Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Apr 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Senators

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, April 7.

The Lightning go up against the Senators and we’re expecting the teams to surpass 6.5 goals. Our betting prediction is to back the Over selection at -100.

Tampa Bay Lightning have now lost back-to-back road games. In their previous game, Buffalo Sabres won 4-2 at KeyBank Center. Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel scored one goal apiece.

Ottawa Senators last game saw them claim a 6-3 home win over Carolina Hurricanes at Canadian Tire Centre. Tim Stutzle had 2 points, including 1 goal and 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 4-2 win for the Lightning at Benchmark International Arena when they last played the Sens. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Sens land six wins.

Starting Goalies

Jonas Johansson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-9-2	3.2	.886	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

Linus Ullmark (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	25-12-8	2.9	.886	2
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 29.4 shots on goal, with a 10.7% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.9 goals from 25.7 shots, averaging 5.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.9%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 15 points, 7 goals and 8 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.39 goal against average with a .902 save percentage.

The Sens have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 29.8 shots on goal, with a 15.4% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.8 goals from 24.7 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.8%.

The top points scorer is Brady Tkachuk with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, while Tim Stutzle is next best after having 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 3.16 GAA with a .888 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Picks

Step into Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Game Prediction

The best play could be to take the -100 on offer that the Overs line is covered in this NHL clash. We think this pick represents great value.

Our expert hockey predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable NHL stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Lightning vs Senators stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Senators games at home.

Over 6.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Want more juice from your Over bet when it comes to Total betting? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier wager. You can choose from a range of options.

Before placing your next bet, explore our complete guide to the best betting offers, promotions and welcome bonuses today.

Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 7, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Shane Pinto Over 1.5 Shots -161

Shane Pinto (Senators) has finished with Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight home games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -161 available.

Latest Shane Pinto Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+275

First

+1700

Assists

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-345

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 3 Senators

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the Lightning to win 4-3. We can’t pass up the odds of +1000 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Senators

1-0

Lightning

+6000

Senators

+6000

2-0

Lightning

+5500

Senators

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1700

Senators

+1600

3-0

Lightning

+4000

Senators

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+2200

Senators

+1900

3-2

Lightning

+950

Senators

+850

4-0

Lightning

+5000

Senators

+4000

4-1

Lightning

+1900

Senators

+1600

4-2

Lightning

+1700

Senators

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Senators

+950

5-0

Lightning

+9000

Senators

+6600

5-1

Lightning

+3000

Senators

+2400

5-2

Lightning

+1900

Senators

+1500

5-3

Lightning

+2400

Senators

+2000

5-4

Lightning

+1800

Senators

+1700

6-0

Lightning

+13000

Senators

+10000

6-1

Lightning

+7000

Senators

+5000

6-2

Lightning

+3500

Senators

+2800

6-3

Lightning

+3000

Senators

+2500

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Senators

+4000

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Senators

+4000

7-0

Lightning

+4500

Senators

+14000

7-1

Lightning

+12000

Senators

+8000

7-2

Lightning

+9000

Senators

+6600

7-3

Lightning

+6000

Senators

+5000

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Senators

+5500

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Senators

+9000

7-6

Lightning

+10000

Senators

+10000

8-1

Lightning

+10000

Senators

+13000

8-2

Lightning

+14000

Senators

+11000

8-3

Lightning

+14000

Senators

+11000

8-4

Lightning

+12000

Senators

+10000

8-5

Lightning

+13000

Senators

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Ottawa Senators are -125 favorites and that means a 56% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Tampa Bay Lightning are trading at +104.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s -100.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League matchup, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Lightning

+104

Senators

-125

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+175

Tie

+320

Senators

+123

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-250

Senators -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-122

Over 6.5

-100

You will find Nikita Kucherov at +1100 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +160 that he finds the net at anytime.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+160

Anytime

+1100

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+180

Anytime

+1300

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

First

+190

Anytime

+1300

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+200

Anytime

+1300

Tim Stützle (Senators)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Drake Batherson (Senators)

First

+210

Anytime

+1500

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

First

+260

Anytime

+1700

Shane Pinto (Senators)

First

+275

Anytime

+1700

Claude Giroux (Senators)

First

+290

Anytime

+1900

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Corey Perry (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Fabian Zetterlund (Senators)

First

+400

Anytime

+2500

Ridly Greig (Senators)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+2800

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+3000

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

First

+500

Anytime

+3000

Warren Foegele (Senators)

First

+525

Anytime

+2800

Michael Amadio (Senators)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+600

Anytime

+3300

Nick Cousins (Senators)

First

+650

Anytime

+3500

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Jordan Spence (Senators)

First

+700

Anytime

+4000

Lars Eller (Senators)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Scott Sabourin (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

Artem Zub (Senators)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1300

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+155

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-118

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-149

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-200

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Jordan Spence (Senators)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-303

Claude Giroux (Senators)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-323

Shane Pinto (Senators)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-345

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-455

Player Shots

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-175

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+135

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-141

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-141

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-141

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+130

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Shane Pinto (Senators)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+115

Jordan Spence (Senators)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Ottawa Senators Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.00 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 5.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 13.5
• Blocks: 17.4
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 19.2
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.1
• Blocks: 14.1
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.6
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 31.3
• Hits: 24.6
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 30.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 14.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.8
• Hits: 27.6
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 5.7

You can watch and bet on NHL games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

Lightning vs Senators Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Top Ice Hockey Pages