Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Canadiens

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, March 10.

The prediction is that the Canadiens will have the edge over the Maple Leafs in regulation time, with odds of -108 currently available on the 3-Way Moneyline. That looks a price worth taking on this value selection.

Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in seven straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Tampa Bay Lightning by a 5-2 scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. Matias Maccelli and Nick Robertson scored one goal each.

Montreal Canadiens won last time out by a 4-3 scoreline. It was on the road against Los Angeles Kings at Crypto.com Arena. Juraj Slafkovsky scored two goals, with Nick Suzuki and Jake Evans also scoring. Goalie Jakub Dobes made a total of 36 saves (.923).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Habs have claimed victories in the last two encounters against the Leafs. At Bell Centre, the scoreline was 5-2 and then we saw 2-1 (SO) at Scotiabank Arena. We’ve seen seven Leafs wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-10-4	3.1	.902	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	20-6-4	3.1	.891	0

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 20.0% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 3.6 goals from 33.8 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

William Nylander is the top points scorer with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, with Matias Maccelli recording 8 points, 6 goals and 2 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 2.74 goal against average with a .920 save percentage.

The Habs have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 overtime losses, averaging 4.5 goals from 26.9 shots on goal, with a 28.1% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.3 goals from 31.7 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

The top points scorer is Nick Suzuki with 15 points, 5 goals and 10 assists, while Noah Dobson is next in line after registering 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 3.11 GAA with a .900 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

The road team look opposable on the 60-minute line, so we’re going to make Montreal Canadiens our pick for this NHL encounter. You can currently get -108 for this selection which looks value.

We keep a close eye on the NHL team news and our handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter hockey predictions ahead of the action.

Key Maple Leafs vs Canadiens stats:

• Canadiens have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Canadiens have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 7 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 15 of their last 20 games.
• Canadiens have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Canadiens 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. However, our cappers have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this hockey bet.

For a bigger return on investment, bettors often wager Match Winner & Total Goals to get bigger odds for Montreal. The Puck Line and Winning Margin are good alternatives.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Canadiens 3-Way Moneyline @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 9, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 5 Canadiens

We’ve picked out a correct score of 5-3 being landed by the Canadiens. You can secure odds of +1900 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Canadiens

1-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Canadiens

+5500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Canadiens

+5000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1800

Canadiens

+1500

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+3000

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2400

Canadiens

+1800

3-2

Maple Leafs

+1000

Canadiens

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Canadiens

+3400

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Canadiens

+1300

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1900

Canadiens

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1100

Canadiens

+950

5-0

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+5500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+4000

Canadiens

+1900

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Canadiens

+1300

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2500

Canadiens

+1900

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2000

Canadiens

+1700

6-0

Maple Leafs

+2000

Canadiens

+8000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+9000

Canadiens

+4000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+2200

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3500

Canadiens

+2200

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Canadiens

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+4000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+12000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+14000

Canadiens

+6600

7-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+5500

7-3

Maple Leafs

+7500

Canadiens

+4000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7000

Canadiens

+5000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+9000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+10000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+11000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+9000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+11000

Canadiens

+10000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+13000

Canadiens

+9000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+13000

Canadiens

+11000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 63% probability of winning this game, Montreal Canadiens might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -169 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +140 about Toronto Maple Leafs.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are -110.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every National Hockey League clash, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+140

Canadiens

-169

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+230

Tie

+330

Canadiens

-108

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-179

Canadiens -1.5

+144

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-110

Over 6.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.7
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.7
• Blocks: 11
• Faceoff Wins : 25.2
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 30.3
• Hits: 20.9
• Giveaways: 12.5
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.6
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 12.9
• Takeaways: 4.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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