Bowling Green vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Bowling Green vs Louisville
Bowling Green face Louisville in this NCAAF Week 4 matchup at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, September 20. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Bowling Green have been given a huge number on the spread. We recommend taking the -110 that they cover a more than generous +25.5 line against Louisville.
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Bowling Green Falcons previous game saw them claim a 23-13 home win over Liberty Flames at Doyt L. Perry Stadium.
Louisville Cardinals last game was a 28-14 home win. This victory over James Madison Dukes at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium made it back-to-back victories.
Quarterbacks
Drew Pyne
Miller Moss
Bowling Green vs Louisville Prediction & Picks
Our Bowling Green vs Louisville preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Let’s back Bowling Green at +25.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. They are a good shout at -110 to stay relatively close to the big favorites in this college football matchup.
Our CFB predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.
Key Bowling Green vs Louisville stats:
Bowling Green +25.5 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, we have this figure at close to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this college bet.
There’s the opportunity to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger return on the odds available.
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Player Prop Picks
The odds for Miller Moss (Louisville) to record fewer than 235.5 passing yards are -114. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.
Isaac Brown (Bowling Green) is priced at -114 to finish with fewer than 109.5 rushing yards. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Rushing Yards market.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with BGSU +25.5. We’ve also gone for Over 51.5 points and Miller Moss (Louisville) to have Under 235.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
20
-
41
Louisville
Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where Louisville can be backed speculatively to achieve a 41-20 victory.
Bowling Green vs Louisville Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
The latest Moneyline betting odds give Louisville a 98% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -5000 favorites with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to back Bowling Green, you will find +1600 about the underdogs.
The spread is 26.5 and the total points line is currently 51.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those who wager Under 51.5 can get -110.
Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on college football, the top betting apps let you feast on a wide range of team props and game lines. The selections are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many options at your fingertips.
Favorite Isaac Brown is available at +230 to be the First TD Scorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the final touchdown.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Can Louisville Keep Their Home Form Going?
Louisville have put together three straight wins at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. They have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, putting up 39.20 points on average and giving up 22.10.
Bowling Green have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 30.30 points per contest and giving up 22.50.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Louisville Home Stats |
7-3 | 61.30 | 39.20 | 22.10 | 7 | 3 | |
 Bowling Green Away Stats |
6-4 | 52.80 | 30.30 | 22.50 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
Louisville Cardinals Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +25.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road
- -25.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -25.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.30 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 60.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 61.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.00 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 39.20 pts and allowed 22.10 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
10 | 2 | 398 | 240 | 158 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 2W |
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
7 | 5 | 415 | 353 | 62 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 2W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Michigan
|
8 | 4 | 284 | 224 | 60 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 4W |
Ohio
|
8 | 4 | 344 | 275 | 69 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 2W |
Toledo
|
8 | 4 | 379 | 146 | 233 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 4W |
Miami (OH)
|
7 | 5 | 313 | 263 | 50 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 2W |
Central Michigan
|
7 | 5 | 286 | 272 | 14 | 4-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
Akron
|
5 | 7 | 267 | 329 | -62 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1W |
Buffalo
|
5 | 7 | 288 | 282 | 6 | 2-5 | 3-2 | 3L |
Kent State
|
5 | 7 | 255 | 403 | -148 | 3-2 | 2-5 | 1W |
Ball State
|
4 | 8 | 190 | 358 | -168 | 4-1 | 0-7 | 3L |
Eastern Michigan
|
4 | 8 | 289 | 357 | -68 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1L |
|
Bowling Green
|
4 | 8 | 246 | 291 | -45 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Northern Illinois
|
3 | 9 | 205 | 292 | -87 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 2L |
UMass
|
0 | 12 | 133 | 463 | -330 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 12L |
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