Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs UL Monroe

Arkansas State square off against UL Monroe in this NCAAF Week 5 matchup at Malone Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Side With Arkansas State on the Moneyline

We are keeping our prediction simple and backing Arkansas State to claim a victory. They should be able to gain the upper hand over UL Monroe and the Moneyline offers a tempting +102.

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Arkansas State Boast Outstanding Record Against UL Monroe

Arkansas State Red Wolves have now lost three straight games. On the road in their previous game, Kennesaw State won 28-21 at Fifth Third Stadium.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Texas El Paso Miners were beaten 31-25 at Sun Bowl Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas State won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 28-21 triumph when facing UL Monroe at Centennial Bank Stadium. We’ve seen a Arkansas State win for each of the past 6 games between the teams.

Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Arkansas State vs UL Monroe betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

There’s +102 available when it comes to Arkansas State on the Moneyline. We believe that our pick has a strong chance of winning this college football matchup and the odds makes plenty of appeal.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Arkansas State vs UL Monroe stats:

• UL Monroe have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• UL Monroe have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• UL Monroe have lost their last 6 games against Arkansas State.

Arkansas State Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 49.5% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you’re wanting tastier odds about Arkansas State, then there are a number of alternatives including the Spread, Result & Total and the Double Result lines.

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Best Bet

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Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 34 - 28 UL Monroe

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. Arkansas State to achieve a 34-28 victory is on offer at massive odds.

Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Books

UL Monroe are available at Moneyline odds of -120, while opponents Arkansas State can be backed at -100. The hosts have a 55% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.

The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 54.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 54.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on college football, the best sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Arkansas State

-100

UL Monroe

-120

Point Spread

Arkansas State +1.5

-112

UL Monroe -1.5

-108

Total Points

Under 54.5

-105

Over 54.5

-115

Player Props & Micro Betting

We’re fond of the quarterback and player props as an alternative to betting on the game lines. The gambling sites will have Player Kicking Points, Longest Rushing Attempt and Rushing Yards among the choices and you can take a view.

There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Arkansas State Have Owned Recent Head-to-Heads at Malone Stadium

UL Monroe have gone 5-5 across their last 10 home games, posting 23.50 points per contest while yielding 26.90.

Arkansas State are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 21.60 points per contest and conceding 36.00.

Arkansas State defeated UL Monroe 34-24 the last time they played at Malone Stadium. The last 3 head-to-head matchups at Malone Stadium have all gone the way of Arkansas State.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O53.5	U53.5
UL Monroe Home Stats		5-5	50.40	23.50	26.90	6	4
Arkansas State Away Stats		3-7	57.60	21.60	36.00	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
• U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 60.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 57.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 53.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.10 pts and allowed 33.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 36.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 53.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.30 pts and allowed 34.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas State	3	1	145	100	45	2-0	1-1	1W
Appalachian State	2	1	76	62	14	1-0	1-1	1L
James Madison	2	1	90	51	39	1-0	1-1	1W
Old Dominion	2	1	113	59	54	1-0	1-1	2W
UL Monroe	2	1	60	98	-38	1-0	1-1	1W
Coastal Carolina	2	2	58	106	-48	1-1	1-1	1W
Georgia Southern	2	2	120	152	-32	2-0	0-2	2W
Marshall	2	2	107	101	6	1-1	1-1	2W
Southern Miss	2	2	113	106	7	2-1	0-1	1L
Troy State	2	2	82	92	-10	1-1	1-1	1W
Georgia State	1	3	81	192	-111	1-1	0-2	1L
Arkansas State	1	3	93	132	-39	1-1	0-2	3L
Louisiana	1	3	87	110	-23	1-1	0-2	2L
South Alabama	1	3	104	123	-19	1-2	0-1	3L