Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Apr 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Islanders

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the New York Islanders at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 18:45 on Thursday, April 9.

We are going to bet against the Maple Leafs with our prediction. The best way of doing this is by siding with the home team and we really like the -128 about the Islanders winning on the 3-Way Moneyline.

Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in three straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Washington Capitals by a 4-0 scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. Leafs won the shots on goal, 21 to 20.

New York Islanders lost on the road in their last game, making it four straight defeats. Carolina Hurricanes won 4-3 at Lenovo Center. Anders Lee, Maxim Shabanov and Marc Gatcomb each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Islanders have won the last two meetings against the Leafs. They triumphed 4-3 (OT) at UBS Arena and then 3-1 at Scotiabank Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Islanders victories.

Starting Goalies

Artur Akhtyamov (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-0-0	0	1.000	0

Ilya Sorokin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-22-2	2.7	.909	7
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 22.3 shots on goal, with a 18.4% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 4.1 goals from 33.2 shots, averaging 5.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.8%.

John Tavares is the top points scorer with 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, with William Nylander recording 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 4.31 goal against average with a .881 save percentage.

The Islanders have 3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 26.4 shots on goal, with a 13.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.7 goals from 28.7 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.9%.

The top points scorer is Matthew Schaefer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, while Bo Horvat is next best after having 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 3.42 GAA with a .883 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

Approach Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

There is -128 available when it comes to New York Islanders on the 60-minute line. We believe that our pick has a strong chance of winning this NHL clash and the odds makes lots of appeal.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NHL stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate hockey predictions.

Key Maple Leafs vs Islanders stats:

• Islanders have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Islanders have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 15 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 3 games.
• Islanders have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Islanders 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you can correctly predict that Islanders will win along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two picks by going down the Match Winner & Total Goals route.

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Our Game Prediction

Islanders 3-Way Moneyline @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Islanders

Our prediction for the correct score is the Islanders to land a 4-2 victory and this is available at +1300. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Islanders

1-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Islanders

+5500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Islanders

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1900

Islanders

+1500

3-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Islanders

+2500

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2800

Islanders

+1600

3-2

Maple Leafs

+1100

Islanders

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+7000

Islanders

+2800

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2500

Islanders

+1150

4-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Islanders

+1300

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1300

Islanders

+950

5-0

Maple Leafs

+12500

Islanders

+4500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+4500

Islanders

+1600

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2800

Islanders

+1200

5-3

Maple Leafs

+3000

Islanders

+1900

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2400

Islanders

+1800

6-0

Maple Leafs

+2400

Islanders

+6000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+11000

Islanders

+3300

6-2

Maple Leafs

+5500

Islanders

+2000

6-3

Maple Leafs

+4500

Islanders

+2200

6-4

Maple Leafs

+6000

Islanders

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5500

Islanders

+4500

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Islanders

+9000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+5500

Islanders

+5500

7-2

Maple Leafs

+14000

Islanders

+4500

7-3

Maple Leafs

+9000

Islanders

+4000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+8000

Islanders

+5000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+9000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+10000

8-0

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+14000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+9000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+8000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+9000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+8000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+12000

9-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+14000

9-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+12500

9-3

Maple Leafs

+12000

Islanders

+14000

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Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -250 with the sportsbooks, New York Islanders are regarded as 71% likely to win this game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +202 about Toronto Maple Leafs.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular hockey wagers. If you're keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at -105.

The best NHL sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for every matchup, with plenty of options available both before and during the game. Be sure to explore all the lines and odds before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+202

Islanders

-250

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+300

Tie

+360

Islanders

-141

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-128

Islanders -1.5

+104

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-115

Over 6.5

-105

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

New York Islanders Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 22.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 14.9
• Blocks: 11.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.3
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 22.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 15.2
• Blocks: 11.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.1
• Hits: 23.7
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 9
• Blocks: 14.5
• Faceoff Wins : 30.7
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 4.5
• Blocks: 14.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 4.7

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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