Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 21:30 on Thursday, January 15.

There’s an attractive -143 that the Golden Knights are able to get the better of the Maple Leafs. This bet can be secured on the Moneyline and we’re confident that it can happen.

Toronto Maple Leafs were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Delta Center. Utah Mammoth claimed a 6-1 win. Calle Jaernkrok found the net from 20 Leafs shots.

Vegas Golden Knights won last time out by a 3-2 (OT) scoreline. On the road against Los Angeles Kings at Crypto.com Arena, they made it five wins on the spin. Mark Stone, Mitchell Marner and Braeden Bowman scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Knights beat the Leafs when the teams last met. It was a 5-2 scoreline at T-Mobile Arena. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-9-4	3.1	.906	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-4-3	3.5	.858	0
23/24	19-12-2	2.71	.909	2

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 26.2 shots on goal, with a 21.9% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 2.8 goals from 32.4 shots, averaging 3.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.1%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 14 points, 8 goals and 6 assists, with Matthew Knies recording 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 2.60 goal against average with a .915 save percentage, including two shutouts.

The Knights have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 25.3 shots on goal, with a 23.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.3 goals from 23.2 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.0%.

The top points scorer is Mark Stone with 14 points, 8 goals and 6 assists, while Tomas Hertl is next in line after registering 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Akira Schmid have a 2.43 GAA with a .893 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

Vegas Golden Knights should have the edge over their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -143 for the home team to win this NHL encounter.

Team news plays a key role in our hockey predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NHL form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights stats:

• Golden Knights have won 5 consecutive games.
• Golden Knights have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Knights Moneyline Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Puck Line provides you with the opportunity to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Vegas and choose the odds that suit you.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

Golden Knights Moneyline @ -143 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 15, 03:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mark Stone To Score +150

Mark Stone (Golden Knights) has scored at least one goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +150 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 6 Golden Knights

There’s the option to wager on the Golden Knights to win by a 6-3 scoreline. Odds of +2800 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Golden Knights

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Knights

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1500

Knights

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3500

Knights

+2900

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Knights

+1700

3-2

Maple Leafs

+900

Knights

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Knights

+3500

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1800

Knights

+1400

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1700

Knights

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1100

Knights

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+9000

Knights

+6000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3000

Knights

+2200

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1900

Knights

+1500

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2500

Knights

+2200

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2200

Knights

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+13000

Knights

+9000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+7000

Knights

+5000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+2800

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3400

Knights

+2800

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+5000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+13000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Knights

+8000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+10000

Knights

+6600

7-3

Maple Leafs

+7000

Knights

+5000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7500

Knights

+6000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Knights

+10000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Knights

+13000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+12000

Knights

+12000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+13000

Knights

+11000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Knights

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Vegas Golden Knights odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -130 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 56% chance of winning. Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +108.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +112.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+108

Knights

-130

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+180

Tie

+335

Knights

+114

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-233

Knights -1.5

+184

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-139

Over 6.5

+112

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the goalie and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 26.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.7
• Blocks: 8.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.3
• Hits: 20.7
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.1
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.4
• Blocks: 8.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 21.2
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 4.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 12.4
• Faceoff Wins : 22.6
• Hits: 23.7
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.2
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 26.3
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 5.1

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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