Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Sharks

The Tampa Bay Lightning meet the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, January 3.

There’s a strong case that the Lightning triumph in regulation time and that means betting them on the 3-Way Moneyline. You can get a value -115 that the road team prove too strong for the Sharks.

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Tampa Bay Lightning have triumphed in their previous six games. The latest was on the road where Los Angeles Kings were beaten 5-3 at Crypto.com Arena. Brayden Point bagged two goals, while Nikita Kucherov, Gage Goncalves and Anthony Cirelli scored once.

San Jose Sharks last game was a 4-3 (SO) home win. This victory over Minnesota Wild at SAP Center was their third successive victory. Igor Chernyshov, Macklin Celebrini and Jeff Skinner each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the Sharks and the Lightning saw the former win. It was a 2-1 scoreline at SAP Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight Lightning victories.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-7-2	2.3	.913	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-10-1	3.4	.896	0
23/24	1-0-0	1.47	.943	0

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.0 goals from 27.4 shots on goal, with a 13.6% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 3.0 goals from 25.3 shots, averaging 6.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.5%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 18 points, 6 goals and 12 assists, with Jake Guentzel recording 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Jonas Johansson have a 3.49 goal against average with a .866 save percentage.

The Sharks have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 28.1 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 4.0 goals from 31.3 shots, averaging 2.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.

The top points scorer is Macklin Celebrini with 19 points, 7 goals and 12 assists, while Alexander Wennberg is next best after having 11 points, 1 goal and 10 assists. Goalie Yaroslav Askarov have a 3.95 GAA with a .882 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks picks: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation and a ready-made bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

The value bet could involve heading to the 60-minute line where you can back Tampa Bay Lightning to win this NHL clash. Our pick is currently on offer at a juicy -115.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our hockey predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NHL action.

Key Lightning vs Sharks stats:

• Lightning have won 6 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Sharks have lost 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Sharks have lost 8 of their last 10 games against Lightning.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

For a bigger return on investment, bettors often wager Match Winner & Total Goals to get bigger odds for Tampa Bay. The Winning Margin and Puck Line are good alternatives.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 2 Sharks

The Lightning are available at +1300 to secure a 5-2 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Sharks

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Sharks

+6000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Sharks

+6000

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Sharks

+1600

3-0

Lightning

+2800

Sharks

+5000

3-1

Lightning

+1600

Sharks

+2400

3-2

Lightning

+800

Sharks

+1000

4-0

Lightning

+3000

Sharks

+6600

4-1

Lightning

+1200

Sharks

+2500

4-2

Lightning

+1300

Sharks

+2000

4-3

Lightning

+950

Sharks

+1150

5-0

Lightning

+5000

Sharks

+12000

5-1

Lightning

+1800

Sharks

+4500

5-2

Lightning

+1300

Sharks

+2500

5-3

Lightning

+1900

Sharks

+2900

5-4

Lightning

+1800

Sharks

+2200

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Sharks

+10000

6-2

Lightning

+2200

Sharks

+5000

6-3

Lightning

+2200

Sharks

+4000

6-4

Lightning

+4000

Sharks

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Sharks

+5000

7-2

Lightning

+5500

Sharks

+13000

7-3

Lightning

+4000

Sharks

+8000

7-4

Lightning

+5000

Sharks

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+9000

Sharks

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Sharks

+12000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Tampa Bay Lightning as -200 favorites for this game, implying that they are 67% likely to win. The market suggests that San Jose Sharks are least likely to win at +164.

1.5 is the puck line and 6.5 is the total goals line. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are -105.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.

Moneyline

Lightning

-200

Sharks

+164

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-115

Tie

+325

Sharks

+255

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+118

Sharks +1.5

-145

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-115

Over 6.5

-105

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

San Jose Sharks Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.00 pts and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 17.3
• Blocks: 15.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 20.9
• Giveaways: 11.6
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 17.8
• Blocks: 15.8
• Faceoff Wins : 24.3
• Hits: 20.3
• Giveaways: 12.2
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.6
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27.3
• Hits: 21.3
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.3
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.3
• Hits: 21.6
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 4.9

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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