Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 21:30 on Thursday, January 15.

There’s an attractive -143 that the Golden Knights are able to get the better of the Maple Leafs. This bet can be secured on the Moneyline and we’re confident that it can happen.

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Toronto Maple Leafs were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Delta Center. Utah Mammoth claimed a 6-1 win. Calle Jaernkrok found the net from 20 Leafs shots.

Vegas Golden Knights won last time out by a 3-2 (OT) scoreline. On the road against Los Angeles Kings at Crypto.com Arena, they made it five wins on the spin. Mark Stone, Mitchell Marner and Braeden Bowman scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Knights beat the Leafs when the teams last met. It was a 5-2 scoreline at T-Mobile Arena. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-4-2	2.6	.918	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Carl Lindbom (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-4-2	3	.873	0

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 26.2 shots on goal, with a 21.9% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 2.8 goals from 32.4 shots, averaging 3.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.1%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 14 points, 8 goals and 6 assists, with Matthew Knies recording 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 2.60 goal against average with a .915 save percentage, including two shutouts.

The Knights have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 25.3 shots on goal, with a 23.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.3 goals from 23.2 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.0%.

The top points scorer is Mark Stone with 14 points, 8 goals and 6 assists, while Tomas Hertl is next in line after registering 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Akira Schmid have a 2.43 GAA with a .893 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

Vegas Golden Knights should have the edge over their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -143 for the home team to win this NHL encounter.

Team news plays a key role in our hockey predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NHL form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights stats:

• Golden Knights have won 5 consecutive games.
• Golden Knights have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Knights Moneyline Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Puck Line provides you with the opportunity to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Vegas and choose the odds that suit you.

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Our Game Prediction

Golden Knights Moneyline @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mark Stone To Score +150

Mark Stone (Golden Knights) has scored at least one goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +150 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Mark Stone Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+150

First

+1000

Assists

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-110

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-189

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Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 6 Golden Knights

There’s the option to wager on the Golden Knights to win by a 6-3 scoreline. Odds of +2500 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Golden Knights

1-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Knights

+5500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Knights

+5000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1600

Knights

+1500

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+3300

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Knights

+1800

3-2

Maple Leafs

+900

Knights

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+3500

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1900

Knights

+1500

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1700

Knights

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1050

Knights

+950

5-0

Maple Leafs

+9000

Knights

+6000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3300

Knights

+2200

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2000

Knights

+1500

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2500

Knights

+2000

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2000

Knights

+1800

6-0

Maple Leafs

+13000

Knights

+9000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+7500

Knights

+5000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+2800

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3300

Knights

+2500

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4500

Knights

+4500

7-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Knights

+14000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+12500

Knights

+8000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+10000

Knights

+6600

7-3

Maple Leafs

+6600

Knights

+5000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7000

Knights

+5500

7-5

Maple Leafs

+10000

Knights

+9000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+11000

Knights

+10000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+11000

Knights

+13000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Knights

+11000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+11000

Knights

+11000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+12500

Knights

+10000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Knights

+12500

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Vegas Golden Knights odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -133 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 57% chance of winning. Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +112.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +110.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+112

Knights

-133

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+188

Tie

+320

Knights

+115

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-233

Knights -1.5

+186

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

You will find Auston Matthews at +1000 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +135 that he finds the net at anytime.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+135

Anytime

+1000

Mark Stone (Knights)

First

+150

Anytime

+1000

Jack Eichel (Knights)

First

+155

Anytime

+1000

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

First

+230

Anytime

+1300

Mitch Marner (Knights)

First

+260

Anytime

+1600

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+260

Anytime

+1700

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+280

Anytime

+1800

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+310

Anytime

+1900

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

First

+320

Anytime

+1800

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Reilly Smith (Knights)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Easton Cowan (Maple Leafs)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Alexander Holtz (Knights)

First

+575

Anytime

+3500

Braeden Bowman (Knights)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Shea Theodore (Knights)

First

+625

Anytime

+3300

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+750

Anytime

+4000

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Keegan Kolesar (Knights)

First

+900

Anytime

+5000

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Steven Lorentz (Maple Leafs)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Colton Sissons (Knights)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Cole Reinhardt (Knights)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Calle Jarnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

Simon Benoit (Maple Leafs)

First

+2000

Anytime

+8000

Ben Hutton (Knights)

First

+2000

Anytime

+8000

Player Assists

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

+115

Mitch Marner (Knights)

Over 0.5

-145

Under 0.5

+110

Mark Stone (Knights)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-110

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-145

Shea Theodore (Knights)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-278

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-294

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-175

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-145

Mark Stone (Knights)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-189

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-105

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-149

Shea Theodore (Knights)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-200

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Mitch Marner (Knights)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+140

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-115

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+130

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 26.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.7
• Blocks: 8.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.3
• Hits: 20.7
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.1
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.4
• Blocks: 8.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 21.2
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 4.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 12.4
• Faceoff Wins : 22.6
• Hits: 23.7
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.2
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 26.3
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 5.1

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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