Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Capitals

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, December 18.

We’re keeping our prediction simple which is the Capitals to secure a victory in 60 minutes. The home team should have the edge over the Maple Leafs and the 3-Way Moneyline offers an attractive -102.

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Toronto Maple Leafs have claimed three consecutive road victories. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 3-2 home triumph against Chicago Blackhawks at Scotiabank Arena. Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Auston Matthews and Dakota Joshua each scored one goal.

Washington Capitals have been beaten in their last three games. On the road at Xcel Energy Center, Minnesota Wild recently beat them 5-0. Caps lost the shots on goal, 25 to 32.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Caps claim a 4-2 win over the Leafs at Capital One Arena. The Caps have beaten the Leafs on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 10 meetings, they have lost 6 of the past 10 head-to-head clashes.

Starting Goalies

Dennis Hildeby (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-6-4	2.9	.910	1

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-16-4	2.5	.912	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 25.7 shots on goal, with a 10.7% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 2.1 goals from 32.1 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.6%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, with Matthew Knies racking up 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.09 goal against average with a .936 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Caps have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 30.6 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.9%.

The top points scorer is Alexander Ovechkin with 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists, while Tom Wilson is next best after having 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.95 GAA with a .939 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

We can’t resist going for Washington Capitals on the 60-minute line, with our pick made with confidence and there is -102 available that they win this NHL clash in regulation time.

We put solid research behind every hockey prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NHL stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions

Key Maple Leafs vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Capitals have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 11 of their last 20 games.
• Capitals have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Caps 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

For a bigger return on investment, bettors often wager Match Winner & Total Goals to get bigger odds for Washington. The Puck Line and Winning Margin are good alternatives.

Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.

Our Game Prediction

Capitals 3-Way Moneyline @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:56, 17 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John Tavares Over 2.5 Shots +115

John Tavares (Maple Leafs) has fired Over 2.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games on the road. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of +115.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Capitals

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Capitals to win 4-2. The odds of +1400 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Capitals

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Capitals

+4500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Capitals

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1400

Capitals

+1300

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3500

Capitals

+2500

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Capitals

+1600

3-2

Maple Leafs

+900

Capitals

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Capitals

+3000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1900

Capitals

+1300

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1800

Capitals

+1400

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1150

Capitals

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+9000

Capitals

+5500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3400

Capitals

+2000

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Capitals

+1400

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2800

Capitals

+2200

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2400

Capitals

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+8000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+8000

Capitals

+4500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4500

Capitals

+2800

6-3

Maple Leafs

+4000

Capitals

+2800

6-4

Maple Leafs

+6000

Capitals

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5500

Capitals

+5000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Capitals

+12500

7-1

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+7500

7-2

Maple Leafs

+11000

Capitals

+6600

7-3

Maple Leafs

+8000

Capitals

+5000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+8000

Capitals

+6600

7-5

Maple Leafs

+12500

Capitals

+11000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+12500

8-1

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+12500

8-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+11000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+13000

Capitals

+12000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+11000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Capitals

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Washington Capitals are -154 favorites and that means a 61% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to back Toronto Maple Leafs, you will find +128 about the underdogs.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -128.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League matchup, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+128

Capitals

-154

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+205

Tie

+330

Capitals

+104

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-200

Capitals -1.5

+160

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+104

Over 5.5

-128

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Blocked Shots, Powerplay Points, Shots on Goal and Assists. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 10.4
• Faceoff Wins : 32.7
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 12.5
• Faceoff Wins : 33.1
• Hits: 23.2
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6.5
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 24.1
• Hits: 17.4
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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