Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Golden Knights

The Tampa Bay Lightning face off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, November 6. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

There could be a shortage of goals from the Lightning and the Golden Knights. Therefore, Under 6.5 goals makes lots of appeal, especially at odds of -141.

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Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Ball Arena. Colorado Avalanche claimed a 3-2 win. Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point scored one goal each.

Vegas Golden Knights won their last game which was at home. It was a 1-0 triumph at T-Mobile Arena against Detroit Red Wings. Akira Schmid recorded 24 saves, with Ivan Barbashev scoring the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-1 in favor of the Lightning when they last played the Knights, with the encounter taking place at Benchmark International Arena. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-2	2.3	.913	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Carl Lindbom (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-4-2	3.2	.870	0

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 8.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.3 goals from 27.5 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.

Anthony Cirelli is the top points scorer with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.12 goal against average with a .915 save percentage.

The Knights have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 27.6 shots on goal, with a 20.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 25.7 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.9%.

The top points scorer is Jack Eichel with 13 points, 6 goals and 7 assists, while Mitchell Marner is next in line after registering 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Akira Schmid have a 2.18 GAA with a .914 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

Step into Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

There’s a strong case to be made for a low number of goals being scored in this NHL game. We’re happy to go for the -141 when it comes to the Unders selection.

Our hockey picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant NHL stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Lightning vs Golden Knights stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Golden Knights games at home.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 6.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, our pick carries a 58.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -141 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tomas Hertl Under 2.5 Shots -161

Tomas Hertl (Golden Knights) hasn't covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 7 of the past 10 games. We’re expecting the same thing to happen here, with this Shots on Goal bet available at -161.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 2 - 4 Golden Knights

One bet that has caught our eye is the Golden Knights to claim a 4-2 correct score win. This selection is available at +1500 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Golden Knights

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Knights

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Knights

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Knights

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3300

Knights

+2900

3-1

Lightning

+1900

Knights

+1700

3-2

Lightning

+850

Knights

+800

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Knights

+3500

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Knights

+1400

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Knights

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1100

Knights

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+8000

Knights

+6600

5-1

Lightning

+2900

Knights

+2200

5-2

Lightning

+1900

Knights

+1600

5-3

Lightning

+2500

Knights

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+2200

Knights

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+9000

6-1

Lightning

+7000

Knights

+5000

6-2

Lightning

+3500

Knights

+3000

6-3

Lightning

+3400

Knights

+2900

6-4

Lightning

+5500

Knights

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+5500

Knights

+5000

7-0

Lightning

+5500

Knights

+14000

7-1

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+9000

7-2

Lightning

+10000

Knights

+7500

7-3

Lightning

+6600

Knights

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+7500

Knights

+6600

7-5

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+12500

Knights

+12000

8-1

Lightning

+12500

Knights

+14000

8-2

Lightning

+12500

Knights

+12500

8-3

Lightning

+12500

Knights

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+13000

Knights

+12000

8-5

Lightning

+13000

Knights

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks have Vegas Golden Knights at -120 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 55% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At -100, Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

1.5 is the puck line and 6.5 is the total goals line. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +110.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every National Hockey League clash, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Lightning

-100

Knights

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+165

Tie

+330

Knights

+125

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-244

Knights -1.5

+194

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Goals they might score or the number of Assists or Points they might have.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.3
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.4
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 18.2
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 4.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8
• Blocks: 16.9
• Faceoff Wins : 33.3
• Hits: 20.4
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.1
• Shots: 28.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 19.2
• Faceoff Wins : 33.1
• Hits: 26.9
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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