Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs

The Vegas Golden Knights meet the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, January 23.

If you’re looking for a value bet, then -102 that the Maple Leafs beat the Golden Knights certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to win on the Moneyline and there are attractive odds available.

If you're siding with our Leafs to win prediction, make sure to secure the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Vegas Golden Knights have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Boston Bruins won 4-3 at TD Garden. Jack Eichel, Pavel Dorofeyev and Tomas Hertl scored one goal each.

Toronto Maple Leafs were beaten 2-1 (OT) at Scotiabank Arena in their last game. This loss at home to Detroit Red Wings was their second straight defeat. Joseph Woll recorded 39 saves (.951), with Scott Laughton scoring the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Knights have won the last two encounters against the Leafs. They achieved winning scorelines of 5-2 and 6-5 (OT) at T-Mobile Arena. The Knights have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Adin Hill (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-1-2	3.1	.873	0
23/24	19-12-2	2.71	.909	2

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-5-4	2.9	.911	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.2 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 29.4% powerplay efficiency. The Knights have given up 2.8 goals from 23.0 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

Jack Eichel is the top points scorer with 18 points, 6 goals and 12 assists, with Mark Stone racking up 17 points, 7 goals and 10 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Akira Schmid have a 2.57 goal against average with a .896 save percentage.

The Leafs have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.2 goals from 32.7 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

The top points scorer is Auston Matthews with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, while William Nylander is next best after having 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.05 GAA with a .906 SV%, including one shutout.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The value bet could involve heading to the Moneyline where you can back Toronto Maple Leafs to win this NHL encounter. Our pick is currently available at attractive odds of -102.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert hockey picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate NHL predictions possible.

Key Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Golden Knights have lost their last 2 games.

Leafs Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

As an option, you could consider the Puck Line where you can back Toronto to cover the spread. That means you need a specific margin of victory to yield a return.

Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.

Our Game Prediction

Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:56, 23 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pavel Dorofeyev Over 2.5 Shots -145

Pavel Dorofeyev (Golden Knights) has recorded Over 2.5 shots on goal in 4 straight games. We recommend backing the -145 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Goal wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Pavel Dorofeyev Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+210

First

+1400

Assists

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Golden Knights 3 - 5 Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs are available at +2400 to win by a 5-3 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Golden Knights

Maple Leafs

1-0

Knights

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-0

Knights

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Knights

+1400

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-0

Knights

+3300

Maple Leafs

+3300

3-1

Knights

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Knights

+850

Maple Leafs

+850

4-0

Knights

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4500

4-1

Knights

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1700

4-2

Knights

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1600

4-3

Knights

+1000

Maple Leafs

+1050

5-0

Knights

+7000

Maple Leafs

+7500

5-1

Knights

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2800

5-2

Knights

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1800

5-3

Knights

+2200

Maple Leafs

+2400

5-4

Knights

+2000

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Knights

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

6-1

Knights

+5500

Maple Leafs

+6600

6-2

Knights

+3000

Maple Leafs

+3400

6-3

Knights

+2900

Maple Leafs

+3000

6-4

Knights

+4500

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-5

Knights

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-1

Knights

+9000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-2

Knights

+7500

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-3

Knights

+5500

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-4

Knights

+6600

Maple Leafs

+7000

7-5

Knights

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-6

Knights

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-4

Knights

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12500

View More

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

There’s the opportunity to back Toronto Maple Leafs at -102 on the Moneyline although Vegas Golden Knights are priced up at betting odds of -118. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 51% chance of success.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are +106.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to National Hockey League clashes. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Knights

-118

Maple Leafs

-102

3-Way Moneyline

Knights

+138

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+155

Puck Line

Knights -1.5

+198

Maple Leafs +1.5

-250

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

The First Goalscorer favorite is Auston Matthews at +825. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+110

Anytime

+825

Jack Eichel (Knights)

First

+170

Anytime

+1200

Mark Stone (Knights)

First

+185

Anytime

+1200

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+200

Anytime

+1300

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

First

+210

Anytime

+1400

Mitch Marner (Knights)

First

+220

Anytime

+1500

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

First

+230

Anytime

+1600

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+260

Anytime

+1550

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+310

Anytime

+1900

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

First

+360

Anytime

+2200

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

First

+360

Anytime

+2200

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+375

Anytime

+1900

Reilly Smith (Knights)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Braeden Bowman (Knights)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Easton Cowan (Maple Leafs)

First

+475

Anytime

+2500

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+575

Anytime

+3300

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

Shea Theodore (Knights)

First

+650

Anytime

+3300

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+700

Anytime

+3300

Rasmus Andersson (Knights)

First

+750

Anytime

+4000

Calle Jarnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+775

Anytime

+4000

Keegan Kolesar (Knights)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Noah Hanifin (Knights)

First

+900

Anytime

+5000

Steven Lorentz (Maple Leafs)

First

+900

Anytime

+5000

Alexander Holtz (Knights)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Cole Reinhardt (Knights)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Jake McCabe (Maple Leafs)

First

+1050

Anytime

+5500

Tanner Laczynski (Knights)

First

+1150

Anytime

+6600

Brandon Carlo (Maple Leafs)

First

+1300

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+130

Mitch Marner (Knights)

Over 0.5

-145

Under 0.5

+110

Mark Stone (Knights)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-100

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Shea Theodore (Knights)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-208

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-294

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-455

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-154

Jack Eichel (Knights)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-130

Mark Stone (Knights)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-200

Pavel Dorofeyev (Knights)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Mitch Marner (Knights)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-200

Tomas Hertl (Knights)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-115

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-145

Under 1.5

+105

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-149

Ivan Barbashev (Knights)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-161

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-149

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-100

Shea Theodore (Knights)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+130

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Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.1
• Blocks: 12.3
• Faceoff Wins : 21
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 16.5
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1.1
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 24.5
• Hits: 24.5
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 7.8
• Faceoff Wins : 22.8
• Hits: 19.3
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 28.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 10.3
• Faceoff Wins : 29.7
• Hits: 22.7
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 4.3

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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