Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Penguins

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG PAINTS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, January 13.

The best wager could be taking the Lightning to simply beat the Penguins. Our prediction can be taken at odds of -128 on the Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.

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Tampa Bay Lightning have won ten on the spin, triumphing 5-1 in their previous game. This was on the road against Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Nikita Kucherov was one of five different players on the scoresheet. Goalie Jonas Johansson had an awesome game, keeping out 20 shots (.952).

Pittsburgh Penguins have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Boston Bruins at TD Garden. They had 27 shots on goal, while goalie Stuart Skinner was able to make 17 saves (.944).

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Penguins who came out on top when they last played the Lightning. At Benchmark International Arena, a 4-3 win was recorded. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Penguins have won six.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	18-7-2	2.3	.912	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Stuart Skinner (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	14-12-4	2.7	.893	2
23/24	36-16-5	2.62	.905	2

10 wins averaging 5.0 goals from 24.8 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.5 goals from 25.0 shots, averaging 7.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.7%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 25 points, 10 goals and 15 assists, with Darren Raddysh recording 15 points, 5 goals and 10 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.41 goal against average with a .903 save percentage.

The Penguins have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 30.4 shots on goal, with a 20.0% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.5 goals from 24.4 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.6%.

The top points scorer is Sidney Crosby with 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists, while Bryan Rust is next best after having 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Arturs Silovs have a 2.96 GAA with a .881 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

This Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning look excellent value on the Moneyline and our pick is that the road team will claim a victory in this NHL encounter. We’re happy to take the -128 that they win.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NHL stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate hockey predictions.

Key Lightning vs Penguins stats:

• Lightning have won 10 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Penguins have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Penguins have lost 11 of their last 20 games.
• Penguins have lost their last 2 games.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

If you go by the top NHL betting sites, our pick has a 56.2% chance of delivering a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

Fancy Tampa Bay to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the Puck Line and consider them to cover one of the available lines.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 6 - 3 Penguins

Our correct score prediction is a 6-3 win for the Lightning which is available at odds of +2800. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Penguins

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Penguins

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Penguins

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Penguins

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+3000

Penguins

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1800

Penguins

+2000

3-2

Lightning

+850

Penguins

+900

4-0

Lightning

+4000

Penguins

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1500

Penguins

+1800

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Penguins

+1700

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Penguins

+1050

5-0

Lightning

+6600

Penguins

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2400

Penguins

+3000

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Penguins

+1900

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Penguins

+2400

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Penguins

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Penguins

+12500

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Penguins

+7000

6-2

Lightning

+2800

Penguins

+3500

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Penguins

+3300

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Penguins

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Penguins

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Penguins

+12000

7-2

Lightning

+7000

Penguins

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Penguins

+6600

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Penguins

+7000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Penguins

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Penguins

+11000

8-4

Lightning

+11000

Penguins

+12500

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Tampa Bay Lightning are -128 favorites to win and that means a 56% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to back Pittsburgh Penguins, you will find +106 about the underdogs.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s +110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Hockey League, the top betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have so many options at your fingertips.

Moneyline

Lightning

-128

Penguins

+106

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+123

Tie

+320

Penguins

+175

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+180

Penguins +1.5

-227

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 5.10 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.80 pts and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 24.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 7.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 21
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 21.9
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 7.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 22.1
• Blocks: 14
• Faceoff Wins : 22.9
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 12.1
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 30.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 15.6
• Faceoff Wins : 28.1
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 32.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 17
• Faceoff Wins : 28.8
• Hits: 18
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 5.1

You can watch and bet on NHL games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Lightning vs Penguins Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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