Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Lightning

The Washington Capitals go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

The Capitals go up against the Lightning and we’re predicting the teams to fall short of the 5.5 goals total. We are therefore backing the Under selection at +104.

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Washington Capitals have now lost three straight road games. When they last took to the ice, Pittsburgh Penguins won 5-3 at PPG PAINTS Arena. Dylan Strome, Tom Wilson and Rasmus Sandin scored one goal apiece.

Tampa Bay Lightning have triumphed in their last three home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Vegas Golden Knights 6-3 at T-Mobile Arena. Nikita Kucherov had 3 points, featuring 2 goals and 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Caps had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Capital One Arena, they recorded a 3-2 win over the Lightning. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	14-9-3	2.3	.917	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-2	2.3	.913	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 2.7 goals from 24.7 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.2%.

Dylan Strome is the top points scorer with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, with Tom Wilson recording 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.17 goal against average with a .947 save percentage.

The Lightning have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 29.0 shots on goal, with a 10.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.7%.

The top points scorer is Brandon Hagel with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next best after registering 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.13 GAA with a .917 SV%.

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect the lamp to light up too many times. All things considered, our pick has to be the Unders and there is +104 that this happens in this NHL encounter.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our hockey picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any NHL selections are locked in.

Key Capitals vs Lightning stats:

• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Capitals games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Lightning games at home.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Lightning games at home.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 5.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 49% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with a number of other same-game selections as part of a Bet Builder.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 5.5 Goals @ +104 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 Shots -105

Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has had Over 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of -105.

Correct Score Prediction

Capitals 3 - 2 Lightning

The Capitals are available at +900 to secure a 3-2 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Capitals

Lightning

1-0

Capitals

+5000

Lightning

+4500

2-0

Capitals

+4500

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Capitals

+1400

Lightning

+1300

3-0

Capitals

+3400

Lightning

+2500

3-1

Capitals

+1900

Lightning

+1600

3-2

Capitals

+900

Lightning

+800

4-0

Capitals

+4500

Lightning

+3000

4-1

Capitals

+1800

Lightning

+1300

4-2

Capitals

+1800

Lightning

+1400

4-3

Capitals

+1150

Lightning

+1050

5-0

Capitals

+9000

Lightning

+5500

5-1

Capitals

+3300

Lightning

+2000

5-2

Capitals

+2000

Lightning

+1500

5-3

Capitals

+2800

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Capitals

+2400

Lightning

+2200

6-0

Capitals

+13000

Lightning

+8000

6-1

Capitals

+7500

Lightning

+4500

6-2

Capitals

+4000

Lightning

+2800

6-3

Capitals

+4000

Lightning

+2800

6-4

Capitals

+6000

Lightning

+5000

6-5

Capitals

+6000

Lightning

+5500

7-0

Capitals

+6000

Lightning

+12500

7-1

Capitals

+13000

Lightning

+8000

7-2

Capitals

+11000

Lightning

+6600

7-3

Capitals

+7500

Lightning

+5500

7-4

Capitals

+8000

Lightning

+6600

7-5

Capitals

+12500

Lightning

+11000

7-6

Capitals

+13000

Lightning

+13000

8-1

Capitals

+13000

Lightning

+13000

8-2

Capitals

+13000

Lightning

+12000

8-3

Capitals

+13000

Lightning

+12500

8-4

Capitals

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-5

Capitals

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tampa Bay Lightning are -152 favorites and that means a 60% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Washington Capitals are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +126.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular hockey wagers. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -130.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Capitals

+126

Lightning

-152

3-Way Moneyline

Capitals

+190

Tie

+340

Lightning

+107

Puck Line

Capitals +1.5

-200

Lightning -1.5

+160

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Goals they might score or the number of Assists or Points they might have.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.7
• Blocks: 17.5
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 20.7
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 11.9
• Blocks: 17.5
• Faceoff Wins : 27.8
• Hits: 27.2
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 15.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 17.9
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 11.6
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.7
• Hits: 26.2
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 3.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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