Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Capitals

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, December 18.

We’re keeping our prediction simple which is the Capitals to secure a victory in 60 minutes. The home team should have the edge over the Maple Leafs and the 3-Way Moneyline offers an attractive -102.

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Toronto Maple Leafs have claimed three consecutive road victories. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 3-2 home triumph against Chicago Blackhawks at Scotiabank Arena. Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Auston Matthews and Dakota Joshua each scored one goal.

Washington Capitals have been beaten in their last three games. On the road at Xcel Energy Center, Minnesota Wild recently beat them 5-0. Caps lost the shots on goal, 25 to 32.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Caps claim a 4-2 win over the Leafs at Capital One Arena. The Caps have beaten the Leafs on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 10 meetings, they have lost 6 of the past 10 head-to-head clashes.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-3-1	2.4	.923	0
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Logan Thompson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-3	2.1	.922	1
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 25.7 shots on goal, with a 10.7% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 2.1 goals from 32.1 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.6%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, with Matthew Knies racking up 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.09 goal against average with a .936 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Caps have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 30.6 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.9%.

The top points scorer is Alexander Ovechkin with 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists, while Tom Wilson is next best after having 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.95 GAA with a .939 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

We can’t resist going for Washington Capitals on the 60-minute line, with our pick made with confidence and there is -102 available that they win this NHL clash in regulation time.

We put solid research behind every hockey prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NHL stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions

Key Maple Leafs vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Capitals have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 11 of their last 20 games.
• Capitals have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Caps 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

For a bigger return on investment, bettors often wager Match Winner & Total Goals to get bigger odds for Washington. The Puck Line and Winning Margin are good alternatives.

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Our Game Prediction

Capitals 3-Way Moneyline @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John Tavares Over 2.5 Shots +115

John Tavares (Maple Leafs) has fired Over 2.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games on the road. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of +115.

Latest John Tavares Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+220

First

+1300

Assists

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-208

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

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Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Capitals

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Capitals to win 4-2. The odds of +1400 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Capitals

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Capitals

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Capitals

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1500

Capitals

+1300

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Capitals

+2500

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Capitals

+1600

3-2

Maple Leafs

+950

Capitals

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Capitals

+3000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Capitals

+1300

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1800

Capitals

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1150

Capitals

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+10000

Capitals

+5000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3500

Capitals

+1900

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Capitals

+1400

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2800

Capitals

+2200

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2400

Capitals

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+7500

6-1

Maple Leafs

+8000

Capitals

+4000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4500

Capitals

+2500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+4000

Capitals

+2500

6-4

Maple Leafs

+6000

Capitals

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5500

Capitals

+5000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Capitals

+12000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+7000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+6000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+8000

Capitals

+5000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+8000

Capitals

+6000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+12500

Capitals

+10000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+12000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+12000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+11000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+11000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+11000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+14000

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Washington Capitals are -154 favorites and that means a 61% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to back Toronto Maple Leafs, you will find +128 about the underdogs.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -120.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League matchup, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+128

Capitals

-154

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+215

Tie

+330

Capitals

-102

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-192

Capitals -1.5

+154

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-102

Over 5.5

-120

Favorite Alex Ovechkin is available at +900 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the last goal.

Player Goals

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

First

+130

Anytime

+900

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+140

Anytime

+900

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

First

+155

Anytime

+900

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+220

Anytime

+1300

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

First

+270

Anytime

+1600

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+290

Anytime

+1900

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

First

+333

Anytime

+1900

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

First

+375

Anytime

+2000

Justin Sourdif (Capitals)

First

+390

Anytime

+2000

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Ethen Frank (Capitals)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+500

Anytime

+2800

Sonny Milano (Capitals)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Easton Cowan (Maple Leafs)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

John Carlson (Capitals)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+625

Anytime

+3500

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+700

Anytime

+3300

Dakota Joshua (Maple Leafs)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Nic Dowd (Capitals)

First

+800

Anytime

+3500

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

First

+800

Anytime

+4500

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Brandon Duhaime (Capitals)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Hendrix Lapierre (Capitals)

First

+950

Anytime

+5000

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Steven Lorentz (Maple Leafs)

First

+1100

Anytime

+6000

Rasmus Sandin (Capitals)

First

+1200

Anytime

+8000

Martin Fehervary (Capitals)

First

+1400

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-130

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-208

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-323

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-370

Player Shots

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-185

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-141

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-200

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+120

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+120

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-145

Under 1.5

+105

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-100

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 10.4
• Faceoff Wins : 32.7
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 12.5
• Faceoff Wins : 33.1
• Hits: 23.2
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6.5
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 24.1
• Hits: 17.4
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.4

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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