Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Jets

The Toronto Maple Leafs meet the Winnipeg Jets at Canada Life Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, January 17.

The Maple Leafs and the Jets should combine to produce Over 5.5 goals. Our prediction is available at -123 which looks a great price.

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Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 6-5 (OT) loss against Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena. Morgan Rielly found the net along with four other players.

Winnipeg Jets won their last game 6-2, making it four on the bounce. This was a road victory at Xcel Energy Center against Minnesota Wild. Mark Scheifele had 4 points, featuring 1 goal and 3 assists. Goalie Connor Hellebuyck made a total of 32 saves (.941).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 6-5 triumph when facing the Jets at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-4-3	2.7	.912	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Connor Hellebuyck (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	12-12-4	2.7	.901	0
23/24	37-19-4	2.39	.921	5

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 25.7 shots on goal, with a 17.2% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 2.9 goals from 32.6 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.3%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 12 points, 8 goals and 4 assists, with John Tavares racking up 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 2.73 goal against average with a .911 save percentage, including two shutouts.

The Jets have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 25.8 shots on goal, with a 9.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.3 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 70.4%.

The top points scorer is Mark Scheifele with 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, while Kyle Connor is next in line after registering 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Connor Hellebuyck have a 3.16 GAA with a .884 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction & Picks

Our expert Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Our view on this NHL clash is that the teams will go over the total line. Therefore, our pick is to back the Over selection with confidence at -123.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NHL handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Maple Leafs vs Jets stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Maple Leafs games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Maple Leafs games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Jets games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Jets games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Over 5.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider a bet on Match Winner & Total Goals. Get both predictions correct for a profitable return.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 5.5 Goals @ -123 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 5 Jets

Our prediction for the correct score is the Jets to land a 5-2 victory and this is available at +1600. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Jets

1-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Jets

+4500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Jets

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1300

Jets

+1200

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3300

Jets

+2800

3-1

Maple Leafs

+1800

Jets

+1600

3-2

Maple Leafs

+850

Jets

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Jets

+3400

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1700

Jets

+1400

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1700

Jets

+1500

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1100

Jets

+1050

5-0

Maple Leafs

+8000

Jets

+6000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3000

Jets

+2200

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2000

Jets

+1600

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2800

Jets

+2400

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2200

Jets

+2200

6-0

Maple Leafs

+12500

Jets

+10000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+7500

Jets

+5500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+4000

Jets

+3000

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3500

Jets

+3000

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5500

Jets

+5000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+6000

Jets

+5500

7-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Jets

+14000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+12500

Jets

+9000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+10000

Jets

+8000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+7500

Jets

+6000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+8000

Jets

+7000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+12500

Jets

+11000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+13000

Jets

+13000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Jets

+13000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+13000

Jets

+14000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+14000

Jets

+12500

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Winnipeg Jets odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -130 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 56% chance of winning. Toronto Maple Leafs are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +108.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -123.

National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+108

Jets

-130

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+175

Tie

+310

Jets

+125

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-233

Jets -1.5

+186

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Winnipeg Jets Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 7.9
• Faceoff Wins : 21.8
• Hits: 19.2
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.1
• Shots: 24.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 5.8
• Blocks: 7.6
• Faceoff Wins : 21.2
• Hits: 20.7
• Giveaways: 17.5
• Takeaways: 4.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 6.3
• Blocks: 10.8
• Faceoff Wins : 20.3
• Hits: 21.5
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.7
• Blocks: 12.4
• Faceoff Wins : 22.6
• Hits: 22.1
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 3.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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