Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Golden Knights vs Lightning

The Vegas Golden Knights meet the Tampa Bay Lightning in this NHL matchup at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Sunday, October 26. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

There are betting odds of -120 when it comes to the Golden Knights and the Lightning going under the 6.5 goals line. This looks too good an opportunity to pass up.

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Vegas Golden Knights suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Amerant Bank Arena against Florida Panthers. Knights lost the shots on goal, 17 to 26.

Tampa Bay Lightning won their last game which was at home. It was a 4-3 triumph at Benchmark International Arena against Anaheim Ducks. Jake Guentzel scored a hat trick and Anthony Cirelli managed one of the four goals. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 37 saves (.925).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 4-2 in favor of the Knights when they last played the Lightning, with the encounter taking place at T-Mobile Arena. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Carl Lindbom (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-4-2	3.2	.870	0

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-6-2	2.3	.916	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 23.1% powerplay efficiency. The Knights have given up 2.6 goals from 26.9 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

Jack Eichel is the top points scorer with 16 points, 6 goals and 10 assists, with Mark Stone racking up 13 points, 2 goals and 11 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Adin Hill have a 2.63 goal against average with a .903 save percentage.

The Lightning have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 25.3 shots on goal, with a 12.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.7 goals from 30.7 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.8%.

The top points scorer is Jake Guentzel with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Victor Hedman is next in line after registering 9 points, all of which were assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.61 GAA with a .874 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

The Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, player prop bets, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There might not be lots of goals in this NHL matchup. There’s a case to be made for betting Under the line considering the odds of -120 available.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our hockey picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NHL stats for sharper predictions.

Key Golden Knights vs Lightning stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Golden Knights games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Golden Knights games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Golden Knights games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Lightning games.

Under 6.5 Probability

If you go by the best NHL sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.

There’s a way of getting more juice from betting Under when it comes to Total Goals. Combining this selection in a Bet Builder means you can choose other options until you’re happy with the odds.

Check out the most rewarding betting offers in our in-depth guide before your next wager. The best bonuses and free bets await.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brayden Point Over 0.5 Assists +135

Brayden Point (Lightning) has finished with one assist or more in 4 straight home games. We expect him to cover the Player Assists line which means grabbing the attractive +135 about this happening.

Correct Score Prediction

Golden Knights 3 - 1 Lightning

A potentially entertaining bet is going for the Golden Knights to win by a 3-1 scoreline. At odds of +2000, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Golden Knights

Lightning

1-0

Knights

+6000

Lightning

+5500

2-0

Knights

+5000

Lightning

+4500

2-1

Knights

+1700

Lightning

+1400

3-0

Knights

+3500

Lightning

+3000

3-1

Knights

+2000

Lightning

+1800

3-2

Knights

+950

Lightning

+850

4-0

Knights

+5000

Lightning

+3500

4-1

Knights

+1800

Lightning

+1500

4-2

Knights

+1700

Lightning

+1500

4-3

Knights

+1100

Lightning

+950

5-0

Knights

+9000

Lightning

+6600

5-1

Knights

+3000

Lightning

+2200

5-2

Knights

+1800

Lightning

+1500

5-3

Knights

+2400

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Knights

+2000

Lightning

+1900

6-0

Knights

+13000

Lightning

+9000

6-1

Knights

+7000

Lightning

+5000

6-2

Knights

+3500

Lightning

+2800

6-3

Knights

+3000

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Knights

+5000

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Knights

+5000

Lightning

+4500

7-0

Knights

+5000

Lightning

+14000

7-1

Knights

+12000

Lightning

+8000

7-2

Knights

+10000

Lightning

+7000

7-3

Knights

+6600

Lightning

+5000

7-4

Knights

+6600

Lightning

+6000

7-5

Knights

+10000

Lightning

+10000

7-6

Knights

+11000

Lightning

+11000

8-1

Knights

+11000

Lightning

+14000

8-2

Knights

+11000

Lightning

+12000

8-3

Knights

+11000

Lightning

+12000

8-4

Knights

+12500

Lightning

+10000

8-5

Knights

+14000

Lightning

+13000

View More

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 59% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Lightning are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -143. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Vegas Golden Knights are trading at +118.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at -104.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Knights

+118

Lightning

-143

3-Way Moneyline

Knights

+180

Tie

+325

Lightning

+118

Puck Line

Knights +1.5

-208

Lightning -1.5

+168

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-118

Over 6.5

-104

If you’re looking for an alternative to the game lines, check out the player and goalie props instead. It’s great to wager on Goalscorers, Player Points, Shots and Goaltender Saves as potential options.

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.2
• Blocks: 17.4
• Faceoff Wins : 32.1
• Hits: 26
• Giveaways: 16.9
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.6
• Blocks: 17.2
• Faceoff Wins : 31.6
• Hits: 29.3
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 3.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 11.2
• Blocks: 15.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.4
• Hits: 22.1
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10.5
• Blocks: 13.1
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 25.3
• Giveaways: 17.1
• Takeaways: 4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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