Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 May 2025

We’re Expecting Lots of Goals

Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 21-13-7 Away) face Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 22-17-2 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round game at Xcel Energy Center. The Knights lead the series 3-2.

The sportsbooks have been generous with the -108 that we see the Golden Knights and the Wild score Over 5.5 goals combined. We’re expecting the lamp to be lit multiple times.

8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Games for Knights

When Vegas Golden Knights and Minnesota Wild met on Tuesday night, the Knights managed a 3-2 (OT) victory at T-Mobile Arena.

The Knights had 32 shots on goal, with William Karlsson, Mark Stone and Brett Howden scoring one goal each. The Wild managed 22 shots on goal, with Matthew Boldy and Kirill Kaprizov each scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Knights have won eight of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-0-2	2.8	.888	0
23/24	19-12-2	2.71	.909	2

Filip Gustavsson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-6-1	3.4	.892	1
23/24	20-18-4	3.06	.899	3

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 31.7 shots on goal, with a 18.5% powerplay efficiency. The Knights have been giving up 2.8 goals from 24.5 shots, averaging 2.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 73.9%.

Tomas Hertl is the top points scorer with 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, with William Karlsson recording 6 points, 3 goals and 3 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Adin Hill have a 2.71 goal against average with a .876 save percentage.

The Wild have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 29.8 shots on goal, with a 24.1% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.2 goals from 30.0 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 77.8%.

The top points scorer is Matthew Boldy with 16 points, 7 goals and 9 assists, while Kirill Kaprizov is next in line after having 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Filip Gustavsson have a 2.62 GAA with a .909 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

We’re expecting the net to be found on a frequent basis and that leads us to an Overs pick on the goal line. Let’s grab the -108 that this outcome happens in the NHL encounter.

A great deal of research goes into our NHL predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key player and goalie stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Golden Knights vs Wild stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Golden Knights games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Golden Knights games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Golden Knights games on the road this season.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Wild games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Wild games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Wild games at home this season.

Over 5.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

The sportsbooks allow you to shoot for bigger odds by moving the line when it comes to your Total wager. Choose a number where you’re happy and get more juice.

Best Bet

Over 5.5 Goals @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pavel Dorofeyev Over 2.5 Shots -192

Pavel Dorofeyev (Golden Knights) has recorded Over 2.5 shots on goal in 9 of the past 10 games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of -192.

Latest Pavel Dorofeyev Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+220

First

+1150

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-192

Under 2.5

+147

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Golden Knights 2 - 5 Wild

Let’s go for the Wild to win 5-2, a bet which is available at +2200. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Golden Knights

Wild

1-0

Knights

+4000

Wild

+4500

2-0

Knights

+3500

Wild

+4500

2-1

Knights

+1100

Wild

+1400

3-0

Knights

+2200

Wild

+3300

3-1

Knights

+1500

Wild

+1900

3-2

Knights

+750

Wild

+950

4-0

Knights

+2800

Wild

+4500

4-1

Knights

+1200

Wild

+1900

4-2

Knights

+1400

Wild

+1900

4-3

Knights

+1050

Wild

+1300

5-0

Knights

+5000

Wild

+9000

5-1

Knights

+1900

Wild

+3500

5-2

Knights

+1500

Wild

+2200

5-3

Knights

+2400

Wild

+3000

5-4

Knights

+2200

Wild

+2800

6-0

Knights

+7500

Wild

+14000

6-1

Knights

+4500

Wild

+9000

6-2

Knights

+2800

Wild

+4500

6-3

Knights

+3000

Wild

+4500

6-4

Knights

+5500

Wild

+6600

6-5

Knights

+6000

Wild

+7000

7-1

Knights

+7500

Wild

+14000

7-2

Knights

+6600

Wild

+12500

7-3

Knights

+5500

Wild

+9000

7-4

Knights

+7000

Wild

+10000

7-5

Knights

+12000

Wild

+14000

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Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest a Close-Run Battle

Vegas Golden Knights have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 63% probability due to their -167 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Minnesota Wild are trading at +138.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. The Over 5.5 selection is available to back at -115.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Hockey League, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have lots of options.

Moneyline

Knights

-167

Wild

+138

3-Way Moneyline

Knights

-103

Tie

+340

Wild

+215

Puck Line

Knights -1.5

+154

Wild +1.5

-192

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-105

Over 5.5

-115

Kirill Kaprizov Favorite to Find the Net First

Kirill Kaprizov is available at +128 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +750 to find the net first.

Player Goals

Kirill Kaprizov (Wild)

First

+128

Anytime

+750

Jack Eichel (Knights)

First

+160

Anytime

+900

Matthew Boldy (Wild)

First

+185

Anytime

+1000

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

First

+185

Anytime

+1000

Mark Stone (Knights)

First

+220

Anytime

+1150

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

First

+220

Anytime

+1150

Joel Eriksson Ek (Wild)

First

+240

Anytime

+1200

William Karlsson (Knights)

First

+280

Anytime

+1400

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

First

+300

Anytime

+1500

Victor Olofsson (Knights)

First

+300

Anytime

+1500

Mats Zuccarello (Wild)

First

+330

Anytime

+1600

Brandon Saad (Knights)

First

+375

Anytime

+1800

Reilly Smith (Knights)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

Marco Rossi (Wild)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Marcus Johansson (Wild)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Ryan Hartman (Wild)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Brett Howden (Knights)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Tanner Pearson (Knights)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Shea Théodore (Knights)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Gustav Nyquist (Wild)

First

+510

Anytime

+2200

Marcus Foligno (Wild)

First

+510

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Kirill Kaprizov (Wild)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+125

Matthew Boldy (Wild)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 2.5

-192

Under 2.5

+147

Joel Eriksson Ek (Wild)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+140

Mark Stone (Knights)

Over 1.5

-196

Under 1.5

+147

William Karlsson (Knights)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Victor Olofsson (Knights)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+103

Mats Zuccarello (Wild)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Reilly Smith (Knights)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-143

Ryan Hartman (Wild)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Shea Théodore (Knights)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Minnesota Wild Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 31.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 2.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 4.9
• Blocks: 20.3
• Faceoff Wins : 33.6
• Hits: 22.8
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 33
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 2.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 5.1
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 32.5
• Hits: 19.9
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.1

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 17.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.6
• Hits: 30.9
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 5.9
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 24.2
• Giveaways: 13
• Takeaways: 5.5

Team News

Vegas Golden Knights Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
48	Tomas Hertl	5	18.88	3	2	5	-1
7	Alex Pietrangelo	5	22.82	1	2	3	3
21	Brett Howden	5	12.62	3	0	3	1

10	Nicolas Roy	5	14.16	1	2	3	1
9	Jack Eichel	5	22.4	0	3	3	-6
15	Noah Hanifin	5	23.66	1	2	3	-1
71	William Karlsson	5	17.08	1	1	2	0
27	Shea Theodore	5	21.54	1	1	2	-4
49	Ivan Barbashev	5	16.44	1	1	2	-2
19	Reilly Smith	5	15.9	1	1	2	1
	Brandon Saad	5	14.52	0	2	2	0
61	Mark Stone	5	21.62	1	1	2	-3
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	5	17.66	1	1	2	-5
3	Brayden McNabb	5	20.14	0	1	1	-2
14	Nicolas Hague	5	17.68	0	1	1	1
2	Zach Whitecloud	5	18.32	0	1	1	-1
70	Tanner Pearson	2	8.3	0	1	1	-1
55	Keegan Kolesar	5	11.24	0	0	0	0
95	Victor Olofsson	3	13.17	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
33	Adin Hill	5	3	0.865
40	Akira Schmid	1	-	1

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Minnesota Wild Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
97	Kirill Kaprizov	5	22.88	5	4	9	1
12	Matthew Boldy	5	24.96	5	2	7	2
38	Ryan Hartman	5	17.64	0	4	4	-1

36	Mats Zuccarello	5	18.54	1	2	3	-2
48	Marco Rossi	5	11.02	2	1	3	1
14	Joel Eriksson Ek	5	22.14	0	3	3	1
17	Marcus Foligno	5	16.02	3	0	3	2
15	Justin Brazeau	5	8.32	0	2	2	1
13	Yakov Trenin	5	10	0	2	2	0
5	Jacob Middleton	5	22.22	0	1	1	2
25	Jonas Brodin	5	25.46	0	1	1	1
46	Jared Spurgeon	5	22.86	1	0	1	6
24	Zach Bogosian	5	12.92	0	1	1	0
90	Marcus Johansson	4	14.1	0	1	1	-1
8	Zeev Buium	4	13.6	0	1	1	-1
89	Frederick Gaudreau	5	14.9	0	0	0	2
41	Gustav Nyquist	5	11.94	0	0	0	0
7	Brock Faber	5	27.76	0	0	0	2
4	Jon Merrill	1	12.8	0	0	0	-1
18	Vinnie Hinostroza	1	12	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
29	Marc-Andre Fleury	1	2.49	0.857
32	Filip Gustavsson	5	2.63	0.919

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups