Florida vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Florida vs Miami
Florida go up against Miami in this NCAAF Week 4 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, September 20. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Miami to Make Short Work of Florida
Bet on Miami against the spread, with an attractive line of -8.5 that they have the upper hand against Florida. There are odds of -112 that are currently on offer for this selection.
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41-17 Victory for Miami in Pair’s Last Head-to-Head
Florida Gators have suffered a defeat in back-to-back games including a recent 20-10 loss. This occurred on the road at Tiger Stadium against LSU Tigers.
Miami Hurricanes won their last game 49-12, making it three victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Hard Rock Stadium against South Florida.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with Miami claiming the win. Beating Florida by a 41-17 scoreline.
Quarterbacks
DJ Lagway
Carson Beck
Florida vs Miami Prediction & Picks
We’ve lined up expert Florida vs Miami betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.
Game Prediction
Miami should be taken against the spread at -8.5 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this college football battle. Back them at the odds of -112 that are available.
Our CFB handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each team, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.
Key Florida vs Miami stats:
Miami -8.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you want a viable alternative to backing Miami on the spread, then the Winning Margin lines could be up your street. Choose from a wide range of options.
Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.
Best Bet
Miami -8.5 @ -112
Player Prop Picks
DJ Lagway (Florida) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 223.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.
The odds for Eugene Wilson III (Florida) to end with fewer than 50.5 receiving yards are -114. He could struggle to reach the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Miami -8.5, Over 51.5 and DJ Lagway (Florida) to have Under 223.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
34
Miami
We’re going for Miami to claim a 34-24 victory and the good news is that there are huge odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.
Florida vs Miami Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Miami Big Favorites to Win
Miami are -313 favorites and that means a 76% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Florida are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +250.
The current spread is 8.5 and the total points line is 51.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 51.5 at -115.
There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Mark Fletcher Jr. Favorite to Be First TD Scorer
Mark Fletcher Jr. can be backed to score a touchdown at anytime at -169. He is the favorite to score the first TD at odds of +420.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro Betting
There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.
Can Miami Keep Their Home Streak Alive?
Miami have put together nine straight wins at Hard Rock Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 home games, putting up 43.20 points on average and giving up 17.20.
Florida own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 26.10 points scored and 32.20 points allowed.
In their last matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, Florida came out on top 24-20 against Miami.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami Home Stats |
9-1 | 60.40 | 43.20 | 17.20 | 7 | 3 | |
 Florida Away Stats |
3-7 | 58.30 | 26.10 | 32.20 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida Gators Stats
Miami Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 47.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 19.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.10 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 66.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 63.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 40.60 pts and allowed 25.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 44.90 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
8 | 1 | 328 | 200 | 128 | 5-0 | 3-1 | 7W |
Georgia Tech
|
8 | 1 | 324 | 208 | 116 | 5-0 | 3-1 | 1L |
Louisville
|
7 | 1 | 270 | 166 | 104 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 3W |
Pittsburgh
|
7 | 2 | 357 | 196 | 161 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 5W |
|
Miami
|
6 | 2 | 258 | 125 | 133 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
6 | 3 | 277 | 191 | 86 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 1W |
Duke
|
5 | 3 | 283 | 225 | 58 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
5 | 3 | 194 | 174 | 20 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 1L |
NC State
|
5 | 4 | 292 | 275 | 17 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 1W |
California
|
5 | 4 | 221 | 226 | -5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 2L |
Florida State
|
4 | 4 | 320 | 165 | 155 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 1W |
Clemson
|
3 | 5 | 227 | 192 | 35 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2L |
North Carolina
|
3 | 5 | 155 | 177 | -22 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1W |
Stanford
|
3 | 6 | 160 | 271 | -111 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 2L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 6 | 219 | 267 | -48 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 6 | 213 | 277 | -64 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5L |
Boston College
|
1 | 8 | 224 | 300 | -76 | 1-4 | 0-4 | 8L |
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M
|
8 | 0 | 302 | 189 | 113 | 5-0 | 3-0 | 8W |
Ole Miss
|
8 | 1 | 326 | 198 | 128 | 6-0 | 2-1 | 2W |
Alabama
|
7 | 1 | 275 | 146 | 129 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 7W |
Georgia
|
7 | 1 | 260 | 157 | 103 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 4W |
Texas
|
7 | 2 | 266 | 148 | 118 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 4W |
Oklahoma
|
7 | 2 | 260 | 127 | 133 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 1W |
Vanderbilt
|
7 | 2 | 338 | 184 | 154 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 1L |
Missouri
|
6 | 2 | 283 | 134 | 149 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
6 | 3 | 392 | 280 | 112 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
5 | 3 | 204 | 151 | 53 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 4 | 299 | 222 | 77 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Auburn
|
4 | 5 | 201 | 159 | 42 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1L |
|
Florida
|
3 | 5 | 177 | 164 | 13 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
3 | 5 | 179 | 214 | -35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
3 | 6 | 177 | 199 | -22 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 7 | 319 | 300 | 19 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 7L |
Massachusetts
Akron
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Mogi das Cruzes
Flamengo
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18:00 - Mon 03 Nov
Brazil NBB
Corinthians
Botafogo
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18:30 - Mon 03 Nov
Brazil Série B
Volta Redonda
Botafogo SP
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18:30 - Mon 03 Nov
NCAAB
IUPUI
Ohio State
Betting Tips
18:30 - Mon 03 Nov
NCAAB
Coppin State
Maryland
Betting Tips
18:30 - Mon 03 Nov
NCAAB
Quinnipiac
St. John's
Betting Tips