Boise State vs Air Force Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Boise State vs Air Force

Boise State meet Air Force in this NCAAF Week 4 matchup at Falcon Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday 20 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Are Air Force +10.5 a Value Bet?

Air Force can avoid a heavy defeat against Boise State, with bettors able to back the underdogs against the spread. They should be able to cover +10.5 which have been made available at -115.

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4 Boise State Victories in Last 5 H2H Matchups

Boise State Broncos claimed a victory in their previous game. A 51-14 home win occurred against Eastern Washington at Albertsons Stadium.

Air Force Falcons were beaten last game and this was on the road at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. Utah State Aggies claimed a 49-30 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Boise have beaten Air Force in the last two matchups. They won 19-14 at Falcon Stadium and triumphed 27-19 at Albertsons Stadium. In the past 5 games between the teams, Boise have won four.

Boise State vs Air Force Prediction & Picks

Step into Boise State vs Air Force with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.

Game Prediction

Air Force might not be a complete pushover in this college football battle and we fancy them against the spread. You can get a tempting +10.5 and the underdogs are available at odds of -115.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making CFB predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter picks.

Key Boise State vs Air Force stats:

• The +10.5 line has been covered by Air Force in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Air Force in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Air Force in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Boise State in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Boise State in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Boise State in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Air Force in 3 consecutive games against Boise State.

Air Force +10.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Best Bet

Air Force +10.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Boise State 23 - 21 Air Force

We’ll roll the dice and go for Boise State to register a 23-21 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Boise State vs Air Force Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Boise State Win on the Cards According to the Books

Sportsbooks’ favorites Boise State are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -435 about them triumphing means a 81% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Air Force are least likely to win at +330.

10.5 is the spread and 51.5 is the total points line. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to bet Under 51.5, there are odds of -110.

When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.

Moneyline

Boise State

-435

Air Force

+330

Point Spread

Boise State -10.5

-118

Air Force +10.5

-104

Total Points

Under 51.5

-110

Over 51.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player or quarterback when it comes to number of Touchdowns, Passing or Rushing Yards.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then college football micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on what will happen on the next snap by staking your money on the Next Play Result.

Air Force Looking to Extend Strong Home Form

Air Force have rattled off three consecutive victories at Falcon Stadium. They own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 22.20 points on offense and surrendering 19.40 on defense.

Boise have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 road games, posting 33.20 points per matchup while yielding 24.80.

When the teams last met at Falcon Stadium, Boise beat Air Force 19-14.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Air Force Home Stats		5-5	41.60	22.20	19.40	4	6
Boise State Away Stats		7-3	58.00	33.20	24.80	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boise State Broncos Stats

Air Force Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.90 pts and allowed 20.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 33.20 pts and allowed 24.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 41.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 25.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	3	0	106	75	31	2-0	1-0	3W
Fresno State	3	1	141	79	62	2-0	1-1	3W
Hawaii	3	1	89	83	6	3-0	0-1	2W
New Mexico	2	1	84	66	18	1-0	1-1	2W
Utah State	2	1	99	90	9	2-0	0-1	1W
Wyoming	2	1	47	38	9	1-1	1-0	1L
Air Force	1	1	79	62	17	1-0	0-1	1L
Boise State	1	1	58	48	10	1-0	0-1	1W
Colorado State	1	1	42	55	-13	1-0	0-1	1W
San Diego State	1	1	55	36	19	1-0	0-1	1L
Nevada	1	2	44	77	-33	1-1	0-1	1L
San Jose State	0	2	21	54	-33	0-1	0-1	2L