NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Lightning

The Washington Capitals go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Is the Total Too High or Too Low?

The Capitals go up against the Lightning and we’re predicting the teams to fall short of the 5.5 goals total. We are therefore backing the Under selection at +104.

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Overtime Win for Caps in Last H2H

Washington Capitals have now lost three straight road games. When they last took to the ice, Pittsburgh Penguins won 5-3 at PPG PAINTS Arena. Dylan Strome, Tom Wilson and Rasmus Sandin scored one goal apiece.

Tampa Bay Lightning have triumphed in their last three home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Vegas Golden Knights 6-3 at T-Mobile Arena. Nikita Kucherov had 3 points, featuring 2 goals and 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Caps had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Capital One Arena, they recorded a 3-2 win over the Lightning. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-3-0	1.5	.938	0
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	4-4-2	2.7	.901	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Washington Capitals – Last 10 Games

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 2.7 goals from 24.7 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.2%.

Dylan Strome is the top points scorer with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, with Tom Wilson recording 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.17 goal against average with a .947 save percentage.

Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games

The Lightning have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 29.0 shots on goal, with a 10.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.7%.

The top points scorer is Brandon Hagel with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next best after registering 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.13 GAA with a .917 SV%.

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect the lamp to light up too many times. All things considered, our pick has to be the Unders and there is +104 that this happens in this NHL encounter.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our hockey picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any NHL selections are locked in.

Key Capitals vs Lightning stats:

The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Capitals games.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Lightning games at home.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Lightning games at home.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 5.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 49% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with a number of other same-game selections as part of a Bet Builder.

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Best Bet

Under 5.5 Goals @ +104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 23:43, 07 November 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 Shots -105

Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has had Over 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of -105.

Latest Brandon Hagel Player Prop Odds

Goals

Assists

Shots on Goal

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 5.5

To Score Tom Wilson

Shots on Goal Brandon Hagel Over 2.5

Our same game parlay pick is Under 5.5 goals, Tom Wilson (Capitals) to score and Brandon Hagel (Lightning) to have Over 2.5 shots.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same hockey game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the clash which interests them most.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Capitals

3 - 2 Lightning logo

Lightning

The Capitals are available at +900 to secure a 3-2 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

1-0

2-0

2-1

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lightning Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

Tampa Bay Lightning are -152 favorites and that means a 60% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Washington Capitals are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +126.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular hockey wagers. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -128.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

3-Way Moneyline

Puck Line

Total Goals

Brayden Point Favorite to Score the First Goal

Those interested in favorite Brayden Point to find the net first are able to get +1000. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes appeal, then this is +155.

Player Goals

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

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Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

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Player Shots

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

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Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Home
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Last 5 Games

Capitals

NHL: 07/11 Capitals3 Penguins 5
NHL: 06/11 Blues1 Capitals 6
NHL: 02/11 Capitals3 Sabres 4
NHL: 01/11 Islanders3 Capitals 1
NHL: 29/10 Capitals0 Stars 1

Lightning

NHL: 07/11 Lightning6 Golden Knights 3
NHL: 05/11 Lightning2 Avalanche 3
NHL: 02/11 Lightning4 Mammoth 2
NHL: 31/10 Stars1 Lightning 2
NHL: 29/10 Lightning5 Predators 2

Head to Head

Washington vs Tampa Bay

NHL: 15/10 2025 Lightning 2 Capitals 3
NHL: 01/03 2025 Lightning 3 Capitals 1
NHL: 28/11 2024 Capitals 5 Lightning 4
NHL: 27/10 2024 Capitals 0 Lightning 3
NHL: 13/04 2024 Lightning 2 Capitals 4
NHL: 23/02 2024 Capitals 5 Lightning 3
NHL: 24/12 2023 Lightning 2 Capitals 1
NHL: 31/03 2023 Capitals 1 Lightning 5
NHL: 14/11 2022 Capitals 3 Lightning 6
NHL: 12/11 2022 Lightning 1 Capitals 5

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 29.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 10.7
Blocks: 17.5
Faceoff Wins : 25.1
Hits: 20.7
Giveaways: 17.2
Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 25.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.6
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 11.9
Blocks: 17.5
Faceoff Wins : 27.8
Hits: 27.2
Giveaways: 15.2
Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 29
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 9.8
Blocks: 15.6
Faceoff Wins : 26.9
Hits: 17.9
Giveaways: 15.1
Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 26.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 11.6
Blocks: 13.8
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 26.2
Giveaways: 16.3
Takeaways: 3.6

Live Streaming

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Team News

Washington Capitals Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
43	Tom Wilson	14	19.34	9	7	16	6
17	Dylan Strome	12	17.37	4	10	14	10
6	Jakob Chychrun	14	23.72	3	7	10	9

74	John Carlson	14	23.74	3	7	10	-2
21	Alexei Protas	14	18	5	5	10	5
8	Alexander Ovechkin	14	18.21	3	7	10	4
9	Ryan Leonard	14	13.06	3	4	7	4
42	Martin Fehervary	14	19.06	1	5	6	2
38	Rasmus Sandin	9	19.02	1	3	4	4
24	Connor McMichael	14	15.43	1	3	4	-2
72	Anthony Beauvillier	14	14.49	3	1	4	6
26	Nic Dowd	14	14.88	1	2	3	-1
29	Hendrix Lapierre	13	10.88	0	2	2	0
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	12	14.77	1	1	2	2
3	Matt Roy	14	19.59	0	2	2	6
53	Ethen Frank	3	11.3	0	1	1	0
47	Declan Chisholm	6	14.17	0	1	1	2
15	Sonny Milano	8	10.95	1	0	1	-1
34	Justin Sourdif	14	11.67	1	0	1	0
22	Brandon Duhaime	14	12.67	0	1	1	-3
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	6	15.53	0	0	0	0
52	Dylan McIlrath	1	14.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
48	Logan Thompson	9	1.45	0.938
79	Charlie Lindgren	5	3.59	0.878

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	12	20.8	7	7	14	-2
59	Jake Guentzel	14	20.7	5	8	13	1
38	Brandon Hagel	14	20.66	6	6	12	4

71	Anthony Cirelli	14	18.67	7	4	11	5
77	Victor Hedman	14	22.94	0	11	11	1
21	Brayden Point	14	18.97	3	6	9	-9
27	Ryan McDonagh	14	21.15	3	3	6	1
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	14	14	1	4	5	2
29	Pontus Holmberg	14	12.55	1	4	5	1
93	Gage Goncalves	14	12.17	1	4	5	2
37	Yanni Gourde	14	16.05	3	1	4	2
28	Zemgus Girgensons	7	15.13	2	1	3	-1
24	Maxwell Crozier	5	12.52	0	3	3	1
90	Janis Jerome Moser	12	20.79	1	2	3	3
51	Charles-Edouard D'Astous	7	14.44	1	2	3	1
43	Darren Raddysh	8	13.96	1	2	3	-3
17	Dominic James	8	12.75	1	2	3	1
81	Erik Cernak	14	19.24	0	2	2	0
14	Conor Geekie	6	10.03	0	1	1	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	14	14.13	0	1	1	-2
	Curtis Douglas	9	5.11	0	0	0	1
41	Mitchell Chaffee	7	9.49	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	3	8.07	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	4	2.78	0.916
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	10	2.7	0.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Washington Capitals Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Ethen Frank

Injured

Pierre-Luc Dubois

Injured

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Nick Paul

Injured

Anthony Cirelli

Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Washington Capitals Lineups

06 Nov NHL

Capitals 3-5 Penguins

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 New Jersey	14	10	4	0	20	0.714	8	10	50	43	7	6-0-0	4-4-0	0-0	7-3	1W
2 Pittsburgh	15	9	4	2	20	0.667	9	9	54	43	11	4-1-1	5-3-1	0-2	6-4	1W
3 Carolina	13	9	4	0	18	0.692	6	8	48	35	13	4-1-0	5-3-0	1-0	6-4	2W
4 Philadelphia	14	8	5	1	17	0.607	4	5	41	36	5	6-3-0	2-2-1	3-0	7-3	2W
5 NY Rangers	15	7	6	2	16	0.533	5	7	35	35	0	0-5-1	7-1-1	0-0	5-5	1W
6 Washington	14	7	6	1	15	0.536	6	7	40	35	5	4-4-0	3-2-1	0-1	4-6	1L
7 Columbus	13	7	6	0	14	0.538	5	6	41	41	0	3-3-0	4-3-0	1-0	6-4	2L
8 NY Islanders	14	6	6	2	14	0.5	6	6	45	51	-6	4-3-1	2-3-1	0-2	5-5	2L

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Montreal	14	9	3	2	20	0.714	4	9	51	45	6	4-1-1	5-2-1	0-1	6-4	2L
2 Detroit	15	9	6	0	18	0.6	6	7	45	46	-1	5-2-0	4-4-0	2-0	5-5	2L
3 Boston	16	9	7	0	18	0.563	5	8	52	53	-1	7-3-0	2-4-0	1-0	6-4	5W
4 Toronto	14	8	5	1	17	0.607	6	8	52	50	2	7-2-1	1-3-0	0-0	6-4	3W
5 Tampa Bay	14	7	5	2	16	0.571	5	7	43	39	4	3-3-0	4-2-2	0-0	6-4	1W
6 Florida	14	7	6	1	15	0.536	6	6	39	43	-4	5-1-1	2-5-0	1-1	4-6	1W
7 Ottawa	14	6	5	3	15	0.536	4	4	50	54	-4	4-2-1	2-3-2	2-0	5-5	2L
8 Buffalo	14	5	5	4	14	0.5	4	4	38	43	-5	5-3-2	0-2-2	1-0	4-6	2L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Colorado	14	8	1	5	21	0.75	8	8	50	37	13	4-0-2	4-1-3	0-2	5-5	1W
2 Winnipeg	14	9	5	0	18	0.643	8	9	46	35	11	5-3-0	4-2-0	0-0	6-4	2L
3 Utah	14	9	5	0	18	0.643	6	9	47	40	7	4-1-0	5-4-0	0-0	7-3	1L
4 Dallas	14	7	4	3	17	0.607	5	5	42	46	-4	4-3-1	3-1-2	2-1	4-6	1L
5 Chicago	15	7	5	3	17	0.567	6	7	48	40	8	3-2-1	4-3-2	0-1	5-5	2W
6 Minnesota	16	6	7	3	15	0.469	4	5	48	57	-9	3-3-2	3-4-1	1-0	4-6	1W
7 Nashville	16	5	7	4	14	0.438	4	4	40	54	-14	4-4-2	1-3-2	1-0	3-7	3L
8 St Louis	15	5	8	2	12	0.4	5	5	41	59	-18	2-4-2	3-4-0	0-1	2-8	1W

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Anaheim	13	9	3	1	19	0.731	7	8	55	42	13	4-1-0	5-2-1	1-0	7-3	5W
2 Vegas	13	7	3	3	17	0.654	6	7	43	38	5	4-2-1	3-1-2	0-1	6-4	1L
3 Seattle	13	6	3	4	16	0.615	4	6	34	39	-5	4-1-2	2-2-2	0-1	4-6	1L
4 Edmonton	15	6	5	4	16	0.533	4	6	46	48	-2	4-0-2	2-5-2	0-2	4-6	2L
5 LA Kings	15	6	5	4	16	0.533	3	5	42	49	-7	1-4-2	5-1-2	1-3	5-5	1L
6 San Jose	15	6	6	3	15	0.5	3	6	50	55	-5	3-3-3	3-3-0	0-1	6-4	2W
7 Vancouver	15	7	8	0	14	0.467	3	5	42	50	-8	2-4-0	5-4-0	2-0	4-6	1L
8 Calgary	16	4	10	2	10	0.313	3	3	36	53	-17	2-4-1	2-6-1	1-1	3-7	1L

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Lightning

Head-to-Head Statistics

Starting Goalies

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Under 5.5 Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Latest Brandon Hagel Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Latest Correct Score Odds

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

Lightning Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

Player Goals

Player Assists

Player Shots

Micro Betting

Last 5 & H2H

Head to Head

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Washington Capitals Injury Table

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Starting Lineups

Previous Washington Capitals Lineups

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

Get the Latest Betting Tips