Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Capitals

The Toronto Maple Leafs clash with the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 17:00 on Friday, November 28.

There is +108 available when it comes to the Capitals on the 3-Way Moneyline and we’re expecting the home team to beat the Maple Leafs in regulation time. There’s lots of juice when it comes to backing our prediction.

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Toronto Maple Leafs got the win in their previous game. A 2-1 (OT) triumph occurred on the road at Nationwide Arena when playing Columbus Blue Jackets. William Nylander and Easton Cowan scored one goal each. Goalie Joseph Woll was red hot in the net, stopping 35 shots (.972).

Washington Capitals won their last game 4-3, making it successive victories. This was a home win at Capital One Arena against Winnipeg Jets. There were four different goalscorers including John Carlson.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Caps have beaten the Leafs in their last two meetings, winning by 3-1 and 5-2 scorelines. Both encounters were played at Scotiabank Arena. It’s been seven Leafs wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-4	2.9	.908	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-16-4	2.5	.912	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 13.5% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 3.6 goals from 33.5 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.0%.

William Nylander is the top points scorer with 13 points, 6 goals and 7 assists, with John Tavares racking up 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 2.53 goal against average with a .921 save percentage.

The Caps have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.0 goals from 30.9 shots on goal, with a 10.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.0 goals from 25.9 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 78.1%.

The top points scorer is Alexander Ovechkin with 12 points, 8 goals and 4 assists, while Jakob Chychrun is next best after having 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 3.15 GAA with a .881 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We are having a wager on Washington Capitals in this NHL clash and they could prove too strong. You can back our pick at +108 on the 60-minute line and we think this offers good value.

We put solid research behind every hockey prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NHL stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions

Key Maple Leafs vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Capitals have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Capitals have won 2 consecutive games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Capitals have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Caps 3-Way Moneyline Probability

If you go by the best NHL sportsbooks, our pick has a 48.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for tastier odds about Washington to win and a certain number of goals to be scored, then make a selection on the Match Winner & Goals lines.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Game Prediction

Capitals 3-Way Moneyline @ +108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:56, 27 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Connor McMichael Over 1.5 Shots -164

Connor McMichael (Capitals) has finished with Over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -164 available.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 5 Capitals

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Capitals to win 5-2. The odds of +1400 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Capitals

1-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Capitals

+5500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Capitals

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1700

Capitals

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Capitals

+3000

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2400

Capitals

+1700

3-2

Maple Leafs

+950

Capitals

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Capitals

+3500

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Capitals

+1400

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1900

Capitals

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1100

Capitals

+900

5-0

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+5500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+4000

Capitals

+2000

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Capitals

+1400

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2800

Capitals

+1900

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2000

Capitals

+1700

6-0

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+8000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+9000

Capitals

+4500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4500

Capitals

+2400

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3500

Capitals

+2400

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Capitals

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4500

Capitals

+4000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Capitals

+12500

7-1

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+7500

7-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Capitals

+6000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+7500

Capitals

+4500

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7500

Capitals

+5000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+9000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+10000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+12000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+10000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+10000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+9000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Washington Capitals are -167 favorites and that means a 63% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Toronto Maple Leafs are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +138.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s +112.

Every National Hockey League matchup brings hundreds of team props and game lines to explore, with the top betting apps delivering a deep lineup of pre-game and in-game markets.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+138

Capitals

-167

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+235

Tie

+310

Capitals

-105

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-179

Capitals -1.5

+144

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-139

Over 6.5

+112

The top gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. Goalie and player props can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 10.4
• Faceoff Wins : 32.7
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 12.5
• Faceoff Wins : 33.1
• Hits: 23.2
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6.5
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 24.1
• Hits: 17.4
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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