Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Flyers

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, January 10.

When the Lightning and the Flyers go head-to-head, there is -132 on offer that Over 5.5 are scored in total. This represents great value.

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Tampa Bay Lightning have won their previous eight games. The latest was a 4-2 home triumph at Benchmark International Arena against Colorado Avalanche. Jake Guentzel was on target along with three of his teammates. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had 31 saves (.939).

Philadelphia Flyers were defeated last time out. Xfinity Mobile Arena saw them beaten at home to Toronto Maple Leafs by a 2-1 (OT) scoreline. Flyers had 23 shots and Travis Konecny scored the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have won the last two encounters against the Flyers. They achieved winning scorelines of 2-0 and 3-0 at Benchmark International Arena. We’ve seen six Lightning wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	17-7-2	2.4	.912	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Samuel Ersson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-5-4	3.1	.868	0
23/24	23-19-7	2.82	.890	4

8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 4.1 goals from 25.9 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.9 goals from 25.4 shots, averaging 6.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.1%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 19 points, 7 goals and 12 assists, with Darren Raddysh recording 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.43 goal against average with a .903 save percentage.

The Flyers have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.4 goals from 30.7 shots on goal, with a 9.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.0 goals from 24.8 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.1%.

The top points scorer is Travis Konecny with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, while Trevor Zegras is next in line after registering 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Daniel Vladar have a 2.16 GAA with a .910 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve found some value for this NHL encounter as we expect the lamp to be lit at least six times. It means that Overs could be on the cards and that is available at -132.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our hockey predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NHL action.

Key Lightning vs Flyers stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Flyers games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Flyers games.

Over 5.5 Probability

According to the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 56.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by including this pick when it comes to Match Winner & Total Goals. Predict a franchise to win as part of the deal.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 5.5 Goals @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Travis Konecny Over 1.5 Shots -189

Travis Konecny (Flyers) has totaled Over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Goal line and there are odds of -189 available.

Latest Travis Konecny Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+230

First

+1500

Assists

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 2 Flyers

We’re betting on the Lightning to secure a 5-2 winning scoreline. Odds of +1400 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Flyers

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Flyers

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Flyers

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+1600

Flyers

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+800

Flyers

+950

4-0

Lightning

+2900

Flyers

+5500

4-1

Lightning

+1200

Flyers

+2200

4-2

Lightning

+1300

Flyers

+1900

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Flyers

+1200

5-0

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+10000

5-1

Lightning

+1800

Flyers

+4000

5-2

Lightning

+1400

Flyers

+2400

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Flyers

+2900

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Flyers

+2400

6-0

Lightning

+7500

Flyers

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Flyers

+9000

6-2

Lightning

+2400

Flyers

+5000

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+4000

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+6000

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+5500

7-1

Lightning

+7000

Flyers

+14000

7-2

Lightning

+6000

Flyers

+12500

7-3

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+8000

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Flyers

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Flyers

+12500

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Flyers

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Flyers

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks have Tampa Bay Lightning at -179 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 64% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At +146, Philadelphia Flyers are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -141.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to National Hockey League clashes. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Lightning

-179

Flyers

+146

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-111

Tie

+335

Flyers

+235

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+140

Flyers +1.5

-172

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+114

Over 5.5

-141

Nikita Kucherov is the market leader at +1000 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+150

Anytime

+1000

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+175

Anytime

+1100

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+180

Anytime

+1100

Trevor Zegras (Flyers)

First

+230

Anytime

+1400

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+230

Anytime

+1500

Travis Konecny (Flyers)

First

+230

Anytime

+1500

Owen Tippett (Flyers)

First

+270

Anytime

+1600

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Denver Barkey (Flyers)

First

+333

Anytime

+1900

Christian Dvorak (Flyers)

First

+340

Anytime

+2200

Matvei Michkov (Flyers)

First

+350

Anytime

+2000

Noah Cates (Flyers)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Sean Couturier (Flyers)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+2800

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+550

Anytime

+3300

Carl Grundstrom (Flyers)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

Travis Sanheim (Flyers)

First

+600

Anytime

+3300

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+675

Anytime

+3300

Cam York (Flyers)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+4000

Nikita Grebyonkin (Flyers)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Dominic James (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+5000

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Rodrigo Abols (Flyers)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Garnet Hathaway (Flyers)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

Rasmus Ristolainen (Flyers)

First

+1300

Anytime

+5500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1300

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+140

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Travis Konecny (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

Trevor Zegras (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Christian Dvorak (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-222

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Cam York (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Travis Sanheim (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-323

Matvei Michkov (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-323

Owen Tippett (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-345

Sean Couturier (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-370

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-400

Noah Cates (Flyers)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-455

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-125

Trevor Zegras (Flyers)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-200

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-149

Owen Tippett (Flyers)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-130

Matvei Michkov (Flyers)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-200

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Travis Konecny (Flyers)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-135

Christian Dvorak (Flyers)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+120

Sean Couturier (Flyers)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-100

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+125

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Philadelphia Flyers Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 18.8
• Blocks: 16.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.8
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 13.2
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 29.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 19
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 23.9
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 12.9
• Takeaways: 3.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 14.1
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 12.6
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 22
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 4.8

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