Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Sabres

The Toronto Maple Leafs go up against the Buffalo Sabres in this NHL matchup at KeyBank Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, October 24. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

We’re Backing Sabres To Win

We’re keeping things simple by wagering the Sabres on the Moneyline. They should get the better of the Maple Leafs and our prediction is available at odds of -102.

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Leafs Have 7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to New Jersey Devils by a 5-2 scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. John Tavares and Matias Maccelli scored one goal apiece.

Buffalo Sabres were winners last time out. Their 4-2 victory against Detroit Red Wings at KeyBank Center was their third straight home triumph. The goals were shared around between four players including Josh Doan. Goalie Colten Ellis made 27 saves (.931).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the Leafs and the Sabres saw the former win. It was a 4-0 scoreline at KeyBank Center. The Leafs have five straight victories against the Sabres. They have won 7 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Anthony Stolarz (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-3-1	3	.894	0
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

Alex Lyon (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-4-0	2.6	.924	1
23/24	21-18-4	3.05	.904	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 26.6 shots on goal, with a 5.6% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have been giving up 3.7 goals from 29.1 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

William Nylander is the top points scorer with 13 points, 2 goals and 11 assists, with John Tavares recording 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 3.17 goal against average with a .889 save percentage.

The Sabres have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 29.9 shots on goal, with a 18.9% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.5 goals from 32.0 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.7%.

The top points scorer is Jack Quinn with 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, while Ryan McLeod is next in line after registering 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Alex Lyon have a 2.55 GAA with a .924 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction & Picks

This expert Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

There is a strong case that Buffalo Sabres will end up winning and that means heading to the Moneyline. You can get a generous -102 that the home team triumph in this NHL encounter.

Our expert NHL handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our hockey analysis.

Key Maple Leafs vs Sabres stats:

• Sabres have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Sabres have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Sabres have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 2 games.

Sabres Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps are estimating that there is a 50.5% likelihood of this pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s always a chance to get bigger win odds for Buffalo by combining this with the number of goals that are scored. Match Winner & Total Goals is a great betting option.

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Best Bet

Sabres Moneyline @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Sabres

A 3-2 win in favor of the Sabres is available at odds of +900. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Sabres

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Sabres

+5500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Sabres

+5000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1400

Sabres

+1500

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3000

Sabres

+3400

3-1

Maple Leafs

+1800

Sabres

+1900

3-2

Maple Leafs

+850

Sabres

+900

4-0

Maple Leafs

+3500

Sabres

+4500

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1500

Sabres

+1700

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1500

Sabres

+1600

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1000

Sabres

+1050

5-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Sabres

+8000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+2400

Sabres

+2800

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1600

Sabres

+1800

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2200

Sabres

+2500

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2000

Sabres

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+9000

Sabres

+12000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+5000

Sabres

+6600

6-2

Maple Leafs

+2900

Sabres

+3500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+2800

Sabres

+3300

6-4

Maple Leafs

+4500

Sabres

+5000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5000

Sabres

+5000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+9000

Sabres

+11000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+7000

Sabres

+9000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+5500

Sabres

+6600

7-4

Maple Leafs

+6000

Sabres

+7000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+10000

Sabres

+11000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+11000

Sabres

+12000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+11000

Sabres

+12500

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Predicting a Close-Run Battle

There’s the opportunity to back Buffalo Sabres at +106 on the Moneyline although Toronto Maple Leafs are priced up at betting odds of -128. The hosts have a 49% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are +110.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

-128

Sabres

+106

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+128

Tie

+330

Sabres

+165

Puck Line

Maple Leafs -1.5

+186

Sabres +1.5

-233

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 9.1
• Blocks: 19
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 30.2
• Giveaways: 17.6
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 25.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10
• Blocks: 20.7
• Faceoff Wins : 31.6
• Hits: 31
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9
• Blocks: 15.8
• Faceoff Wins : 27.5
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.6
• Blocks: 15.3
• Faceoff Wins : 26.6
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 5.4

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Team News

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
88	William Nylander	7	19.76	2	11	13	3
91	John Tavares	7	17.49	4	5	9	2
23	Matthew Knies	7	20.63	2	6	8	1

44	Morgan Rielly	7	22.19	2	4	6	-4
34	Auston Matthews	7	21.97	4	2	6	3
95	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	7	19.47	1	4	5	1
19	Calle Jaernkrok	6	11.53	3	0	3	-2
74	Bobby McMann	7	15.17	2	1	3	-1
18	Steven Lorentz	4	9.4	0	2	2	2
63	Matias Maccelli	7	13.81	1	1	2	3
55	Nicolas Roy	7	12.41	1	1	2	-3
22	Jake McCabe	7	21.1	1	1	2	4
2	Simon Benoit	7	17.5	0	1	1	2
89	Nick Robertson	7	11.01	0	1	1	-4
81	Dakota Joshua	7	11.34	0	1	1	-6
11	Max Domi	7	13.41	1	0	1	-4
8	Christopher Tanev	7	17.7	0	1	1	3
53	Easton Cowan	4	13.2	0	1	1	2
25	Brandon Carlo	7	18.54	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
	Cayden Primeau	1	4	0.867
41	Anthony Stolarz	6	3.17	0.889

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Buffalo Sabres Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
91	Josh Doan	7	15.51	3	3	6	1
9	Zach Benson	4	19.13	0	6	6	0
22	Jack Quinn	7	14.94	3	3	6	1

17	Jason Zucker	7	14.6	4	1	5	-5
26	Rasmus Dahlin	7	25.26	0	5	5	-7
71	Ryan McLeod	7	18.19	2	2	4	-2
89	Alex Tuch	7	20.24	1	3	4	1
72	Tage Thompson	7	19.11	1	3	4	-7
25	Owen Power	6	22.3	1	1	2	-3
48	Tyson Kozak	6	11.22	2	0	2	2
4	Bowen Byram	7	24.07	0	2	2	0
20	Jiri Kulich	7	16.4	2	0	2	-7
23	Mattias Samuelsson	5	19.56	0	2	2	-1
19	Peyton Krebs	7	12.67	0	2	2	-2
21	Conor Timmins	7	20.54	0	2	2	-3
78	Jacob Bryson	5	9.46	0	1	1	1
44	Josh Dunne	2	6.5	0	0	0	0
13	Josh Norris	1	18.9	0	0	0	0
	Zach Metsa	2	9.25	0	0	0	1
33	Ryan Johnson	3	9	0	0	0	0
29	Beck Malenstyn	6	10.42	0	0	0	-2
15	Justin Danforth	4	11.7	0	0	0	-2
55	Mason Geertsen	4	4.2	0	0	0	-1
36	Noah Oestlund	1	10	0	0	0	2

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
34	Alex Lyon	6	2.55	0.924
	Colten Ellis	1	2	0.931

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.