Baylor vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Baylor vs SMU
Baylor face off against SMU in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, September 6. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re keeping our prediction nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the -133 that SMU are able to secure a victory over Baylor.
Backing SMU? Don’t miss the chance to use the latest BetMGM promo code and be sure to check out our comprehensive review too.
Baylor Bears were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Auburn Tigers by a 38-24 scoreline at McLane Stadium.
SMU Mustangs were winners last time out. It was a 42-13 home victory against Texas A&M-Commerce Lions at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Sawyer Robertson
Kevin Jennings
Baylor vs SMU Prediction & Picks
We cover the key Baylor vs SMU betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Our pick is that there will be a home win in this college football showdown. You can currently get -133 about this happening which looks like great odds.
Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college football handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.
Key Baylor vs SMU stats:
SMU Moneyline Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.
The spread provides you with the opportunity to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for SMU and choose the odds to suit you.
Make your next bet count. Discover the best betting offers, including generous welcome bonuses and free bets.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Kevin Jennings (SMU) to reach over 268.5 passing yards stand at -114. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with QB Passing Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.
The odds for Romello Brinson (SMU) to go beyond 58.5 receiving yards are -114. We're confident in him covering the Player Receiving Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out this same game parlay which starts with SMU on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Under 63.5 points and Kevin Jennings (SMU) to have Over 268.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
27
-
30
SMU
There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 30-27 victory for the Mustangs. There are huge odds available when it comes to this prediction.
Baylor vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
You can choose SMU at -152 or alternatively Baylor who have betting odds of +126. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 44% probability of success.
2.5 is the spread and 64.5 is the total points line. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 64.5 at -105.
There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.
Bryson Washington is the market leader at +600 to be the First TD Scorer. Should you think he will score the final touchdown, then a similar price can be found.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
SMU Racking Up the Home Wins
SMU are riding six straight wins at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games at home, scoring 45.20 points per matchup and conceding 19.00.
Baylor have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 29.70 points scored and 35.80 points allowed.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O63.5 | U63.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU Home Stats |
9-1 | 64.20 | 45.20 | 19.00 | 6 | 4 | |
 Baylor Away Stats |
4-6 | 65.50 | 29.70 | 35.80 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O63.5 = Games Over 63.5 Points
- U63.5 = Games Under 63.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Baylor Bears Stats
SMU Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 67.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 65.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 63.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 63.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.20 pts and allowed 31.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 35.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 64.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 63.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 63.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 43.80 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
10 | 2 | 398 | 240 | 158 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 2W |
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
7 | 5 | 415 | 353 | 62 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 2W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
11 | 1 | 408 | 213 | 195 | 6-0 | 5-1 | 3W |
Texas Tech
|
11 | 1 | 518 | 135 | 383 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 5W |
Utah
|
10 | 2 | 493 | 224 | 269 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 5W |
Arizona
|
9 | 3 | 391 | 227 | 164 | 6-1 | 3-2 | 5W |
Houston
|
9 | 3 | 340 | 262 | 78 | 3-3 | 6-0 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
8 | 4 | 329 | 242 | 87 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3W |
TCU
|
8 | 4 | 369 | 302 | 67 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2W |
Cincinnati
|
7 | 5 | 381 | 298 | 83 | 5-3 | 2-2 | 4L |
Kansas State
|
6 | 6 | 353 | 320 | 33 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 1W |
|
Baylor
|
5 | 7 | 373 | 391 | -18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Kansas
|
5 | 7 | 337 | 321 | 16 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
UCF
|
5 | 7 | 292 | 283 | 9 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
4 | 8 | 261 | 370 | -109 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 2L |
Colorado
|
3 | 9 | 251 | 366 | -115 | 3-4 | 0-5 | 5L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 11 | 170 | 400 | -230 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 11L |
George Washington
Army
Predictions
12:00 - Tue 02 Dec
DFB-Pokal
Hertha BSC
Kaiserslautern
Predictions
12:00 - Tue 02 Dec
DFB-Pokal
Borussia Monchengladbach
St Pauli
Predictions
12:00 - Tue 02 Dec
NCAAB
Charleston Southern
UT Martin
Predictions
13:00 - Tue 02 Dec
Copa del Rey
Racing de Ferrol
Huesca
Predictions
14:30 - Tue 02 Dec
Premier League
Bournemouth
Everton
Predictions