College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas vs Memphis

Arkansas meet Memphis in this NCAAF Week 4 matchup at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 20 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Expect a Tight Affair

Our prediction is that Memphis can outperform their odds against Arkansas. It leads us to a wager on the spread lines considering that an appealing +7.5 has been chalked up at -106.

Jumping on our side of the line? Check out our in-depth review of BetMGM before grabbing the latest promo code.

Hogs Looking to Avoid Another Defeat

Arkansas Razorbacks were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Ole Miss claimed a 41-35 win.

Memphis Tigers got a third straight win in their last game. It was a 28-7 road triumph at Veterans Memorial Stadium when meeting Troy State Trojans.

Quarterbacks

Taylen Green

Brendon Lewis

Arkansas vs Memphis Prediction & Picks

Be ready for Arkansas vs Memphis with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s an awesome opportunity to back Memphis against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this college football matchup, with +7.5 making appeal at -106.

The college football picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Arkansas vs Memphis stats:

The +7.5 line has been covered by Memphis in 10 consecutive games at home.
The +7.5 line has been covered by Memphis in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 15 of their last 19 games on the road.
The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Memphis +7.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Best Bet

Memphis +7.5 @ -106 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Published 18:26, 18 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Taylen Green Under 255.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Taylen Green (Arkansas) to record fewer than 255.5 passing yards are -114. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.

Latest Taylen Green Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Brendon Lewis Under 37.5 Rushing Yards -114

Brendon Lewis (Memphis) can be backed at -114 to end with fewer than 37.5 rushing yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Brendon Lewis Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Memphis +7.5

Totals Under 61.5

Passing Yards Taylen Green Under 255.5

Our same game parlay pick is Memphis +7.5 on the spread, Under 61.5 and Taylen Green (Arkansas) to go Under 255.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.

Bet Boosts

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas

30 - 28 Memphis logo

Memphis

We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take the Hogs to win 30-28. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Arkansas vs Memphis Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Hogs Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

The Arkansas odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -294 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 75% chance of winning. The market suggests that Memphis are least likely to win at +235.

The spread is currently 7.5, with the total points line at 60.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to bet Under 60.5, there are odds of -106.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

O'Mega Blake (Arkansas)

Jamari Hawkins (Memphis)

Jalen Brown (Arkansas)

CJ Brown (Arkansas)

Rushing Yards

Mike Washington Jr. (Arkansas)

Sutton Smith (Memphis)

Taylen Green (Arkansas)

Brendon Lewis (Memphis)

Passing Yards

Taylen Green (Arkansas)

Brendon Lewis (Memphis)

Best Betting Offers

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Can Memphis Keep Rolling at Home?

Memphis have reeled off eight straight victories at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring 40.50 points per contest and conceding 23.20.

Arkansas are 3-7 in their last 10 games on the road, putting up 29.70 points on average and giving up 28.90.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O61.5	U61.5
Memphis Home Stats		9-1	63.70	40.50	23.20	4	6
Arkansas Away Stats		3-7	58.60	29.70	28.90	5	5

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Arkansas

NCAAF: 14/09 Arkansas35 Ole Miss 41
NCAAF: 06/09 Arkansas State14 Arkansas 56
NCAAF: 30/08 Alabama A&M7 Arkansas 52
NCAAF Bowls: 28/12 Texas Tech26 Arkansas 39
NCAAF: 30/11 Arkansas21 Missouri 28

Memphis

NCAAF: 13/09 Memphis28 Troy State 7
NCAAF: 07/09 Memphis38 Georgia State 16
NCAAF: 30/08 Chattanooga10 Memphis 45
NCAAF Bowls: 18/12 Memphis42 West Virginia 37
NCAAF: 29/11 Memphis34 Tulane 24

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas Razorbacks Stats

Memphis Tigers Stats

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

-7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
-7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

+7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
+7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 61.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 61.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.70 pts and allowed 27.20 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 63.60 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 63.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 61.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 38.80 pts and allowed 24.80 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 40.50 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season

American Athletic	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Memphis	3	0	111	33	78	1-0	2-0	3W
Navy	3	0	132	54	78	2-0	1-0	3W
North Texas	3	0	143	40	103	2-0	1-0	3W
Tulane	3	0	90	61	29	2-0	1-0	3W
East Carolina	2	1	111	27	84	1-0	1-1	2W
Rice	2	1	61	64	-3	1-1	1-0	1W
South Florida	2	1	64	72	-8	1-0	1-1	1L
Temple	2	1	100	59	41	1-1	1-0	1L
UAB	2	1	107	108	-1	2-0	0-1	1W
Army	1	1	51	51	0	0-1	1-0	1W
Charlotte	1	2	56	89	-33	1-2	0-0	1W
Florida Atlantic	1	2	91	91	0	1-0	0-2	1L
UTSA	1	2	108	105	3	1-1	0-1	1W
Tulsa	1	2	72	70	2	1-1	0-1	2L

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Auburn	3	0	111	42	69	2-0	1-0	3W
Georgia	3	0	117	54	63	2-0	1-0	3W
LSU	3	0	60	27	33	2-0	1-0	3W
Mississippi State	3	0	121	37	84	2-0	1-0	3W
Missouri	3	0	155	47	108	3-0	0-0	3W
Oklahoma	3	0	101	19	82	2-0	1-0	3W
Ole Miss	3	0	134	65	69	2-0	1-0	3W
Texas A&M	3	0	127	86	41	2-0	1-0	3W
Vanderbilt	3	0	120	30	90	1-0	2-0	3W
Alabama	2	1	128	45	83	2-0	0-1	2W
Arkansas	2	1	143	62	81	2-0	0-1	1L
Kentucky	2	1	95	69	26	2-1	0-0	1W
South Carolina	2	1	69	52	17	2-1	0-0	1L
Tennessee	2	1	158	87	71	2-1	0-0	1L
Texas	2	1	72	31	41	2-0	0-1	2W
Florida	1	2	81	38	43	1-1	0-1	2L