Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Penguins

The Toronto Maple Leafs go up against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG PAINTS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 29.

We are having a bet on the Penguins to beat the Maple Leafs. You can back our prediction at odds of -100 on the Moneyline and we think this offers good value.

Think Penguins has the edge? Check out our expert review of BetMGM before grabbing the latest promo code on offer.

Toronto Maple Leafs suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 4-2 scoreline occurred on the road at Capital One Arena against Washington Capitals. Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies scored one goal apiece.

Pittsburgh Penguins won last time out by a 4-3 (OT) scoreline. On the road against Columbus Blue Jackets at Nationwide Arena, they made it back-to-back wins. Sidney Crosby scored twice, with Bryan Rust and Kris Letang netting one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs have won the last two meetings against the Penguins. They triumphed 6-5 (OT) at PPG PAINTS Arena and then 4-3 at Scotiabank Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Leafs victories.

Starting Goalies

Dennis Hildeby (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-2-1	3.4	.906	0

Arturs Silovs (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	4-3-4	2.8	.907	1
23/24	3-0-1	2.47	.881	0

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 13.9% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 3.7 goals from 34.5 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.6%.

William Nylander is the top points scorer with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, with John Tavares recording 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 2.62 goal against average with a .919 save percentage.

The Penguins have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 25.0% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.6 goals from 25.4 shots, averaging 2.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.3%.

The top points scorer is Sidney Crosby with 9 points, 6 goals and 3 assists, while Bryan Rust is next in line after registering 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Sergei Murashov have a 1.90 GAA with a .913 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

This expert Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

For this NHL clash, we are going to bet against the road team with our pick. One way of doing this is by siding with Pittsburgh Penguins and we really like the -100 about them winning on the Moneyline.

Incoming team news often impacts the NHL betting lines in significant ways. Our handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each hockey prediction.

Key Maple Leafs vs Penguins stats:

• Penguins have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Penguins have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Penguins have won 2 consecutive games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Penguins Moneyline Probability

According to the best NHL betting sites, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.

There’s a way to increase the odds on your Moneyline bet by combining it with other picks. A Bet Builder allows you to make a number of other same-game selections.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Penguins Moneyline @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Penguins

We’re predicting the Penguins to land a 4-2 victory and this is available at +1600. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Penguins

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Penguins

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Penguins

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1300

Penguins

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3000

Penguins

+3300

3-1

Maple Leafs

+1800

Penguins

+1800

3-2

Maple Leafs

+800

Penguins

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Penguins

+4000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1500

Penguins

+1600

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1500

Penguins

+1600

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1000

Penguins

+1050

5-0

Maple Leafs

+7000

Penguins

+7500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+2500

Penguins

+2800

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1700

Penguins

+1800

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2400

Penguins

+2500

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2000

Penguins

+2200

6-0

Maple Leafs

+10000

Penguins

+12000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+6000

Penguins

+6600

6-2

Maple Leafs

+3300

Penguins

+3500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3000

Penguins

+3300

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Penguins

+5000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5000

Penguins

+5000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+10000

Penguins

+11000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+8000

Penguins

+9000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+6000

Penguins

+6600

7-4

Maple Leafs

+6600

Penguins

+7500

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Penguins

+11000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12000

Penguins

+12500

8-4

Maple Leafs

+12000

Penguins

+13000

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

There are betting odds of -100 about Pittsburgh Penguins winning, with Toronto Maple Leafs currently available at -120. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this game is 55%.

1.5 is the puck line and 5.5 is the total goals line. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -128.

The best betting apps provide an extensive range of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. Take the time to explore all your options before placing your bet to ensure you find the best value.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

-120

Penguins

-100

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+138

Tie

+310

Penguins

+155

Puck Line

Maple Leafs -1.5

+198

Penguins +1.5

-250

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+104

Over 5.5

-128

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 34.7
• Hits: 24.8
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.5
• Blocks: 16.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31.5
• Hits: 25.8
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 5.1
• Blocks: 14.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.8
• Hits: 14
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6.5
• Blocks: 13.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 14.3
• Giveaways: 18.6
• Takeaways: 4.1

You can watch NHL live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.

You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.

Maple Leafs vs Penguins Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Top Ice Hockey Pages