Guentzel To Score +175

Jake Guentzel (Lightning) has scored in 3 straight games. It’s worth a gamble on the +175 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Jake Guentzel Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+170

First

+950

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 3 Senators

A 5-3 win in favor of the Lightning is available at odds of +2200. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Senators

1-0

Lightning

+4500

Senators

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Senators

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Senators

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+2900

Senators

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1600

Senators

+1900

3-2

Lightning

+750

Senators

+850

4-0

Lightning

+3400

Senators

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Senators

+1900

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Senators

+1700

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Senators

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+6000

Senators

+9000

5-1

Lightning

+2200

Senators

+3300

5-2

Lightning

+1600

Senators

+2200

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Senators

+2800

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Senators

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+9000

Senators

+13000

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Senators

+7500

6-2

Lightning

+2800

Senators

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2900

Senators

+4000

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Senators

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Senators

+5500

7-1

Lightning

+8000

Senators

+13000

7-2

Lightning

+7000

Senators

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+5500

Senators

+7500

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Senators

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Senators

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Senators

+12500

8-4

Lightning

+11000

Senators

+15000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Tampa Bay Lightning are -141 favorites to win and that means a 58% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +116 about Ottawa Senators.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 5.5. NHL fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you want to wager Over 5.5, there are odds of -122.

The Lightning are favorites at -105 when it comes to the Race to 3 Goals betting, with the Sens available at +190 should you think they’ll reach this number first.

Consider every angle when placing your National Hockey League wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Lightning

-141

Senators

+116

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+110

Tie

+335

Senators

+188

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+172

Senators +1.5

-213

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-100

Over 5.5

-122

Brayden Point Favorite to Be First Goalscorer

Brayden Point is available at +138 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +800 to find the net first.

Player Goals

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+138

Anytime

+800

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+138

Anytime

+800

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+950

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

First

+175

Anytime

+1000

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1050

Tim Stützle (Senators)

First

+225

Anytime

+1200

Drake Batherson (Senators)

First

+260

Anytime

+1400

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+300

Anytime

+1500

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+300

Anytime

+1500

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+325

Anytime

+1600

Fabian Zetterlund (Senators)

First

+330

Anytime

+1600

Claude Giroux (Senators)

First

+330

Anytime

+1600

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Ridly Greig (Senators)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Shane Pinto (Senators)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

David Perron (Senators)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Michael Amadio (Senators)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Adam Gaudette (Senators)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+510

Anytime

+2200

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+510

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-161

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+130

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-135

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-182

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Ottawa Senators Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.30 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.20 pts and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 29.3
• Hits: 16.2
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 8.1
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.7
• Hits: 18.2
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.8
• Blocks: 15.1
• Faceoff Wins : 31.1
• Hits: 24.9
• Giveaways: 12.5
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.2
• Blocks: 17.3
• Faceoff Wins : 34
• Hits: 29.7
• Giveaways: 11
• Takeaways: 4.1

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	70	21.26	33	78	111	22
38	Brandon Hagel	74	20.94	33	48	81	29
21	Brayden Point	69	19.54	38	37	75	17

59	Jake Guentzel	73	20	38	36	74	20
77	Victor Hedman	71	23.17	14	46	60	18
71	Anthony Cirelli	72	18.76	26	27	53	26
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	74	15.2	20	23	43	2
20	Nick Paul	68	16.38	22	18	40	12
43	Darren Raddysh	65	17.7	5	30	35	10
27	Ryan McDonagh	74	20.54	3	25	28	41
37	Yanni Gourde	49	15.75	6	19	25	-2
81	Erik Cernak	68	18.38	3	18	21	28
48	Nicklaus Perbix	66	14.78	5	13	18	6
78	Emil Lilleberg	68	15.39	0	18	18	-2
41	Mitchell Chaffee	62	12.13	12	5	17	-2
93	Gage Goncalves	52	12.38	5	9	14	4
90	Janis Jerome Moser	46	19.21	2	11	13	19
14	Conor Geekie	49	12.14	6	6	12	-3
13	Cam Atkinson	38	8.79	4	5	9	-4
11	Luke Glendening	73	10.92	4	3	7	-9
28	Zemgus Girgensons	74	11.59	2	4	6	-5
67	Declan Carlile	3	13	1	0	1	2
53	Dylan Duke	2	7.85	1	0	1	0
64	Steven Santini	1	11.6	0	0	0	0
65	Maxwell Crozier	5	16.7	0	0	0	0
73	Conor Sheary	5	11.34	0	0	0	-2
33	Brandon Halverson	1	58	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	8.4	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	58	2.15	0.922
30	Kyle Konin	-	-	-
31	Jonas Johansson	16	3.05	0.9
70	Matt Tomkins	-	-	-

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Ottawa Senators Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
18	Tim Stutzle	74	19.96	21	50	71	-2
19	Drake Batherson	74	18.15	21	38	59	-14
7	Brady Tkachuk	71	18.35	29	26	55	2

85	Jake Sanderson	73	24.39	9	41	50	-16
28	Claude Giroux	74	18.48	15	32	47	-7
24	Dylan Cozens	74	17.04	14	26	40	-15
20	Fabian Zetterlund	76	16.38	17	20	37	7
72	Thomas Chabot	73	23.06	6	29	35	11
12	Shane Pinto	62	17.55	16	14	30	6
71	Ridly Greig	71	16.93	12	16	28	-14
22	Michael Amadio	64	13.98	11	13	24	8
81	Adam Gaudette	73	10.28	16	7	23	12
3	Nick Jensen	65	20.34	3	16	19	17
57	David Perron	36	13.9	8	6	14	-6
21	Nick Cousins	47	11.89	5	8	13	-2
2	Artyom Zub	49	20.56	2	10	12	-1
43	Tyler Kleven	71	14.23	4	4	8	-5
23	Travis Hamonic	56	17.04	1	5	6	-17
15	Matthew Highmore	34	11.2	1	4	5	-7
6	Dennis Gilbert	26	9.93	0	5	5	-4
17	Zack MacEwen	21	7.76	2	1	3	0
51	Cole Reinhardt	17	8.2	1	1	2	-4
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	34	12.4	0	1	1	-2
14	Jan Jenik	2	7.7	0	0	0	-1
37	Donovan Sebrango	2	10.3	0	0	0	-1
59	Angus Crookshank	2	11.2	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
35	Linus Ullmark	40	2.77	0.907
31	Anton Forsberg	26	2.68	0.901
35	Leevi Merilaeinen	12	1.99	0.925
40	Mads Soegaard	2	5.24	0.8

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups