Air Force vs Navy Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Air Force vs Navy

Air Force face Navy in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Navy Against The Spread?

There’s a case to be made for Navy on the spread when they play Air Force. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -12.5 line at odds of -112 considering they should be superior.

Feeling good about our spread pick? Don’t miss the new BetMGM promo code and our expert review as you get ready to make your move.

Navy Won 34-7 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Air Force Falcons have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at Falcon Stadium, they were turned over 44-35 by Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Navy Midshipmen have enjoyed four straight wins, most recently beating Rice Owls 21-13. It was a home success at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Navy and Air Force saw the former win. It was a 34-7 scoreline at Falcon Stadium. We’ve seen four Air Force wins in the past 6 meetings between the teams.

Air Force vs Navy Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Air Force vs Navy betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a case for taking the -112 that Navy can overcome the -12.5 in this college football battle. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.

Our CFB picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the game. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Air Force vs Navy stats:

• The -12.5 line has been covered by Navy in 3 of their last 4 games this season.
• The -12.5 line has been covered by Navy in 2 of their last 3 games at home this season.
• The +12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Air Force in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Navy -12.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Best Bet

Navy -12.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Air Force 14 - 35 Navy

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Navy to claim a 35-14 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.

Air Force vs Navy Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Navy Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

With an estimated 82% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -455 betting odds about Navy triumphing in this college game. Air Force are the underdogs at +350 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 12.5 and total points is 52.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 52.5 can find odds of -102 available.

The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Air Force

+350

Navy

-455

Point Spread

Air Force +12.5

-108

Navy -12.5

-112

Total Points

Under 52.5

-102

Over 52.5

-120

Player Props & Micro Betting

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Quarterback Passing Yards and First/Last Touchdown Scorer. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Can Navy Keep Their Home Form Going?

Navy have reeled off three straight victories at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. They are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, putting up 32.90 points on average and giving up 22.30.

Air Force have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 20.70 points per contest while yielding 28.90.

The last time the teams met at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Air Force defeated Navy 17-6. Across the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Air Force have recorded two wins, with Navy winning once.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O53.5	U53.5
Navy Home Stats		8-2	55.20	32.90	22.30	6	4
Air Force Away Stats		3-7	49.60	20.70	28.90	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
• U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Air Force Falcons Stats

Navy Midshipmen Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 53.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 58.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 18.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.00 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

American Athletic	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Memphis	5	0	198	90	108	2-0	3-0	5W
Navy	4	0	153	67	86	3-0	1-0	4W
North Texas	5	0	224	100	124	3-0	2-0	5W
Tulane	4	1	131	120	11	2-0	2-1	1W
South Florida	3	1	127	86	41	2-0	1-1	1W
East Carolina	3	2	152	67	85	2-1	1-1	1W
Rice	3	2	102	102	0	1-1	2-1	1L
Temple	2	2	124	104	20	1-1	1-1	2L
UTSA	2	2	125	121	4	1-1	1-1	2W
UAB	2	2	131	164	-33	2-0	0-2	1L
Tulsa	2	3	105	113	-8	1-2	1-1	1L
Army	1	3	95	124	-29	0-2	1-1	2L
Charlotte	1	3	73	117	-44	1-3	0-0	1L
Florida Atlantic	1	3	117	146	-29	1-1	0-2	2L

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	4	0	147	113	34	2-0	2-0	4W
Fresno State	4	1	164	100	64	2-0	2-1	4W
Boise State	3	1	154	99	55	2-0	1-1	3W
New Mexico	3	1	122	86	36	2-0	1-1	3W
San Diego State	3	1	95	39	56	2-0	1-1	2W
Hawaii	4	2	154	141	13	3-1	1-1	1W
Utah State	3	2	182	152	30	3-0	0-2	1L
Wyoming	2	2	67	75	-8	1-1	1-1	2L
Air Force	1	3	151	155	-4	1-2	0-1	3L
Colorado State	1	3	61	92	-31	1-2	0-1	2L
Nevada	1	3	60	108	-48	1-1	0-2	2L
San Jose State	1	3	81	112	-31	1-1	0-2	1L