Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Feb 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Panthers

The Toronto Maple Leafs clash with the Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, February 26.

The Maple Leafs and the Panthers don’t look capable of passing the 6.5 goal line. It leads us to make an Unders prediction, with odds of -130 currently on offer.

Toronto Maple Leafs suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 4-2 scoreline occurred on the road at Benchmark International Arena against Tampa Bay Lightning. John Tavares and Matthew Knies each scored one goal.

Florida Panthers lost on the road in their last game. Tampa Bay Lightning won 6-1 at Benchmark International Arena. Panthers managed 34 shots and Mackie Samoskevich recorded the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs have claimed back-to-back victories over the Panthers. At Amerant Bank Arena they won 4-1 before winning 4-1 at Scotiabank Arena. Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-4	2.9	.908	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	21-17-1	3.2	.871	3
23/24	36-17-3	2.37	.915	6

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.7 goals from 29.3 shots on goal, with a 28.6% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 4.0 goals from 33.3 shots, averaging 2.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.4%.

Max Domi is the top points scorer with 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, with Auston Matthews racking up 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.50 goal against average with a .898 save percentage.

The Panthers have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 29.5 shots on goal, with a 12.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.5 goals from 23.8 shots, averaging 7.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.4%.

Matthew Tkachuk and Sam Reinhart have scored the most points on 8, with each player managing 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 3.34 GAA with a .850 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction & Picks

Head into Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

There is -130 available for Under 6.5 goals and that is our pick. It stands to reason that this NHL encounter will go under the line, with the lamp not being lit very often.

We only publish our hockey predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable NHL stats to support every pick we make.

Key Maple Leafs vs Panthers stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Maple Leafs games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Panthers games at home.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Panthers games at home.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 6.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 56.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Betting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return.

Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 01:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 4 - 2 Panthers

The Maple Leafs are available at +1800 to secure a 4-2 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Panthers

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Panthers

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Panthers

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1500

Panthers

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Panthers

+2800

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Panthers

+1700

3-2

Maple Leafs

+900

Panthers

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Panthers

+3400

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Panthers

+1400

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1800

Panthers

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1100

Panthers

+950

5-0

Maple Leafs

+10000

Panthers

+5500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3500

Panthers

+2000

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Panthers

+1400

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2800

Panthers

+2000

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2200

Panthers

+1900

6-0

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+8000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+8000

Panthers

+4500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4500

Panthers

+2500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3500

Panthers

+2500

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5500

Panthers

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5000

Panthers

+4500

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Panthers

+12500

7-1

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+7500

7-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Panthers

+6600

7-3

Maple Leafs

+7500

Panthers

+5000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7500

Panthers

+6000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Panthers

+10000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12000

Panthers

+11000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Panthers

+12500

8-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Panthers

+11000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+12000

Panthers

+11000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+10000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Panthers

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Florida Panthers are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -167. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +138 about Toronto Maple Leafs.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +106.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+138

Panthers

-167

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+205

Tie

+320

Panthers

+106

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-189

Panthers -1.5

+152

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Florida Panthers Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.20 pts and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 4.7
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 20.8
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.9
• Blocks: 9.1
• Faceoff Wins : 20.8
• Hits: 17.5
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 5.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 29.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 19.8
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 28.2
• Hits: 23.4
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 15.3
• Blocks: 17
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 26.3
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 4.4

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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