Air Force vs Navy Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Air Force vs Navy
Air Force face Navy in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 4. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
There’s a case to be made for Navy on the spread when they play Air Force. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -12.5 line at odds of -112 considering they should be superior.
Feeling good about our spread pick? Don’t miss the new BetMGM promo code and our expert review as you get ready to make your move.
Air Force Falcons have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at Falcon Stadium, they were turned over 44-35 by Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.
Navy Midshipmen have enjoyed four straight wins, most recently beating Rice Owls 21-13. It was a home success at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between Navy and Air Force saw the former win. It was a 34-7 scoreline at Falcon Stadium. We’ve seen four Air Force wins in the past 6 meetings between the teams.
Quarterbacks
Liam Szarka
Blake Horvath
Air Force vs Navy Prediction & Picks
Tackle Air Force vs Navy with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s a case for taking the -112 that Navy can overcome the -12.5 in this college football battle. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.
Our CFB picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the game. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.
Key Air Force vs Navy stats:
Navy -12.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.
Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Blake Horvath (Navy) at -114 to go beyond 126.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.
The odds for Alex Tecza (Navy) to make it to the end zone are -164. Based on all the information, we'll head to the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market where we can back him to punch it in at attractive odds.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Navy to cover the -12.5 spread, Under 53.5 on the total and Blake Horvath (Navy) to go Over 126.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same football game. You can go through the available betting lines and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
14
-
35
Navy
There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Navy to claim a 35-14 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.
Air Force vs Navy Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
With an estimated 83% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -476 betting odds about Navy triumphing in this college game. Air Force are the underdogs at +370 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 13.5 and total points is 50.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 50.5 can find odds of -105 available.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
There’s the chance to back Blake Horvath at +250 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Can Navy Keep Their Home Form Going?
Navy have reeled off three straight victories at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. They are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, putting up 32.90 points on average and giving up 22.30.
Air Force have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 20.70 points per contest while yielding 28.90.
The last time the teams met at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Air Force defeated Navy 17-6. Across the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Air Force have recorded two wins, with Navy winning once.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O53.5 | U53.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Navy Home Stats |
8-2 | 55.20 | 32.90 | 22.30 | 6 | 4 | |
 Air Force Away Stats |
3-7 | 49.60 | 20.70 | 28.90 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
- U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Air Force Falcons Stats
Navy Midshipmen Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 58.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 18.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.00 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| American Athletic | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulane
|
11 | 2 | 378 | 294 | 84 | 7-0 | 4-2 | 5W |
North Texas
|
11 | 2 | 582 | 324 | 258 | 6-1 | 5-1 | 1L |
|
Navy
|
9 | 2 | 357 | 296 | 61 | 6-0 | 3-2 | 2W |
South Florida
|
9 | 3 | 516 | 280 | 236 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 2W |
East Carolina
|
8 | 4 | 402 | 244 | 158 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1W |
Memphis
|
8 | 4 | 415 | 270 | 145 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3L |
Army
|
6 | 5 | 253 | 248 | 5 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 1W |
UTSA
|
6 | 6 | 405 | 355 | 50 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1L |
Temple
|
5 | 7 | 334 | 356 | -22 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4L |
Rice
|
5 | 7 | 238 | 387 | -149 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2L |
Florida Atlantic
|
4 | 8 | 354 | 436 | -82 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 3L |
UAB
|
4 | 8 | 317 | 459 | -142 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Tulsa
|
4 | 8 | 278 | 347 | -69 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
Charlotte
|
1 | 11 | 172 | 436 | -264 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 9L |
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV
|
10 | 3 | 467 | 375 | 92 | 5-1 | 5-2 | 1L |
New Mexico
|
9 | 3 | 335 | 270 | 65 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 6W |
San Diego State
|
9 | 3 | 296 | 151 | 145 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 1L |
Boise State
|
9 | 4 | 408 | 299 | 109 | 6-1 | 3-3 | 3W |
Fresno State
|
8 | 4 | 317 | 241 | 76 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 1W |
Hawaii
|
8 | 4 | 342 | 282 | 60 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Utah State
|
6 | 6 | 381 | 339 | 42 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1L |
|
Air Force
|
4 | 8 | 358 | 364 | -6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1W |
Wyoming
|
4 | 8 | 192 | 246 | -54 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
Nevada
|
3 | 9 | 211 | 330 | -119 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 1L |
San Jose State
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 390 | -133 | 3-3 | 0-6 | 4L |
Colorado State
|
2 | 10 | 222 | 370 | -148 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 6L |
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