Alabama vs Georgia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Alabama vs Georgia
Alabama face Georgia in this NCAAF Week 5 matchup at Sanford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, September 27. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Play the Unders at -110 when Georgia and Alabama take to the field. The 53.5 points line looks plenty big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.
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Alabama Crimson Tide have won their previous two games. The latest was a 38-14 home triumph at Bryant-Denny Stadium against Wisconsin Badgers.
Georgia Bulldogs have triumphed in their last three games. The latest of these was on the road where Tennessee Volunteers were beaten 44-41 (OT) at Neyland Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alabama have claimed back-to-back victories over Georgia. Both wins came at Bryant-Denny Stadium and the scorelines were 27-24 and 41-34. The past 5 games between the teams have seen Alabama win four times.
Quarterbacks
Ty Simpson
Gunner Stockton
Alabama vs Georgia Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our best Alabama vs Georgia tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
The -110 about Under 53.5 points makes lots of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this college football matchup.
Injuries are always factored in by the CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.
Key Alabama vs Georgia stats:
Under 53.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
Bettors looking for more juice from their Unders bet can check out the Result & Total lines. Here you simply combine points with the team that will win.
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Player Prop Picks
Jam Miller (Alabama) can be backed at -115 to score in the red zone. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Ty Simpson (Alabama) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 269.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Under 53.5, Georgia -2.5 on the spread and Jam Miller (Alabama) scoring a touchdown.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
21
-
28
Georgia
There’s the chance to back Georgia in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 28-21 triumph in their favor.
Alabama vs Georgia Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Georgia are -127 favorites to win and that means a 56% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Alabama are trading at +105.
The current spread is 2.5 and total points is 53.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. If you want to bet Under 53.5, there are odds of -105.
College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.
There is -115 available that Jam Miller scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +650.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Will Georgia Keep Their Home Streak Going?
Georgia own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 39.50 points per contest and giving up 16.30.
Alabama have suffered three consecutive road defeats. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 26.50 points on offense and surrendering 23.30 on defense.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O53.5 | U53.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia Home Stats |
10-0 | 55.80 | 39.50 | 16.30 | 4 | 6 | |
 Alabama Away Stats |
4-6 | 49.80 | 26.50 | 23.30 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
- U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Alabama Crimson Tide Stats
Georgia Bulldogs Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.70 pts and allowed 14.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.50 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.70 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.10 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
|
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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