Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs

The Vegas Golden Knights meet the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Friday, January 23.

If you’re looking for a value bet, then -102 that the Maple Leafs beat the Golden Knights certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to win on the Moneyline and there are attractive odds available.

Vegas Golden Knights have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Boston Bruins won 4-3 at TD Garden. Jack Eichel, Pavel Dorofeyev and Tomas Hertl scored one goal each.

Toronto Maple Leafs were beaten 2-1 (OT) at Scotiabank Arena in their last game. This loss at home to Detroit Red Wings was their second straight defeat. Joseph Woll recorded 39 saves (.951), with Scott Laughton scoring the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Knights have won the last two encounters against the Leafs. They achieved winning scorelines of 5-2 and 6-5 (OT) at T-Mobile Arena. The Knights have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	9-8-3	3.1	.869	1
23/24	19-12-2	2.71	.909	2

Anthony Stolarz (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	8-9-3	3.4	.894	0
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.2 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 29.4% powerplay efficiency. The Knights have given up 2.8 goals from 23.0 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

Jack Eichel is the top points scorer with 18 points, 6 goals and 12 assists, with Mark Stone racking up 17 points, 7 goals and 10 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Akira Schmid have a 2.57 goal against average with a .896 save percentage.

The Leafs have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.2 goals from 32.7 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

The top points scorer is Auston Matthews with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, while William Nylander is next best after having 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.05 GAA with a .906 SV%, including one shutout.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The value bet could involve heading to the Moneyline where you can back Toronto Maple Leafs to win this NHL encounter. Our pick is currently available at attractive odds of -102.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert hockey picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate NHL predictions possible.

Key Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Golden Knights have lost their last 2 games.

Leafs Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

As an option, you could consider the Puck Line where you can back Toronto to cover the spread. That means you need a specific margin of victory to yield a return.

Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.

Our Game Prediction

Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 23, 01:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pavel Dorofeyev Over 2.5 Shots -145

Pavel Dorofeyev (Golden Knights) has recorded Over 2.5 shots on goal in 4 straight games. We recommend backing the -145 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Goal wager hopefully providing a return.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Golden Knights 3 - 5 Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs are available at +2400 to win by a 5-3 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Golden Knights

Maple Leafs

1-0

Knights

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-0

Knights

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Knights

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-0

Knights

+3400

Maple Leafs

+3500

3-1

Knights

+1900

Maple Leafs

+2000

3-2

Knights

+850

Maple Leafs

+900

4-0

Knights

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4500

4-1

Knights

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1700

4-2

Knights

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1600

4-3

Knights

+1000

Maple Leafs

+1050

5-0

Knights

+7000

Maple Leafs

+8000

5-1

Knights

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2800

5-2

Knights

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1800

5-3

Knights

+2200

Maple Leafs

+2400

5-4

Knights

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1900

6-0

Knights

+10000

Maple Leafs

+12000

6-1

Knights

+5500

Maple Leafs

+6600

6-2

Knights

+3000

Maple Leafs

+3400

6-3

Knights

+2800

Maple Leafs

+3000

6-4

Knights

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Knights

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-1

Knights

+9000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-2

Knights

+7500

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-3

Knights

+5500

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-4

Knights

+6000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-5

Knights

+10000

Maple Leafs

+10000

7-6

Knights

+11000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-2

Knights

+12500

Maple Leafs

+14000

8-3

Knights

+12500

Maple Leafs

+15000

8-4

Knights

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-5

Knights

+13000

Maple Leafs

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There’s the opportunity to back Toronto Maple Leafs at -102 on the Moneyline although Vegas Golden Knights are priced up at betting odds of -118. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 51% chance of success.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are -100.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to National Hockey League clashes. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Knights

-118

Maple Leafs

-102

3-Way Moneyline

Knights

+133

Tie

+325

Maple Leafs

+160

Puck Line

Knights -1.5

+205

Maple Leafs +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-122

Over 6.5

-100

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game lines. The gambling sites will have Shots, Blocked Shots, Goals, Assists and Goaltender Saves among the choices and you can take a particular view.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.1
• Blocks: 12.3
• Faceoff Wins : 21
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 16.5
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1.1
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 24.5
• Hits: 24.5
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 7.8
• Faceoff Wins : 22.8
• Hits: 19.3
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 28.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 10.3
• Faceoff Wins : 29.7
• Hits: 22.7
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 4.3

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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