Napoli vs Genoa Prediction, Lineups & Odds | Serie A, 11 May 2025

Goals Look in Short Supply

We are not anticipating a huge number of goals when Serie A leaders Napoli clash with Genoa. The price of -125 for Under 2.5 stands out on the coupon and we can wager on the Total Goals market with optimism.

Napoli Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Napoli got a fourth consecutive victory in their last game. It was a 1-0 away win at Stadio Via del Mare when playing Lecce. Gli Azzurri had most of the ball recording 56% possession and two shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Giacomo Raspadori in the 24th minute.

Genoa have been defeated in three straight games. They were recently beaten at home to AC Milan by a 2-1 scoreline at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The Liguria outfit recorded 40% possession and had four shots on goal, while Vitor Oliveira found the net.

Napoli are unbeaten when it comes to the past five meetings against Genoa. In the last encounter, away team Napoli landed a 2-1 win at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Napoli wins, one Genoa victory and four draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Napoli have had 54.8% possession, 471.9 passes and 5.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Scott McTominay is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Giacomo Raspadori and Romelu Lukaku both have 3. Romelu Lukaku has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Alex Meret has 5 clean sheets.

Genoa have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.6 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. Patrick Vieira's team have averaged 48.1% possession, 391.5 passes, 4.1 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Fabio Miretti has scored 2 goals, followed by Vitor Oliveira, Alessandro Zanoli, Maxwel Cornet and Johan Vasquez on 1. Aaron Martin Caricol and Ruslan Malinovsky are the top assist makers on 2, with Nicola Leali recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Napoli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Mathias Olivera, Leonardo Spinazzola, Matteo Politano, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Romelu Lukaku, Giacomo Raspadori.

Genoa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Benjamin Siegrist (GK), Stefano Sabelli, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vasquez, Honest Ahanor, Patrizio Masini, Morten Frendrup, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Junior Messias, Vitor Oliveira, Andrea Pinamonti.

Expert Serie A Analysis

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Napoli vs Genoa league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Napoli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Napoli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Napoli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Genoa games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Genoa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Genoa games on the road.

Napoli vs Genoa Prediction

Our research tells us that a price of -125 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a worthwhile bet for this Serie A encounter. This wager has a big prospect of landing a payout according to the stats.

There’s the chance to bet on the Result & Total Goals market if you’re looking for larger odds. With this wager, you are able to combine Under 2.5 with the team you think will win.

Under 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Our Pick

Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 1 - 0 Genoa

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Napoli. You can secure odds of +410 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Props

Matteo Politano Under 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Matteo Politano (Napoli) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in three consecutive Serie A matches. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of -149 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Matteo Politano Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-149

Shots

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

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Scott McTominay to Score +180

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has registered five goals in his past five Serie A matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +180 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+185

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Genoa Over 2.5 Corners -125

Genoa have had over 2.5 corners in three consecutive games, with Napoli conceding over 2.5 corners in the past ten matches. We think it’s achievable that Genoa will cover the Team Corners line and odds of -125 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

10.00 5.10 4.90

Home

10.50 6.80 3.70

Away

8.60 3.90 4.70

Genoa

Total

9.10 4.10 5.00

Home

10.50 4.90 5.60

Away

8.80 4.00 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Napoli Corners

Over 6.5

-109

Under 6.5

-130

Genoa Corners

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+750

2

+380

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Napoli vs Genoa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Napoli Heavy Favourites With the Betting Sites

With an estimated 75% chance of winning, the bookies are taking no chances with their -300 betting odds about Napoli triumphing in this Serie A match. Genoa are the outsiders at +900 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

If you’re betting on Serie A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-300

X

+375

2

+900

Half-Time Result

1

-125

X

+130

2

+900

Double Chance

1X

-1587

12

-549

X2

+225

Draw No Bet

1

-1205

2

+700

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-122

2 Hcp +1.25

+108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-150

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+162.5

No

-225

Romelu Lukaku Top of First Goalscorer List

Romelu Lukaku is the First Goalscorer favourite at +310 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +125.

Player Goals

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+125

Anytime

+310

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+185

Anytime

+430

Giacomo Raspadori (Napoli)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

David Neres (Napoli)

First

+235

Anytime

+510

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Andrea Pinamonti (Genoa)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Mario Balotelli (Genoa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Pasquale Mazzocchi (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Vitor "Vitinha" Oliveira (Genoa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Alessandro Buongiorno (Napoli)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots On Target

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+123

Giacomo Raspadori (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+114

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-105

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-149

Andrea Pinamonti (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-189

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-227

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-313

Mario Balotelli (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-417

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-667

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-714

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-667

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-714

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-833

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-833

Pasquale Mazzocchi (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-1111

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1429

Alessandro Buongiorno (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1429

Player Shots

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Andrea Pinamonti (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Mario Balotelli (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Pasquale Mazzocchi (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

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Team Stats

Team News

You’ve found the right place for Napoli vs Genoa team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Napoli Team Page Genoa Team Page

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