Baylor vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Baylor vs SMU

Baylor face off against SMU in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 6 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Find Out Why SMU Can Seal Victory

We’re keeping our prediction nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the -133 that SMU are able to secure a victory over Baylor.

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SMU Landed Big Win in Last Game

Baylor Bears were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Auburn Tigers by a 38-24 scoreline at McLane Stadium.

SMU Mustangs were winners last time out. It was a 42-13 home victory against Texas A&M-Commerce Lions at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Sawyer Robertson

284.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kevin Jennings

268.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Baylor vs SMU Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Baylor vs SMU betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that there will be a home win in this college football showdown. You can currently get -133 about this happening which looks like great odds.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college football handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Key Baylor vs SMU stats:

• SMU have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• SMU have won 16 of their last 20 games.
• Baylor have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Baylor have lost 11 of their last 20 games.
• Baylor have lost their last 2 games.

SMU Moneyline Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

The spread provides you with the opportunity to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for SMU and choose the odds to suit you.

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Best Bet

SMU Moneyline @ -133 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kevin Jennings Over 268.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Kevin Jennings (SMU) to reach over 268.5 passing yards stand at -114. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with QB Passing Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Kevin Jennings Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 268.5

-114

Under 268.5

-114

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Romello Brinson Over 58.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Romello Brinson (SMU) to go beyond 58.5 receiving yards are -114. We're confident in him covering the Player Receiving Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Romello Brinson Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 27 - 30 SMU

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 30-27 victory for the Mustangs. There are huge odds available when it comes to this prediction.

Baylor vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Close Game On the Cards According to Latest Odds

You can choose SMU at -143 or alternatively Baylor who have betting odds of +118. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 46% probability of success.

2.5 is the spread and 63.5 is the total points line. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 63.5 at -112.

There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.

Moneyline

Baylor

+118

SMU

-143

Point Spread

Baylor +2.5

-105

SMU -2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 63.5

-112

Over 63.5

-108

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Romello Brinson (SMU)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Josh Cameron (Baylor)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Kole Wilson (Baylor)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bryson Washington (Baylor)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Passing Yards

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor)

Over 284.5

-114

Under 284.5

-114

Kevin Jennings (SMU)

Over 268.5

-114

Under 268.5

-114

SMU Racking Up the Home Wins

SMU are riding six straight wins at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games at home, scoring 45.20 points per matchup and conceding 19.00.

Baylor have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 29.70 points scored and 35.80 points allowed.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O63.5	U63.5
SMU Home Stats		9-1	64.20	45.20	19.00	6	4
Baylor Away Stats		4-6	65.50	29.70	35.80	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O63.5 = Games Over 63.5 Points
• U63.5 = Games Under 63.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Bears Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 67.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 65.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 63.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 63.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.20 pts and allowed 31.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 35.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 64.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 63.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 63.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 43.80 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	1	0	66	10	56	1-0	0-0	1W
NC State	1	0	24	17	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Wake Forest	1	0	10	9	1	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia	1	0	48	7	41	1-0	0-0	1W
SMU	1	0	42	13	29	1-0	0-0	1W
California	1	0	34	15	19	0-0	1-0	1W
Pittsburgh	1	0	61	9	52	1-0	0-0	1W
Miami	1	0	27	24	3	1-0	0-0	1W
Louisville	1	0	51	17	34	1-0	0-0	1W
Georgia Tech	1	0	27	20	7	0-0	1-0	1W
Florida State	1	0	31	17	14	1-0	0-0	1W
Duke	1	0	45	17	28	1-0	0-0	1W
Clemson	0	1	10	17	-7	0-1	0-0	1L
North Carolina	0	1	14	48	-34	0-1	0-0	1L
Stanford	0	1	20	23	-3	0-0	0-1	1L
Syracuse	0	1	26	45	-19	0-0	0-1	1L
Virginia Tech	0	1	11	24	-13	0-0	0-1	1L

Big 12	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	1	0	40	6	34	1-0	0-0	1W
BYU	1	0	69	0	69	1-0	0-0	1W
Houston	1	0	27	0	27	1-0	0-0	1W
Iowa State	2	0	79	28	51	1-0	1-0	2W
Kansas	2	0	77	14	63	2-0	0-0	2W
Oklahoma State	1	0	27	7	20	1-0	0-0	1W
TCU	1	0	48	14	34	0-0	1-0	1W
Texas Tech	1	0	67	7	60	1-0	0-0	1W
UCF	1	0	17	10	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Utah	1	0	43	10	33	0-0	1-0	1W
West Virginia	1	0	45	3	42	1-0	0-0	1W
Kansas State	1	1	59	59	0	1-1	0-0	1W
Baylor	0	1	24	38	-14	0-1	0-0	1L
Cincinnati	0	1	17	20	-3	0-1	0-0	1L
Colorado	0	1	20	27	-7	0-1	0-0	1L