Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Golden Knights

The Tampa Bay Lightning face off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, November 6. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Is the Total Too High or Too Low?

There could be a shortage of goals from the Lightning and the Golden Knights. Therefore, Under 6.5 goals makes lots of appeal, especially at odds of -141.

Like our Totals pick? Don’t forget to grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our in-depth site review before you place your wager.

Lightning Overtime Victory in Last H2H

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Ball Arena. Colorado Avalanche claimed a 3-2 win. Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point scored one goal each.

Vegas Golden Knights won their last game which was at home. It was a 1-0 triumph at T-Mobile Arena against Detroit Red Wings. Akira Schmid recorded 24 saves, with Ivan Barbashev scoring the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-1 in favor of the Lightning when they last played the Knights, with the encounter taking place at Benchmark International Arena. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-4-2	2.7	.900	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Akira Schmid (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-1-0	2.3	.908	1
23/24	5-9-0	3.15	.895	0

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 8.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.3 goals from 27.5 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.

Anthony Cirelli is the top points scorer with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.12 goal against average with a .915 save percentage.

The Knights have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 27.6 shots on goal, with a 20.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 25.7 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.9%.

The top points scorer is Jack Eichel with 13 points, 6 goals and 7 assists, while Mitchell Marner is next in line after registering 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Akira Schmid have a 2.18 GAA with a .914 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

Step into Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

There’s a strong case to be made for a low number of goals being scored in this NHL game. We’re happy to go for the -141 when it comes to the Unders selection.

Our hockey picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant NHL stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Lightning vs Golden Knights stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Golden Knights games at home.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 6.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, our pick carries a 58.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Best Bet

Under 6.5 Goals @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tomas Hertl Under 2.5 Shots -161

Tomas Hertl (Golden Knights) hasn't covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 7 of the past 10 games. We’re expecting the same thing to happen here, with this Shots on Goal bet available at -161.

Latest Tomas Hertl Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+220

First

+1300

Assists

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-161

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 2 - 4 Golden Knights

One bet that has caught our eye is the Golden Knights to claim a 4-2 correct score win. This selection is available at +1500 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Golden Knights

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Knights

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+5000

Knights

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1500

Knights

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3500

Knights

+3000

3-1

Lightning

+2000

Knights

+1800

3-2

Lightning

+900

Knights

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Knights

+3500

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Knights

+1500

4-2

Lightning

+1700

Knights

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Knights

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+8000

Knights

+6600

5-1

Lightning

+2900

Knights

+2400

5-2

Lightning

+1900

Knights

+1600

5-3

Lightning

+2500

Knights

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Knights

+1900

6-0

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+10000

6-1

Lightning

+7000

Knights

+5000

6-2

Lightning

+3500

Knights

+2900

6-3

Lightning

+3300

Knights

+2800

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Knights

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Knights

+4500

7-0

Lightning

+5000

Knights

+14000

7-1

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+9000

7-2

Lightning

+9000

Knights

+7000

7-3

Lightning

+6600

Knights

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+7000

Knights

+6000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Knights

+10000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-1

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+14000

8-2

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+12000

8-3

Lightning

+12000

Knights

+12500

8-4

Lightning

+13000

Knights

+11000

8-5

Lightning

+13000

Knights

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Knights Likelier Winners

The sportsbooks have Vegas Golden Knights at -130 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 56% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At +108, Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

1.5 is the puck line and 6.5 is the total goals line. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +114.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every National Hockey League clash, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Lightning

+108

Knights

-130

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+170

Tie

+320

Knights

+125

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-233

Knights -1.5

+184

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-141

Over 6.5

+114

Jack Eichel Favorite to Score the First Goal

There is +155 available that Jack Eichel finds the net at any stage. He is available at +1100 to register the first goal which makes him favorite.

Player Goals

Jack Eichel (Knights)

First

+155

Anytime

+1100

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

First

+165

Anytime

+1200

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+1100

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+180

Anytime

+1100

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1300

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

First

+220

Anytime

+1300

Mitch Marner (Knights)

First

+220

Anytime

+1400

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+280

Anytime

+1800

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

William Karlsson (Knights)

First

+340

Anytime

+2200

Brandon Saad (Knights)

First

+350

Anytime

+2000

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Brett Howden (Knights)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Reilly Smith (Knights)

First

+500

Anytime

+2800

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Shea Theodore (Knights)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Dominic James (Lightning)

First

+600

Anytime

+3300

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+4000

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

First

+675

Anytime

+3500

Cole Reinhardt (Knights)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Colton Sissons (Knights)

First

+725

Anytime

+3500

Keegan Kolesar (Knights)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+950

Anytime

+5000

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+6000

Ryan McDonagh (Lightning)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

Jeremy Lauzon (Knights)

First

+1500

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+130

Mitch Marner (Knights)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+120

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-100

Shea Theodore (Knights)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-130

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-250

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

William Karlsson (Knights)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-370

Player Shots

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+110

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-145

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-161

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Mitch Marner (Knights)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-154

William Karlsson (Knights)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Shea Theodore (Knights)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-100

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.3
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.4
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 18.2
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 4.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8
• Blocks: 16.9
• Faceoff Wins : 33.3
• Hits: 20.4
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.1
• Shots: 28.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 19.2
• Faceoff Wins : 33.1
• Hits: 26.9
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.4

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Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	13	20.62	5	7	12	0
86	Nikita Kucherov	11	20.85	5	6	11	-4
71	Anthony Cirelli	13	19.42	7	4	11	5

77	Victor Hedman	13	23.12	0	10	10	2
21	Brayden Point	13	19.07	3	6	9	-10
38	Brandon Hagel	13	20.78	4	5	9	3
27	Ryan McDonagh	13	21.2	3	3	6	0
29	Pontus Holmberg	13	12.52	1	4	5	4
37	Yanni Gourde	13	16.07	3	1	4	5
93	Gage Goncalves	13	12.05	0	4	4	-1
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	13	13.76	1	2	3	-1
28	Zemgus Girgensons	6	14.6	2	1	3	0
24	Maxwell Crozier	5	12.54	0	3	3	1
51	Charles-Edouard D'Astous	6	14.88	1	2	3	1
43	Darren Raddysh	7	14.83	1	2	3	-4
81	Erik Cernak	13	19.14	0	2	2	-1
90	Janis Jerome Moser	11	20.92	1	1	2	3
14	Conor Geekie	6	10.03	0	1	1	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	13	14.28	0	1	1	-3
17	Dominic James	7	12.4	0	0	0	-2
41	Mitchell Chaffee	7	9.49	0	0	0	0
	Curtis Douglas	9	5.11	0	0	0	1
62	Jack Finley	3	8.07	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	4	2.78	0.916
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	9	2.67	0.9

View More

Vegas Golden Knights Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
9	Jack Eichel	12	20.73	8	11	19	6
93	Mitchell Marner	12	20.74	3	11	14	8
61	Mark Stone	6	18.42	2	11	13	2

49	Ivan Barbashev	12	15.49	4	7	11	4
48	Tomas Hertl	12	17.64	5	6	11	4
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	12	17.41	9	1	10	2
71	William Karlsson	12	15.91	4	2	6	-2
27	Shea Theodore	12	24.26	0	5	5	2
5	Jeremy Lauzon	12	17.11	0	3	3	2
17	Ben Hutton	10	15.45	0	3	3	0
20	Brandon Saad	12	13.5	0	2	2	1
23	Cole Reinhardt	6	9.77	1	1	2	-1
21	Brett Howden	8	13.61	2	0	2	-4
6	Kaedan Korczak	12	16.55	1	1	2	4
19	Reilly Smith	12	13.56	1	1	2	-4
55	Keegan Kolesar	12	10.8	0	2	2	-2
2	Zach Whitecloud	12	17.7	0	1	1	2
10	Colton Sissons	10	10.84	0	1	1	-3
3	Brayden McNabb	12	21.57	0	0	0	2
26	Alexander Holtz	6	11.95	0	0	0	-1
30	Carl Lindbom	2	60.1	0	0	0	0
15	Noah Hanifin	2	23.35	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
40	Akira Schmid	7	2.31	0.908
33	Adin Hill	5	2.73	0.888

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.