Florida State vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Florida State vs Florida
Florida State go up against Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on Saturday, November 29.
The best betting angle could be the Moneyline and our prediction is Florida State at the current odds of -108. They can get the better of Florida when the two teams clash.
Florida State Seminoles have now lost four straight road games. In their previous game, North Carolina State Wolfpack won 21-11 at Carter Finley Stadium.
Florida Gators were defeated last time, making it four losses on the spin. Ben Hill Griffin Stadium saw them beaten 31-11 at home to Tennessee Volunteers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Florida beat FSU when the teams last met. It was a 31-11 scoreline at Doak Campbell Stadium. We’ve seen three Florida wins in the past 5 meetings between the teams.
Quarterbacks
Tommy Castellanos
DJ Lagway
Florida State vs Florida Prediction & Picks
Gear up for Florida State vs Florida with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
We think that Florida State should prove too strong in this college football matchup. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win and there’s juice in the -108 available.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Florida State vs Florida stats:
FSU Moneyline Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
It’s worth considering all the betting options. If you’re looking for bigger odds about FSU to triumph and a certain number of points to be scored, then the Result & Total lines could be a way forward.
Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.
Player Prop Picks
Duce Robinson (FSU) is priced at +130 to record a TD. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Touchdown Scorer bet, which could hopefully result in him taking it to the house.
J. Michael Sturdivant (Florida) is priced at -114 to exceed 31.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out this same game parlay which starts with Florida State on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Under 48.5 points and Duce Robinson (Florida State) scoring a touchdown.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
20
Florida
We’re expecting a close battle so it might be worth going for the Seminoles to triumph by a 23-20 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.
Florida State vs Florida Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
We’re seeing Florida priced up at -116 for a victory, with Florida State trading at -102. There is a 54% chance of the hosts winning according to the top sportsbooks.
1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 48.5 right now. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 48.5 can find odds of -105 available.
College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.
Jadan Baugh is the market leader to score a touchdown at anytime and you can get -149. There is the chance to back the favorite to grab the first TD at odds of +440.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.
Florida Own Seven Victories From Previous Ten at Home
Florida have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, putting up 28.60 points per contest and giving up 17.60.
Florida State have suffered nine defeats in a row away from home. They have a 1-9 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 16.60 points per contest and conceding 30.30.
FSU beat Florida 24-15 when the teams last met at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Over the previous 3 head-to-head clashes at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Florida have collected two victories, while FSU have one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Home Stats |
7-3 | 46.20 | 28.60 | 17.60 | 3 | 7 | |
 Florida State Away Stats |
1-9 | 46.90 | 16.60 | 30.30 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Florida Gators Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.40 pts and allowed 20.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.60 pts and allowed 30.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.40 pts and allowed 26.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.60 pts and allowed 17.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
|
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Virginia
|
10 | 3 | 418 | 267 | 151 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
8 | 5 | 442 | 373 | 69 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 3W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
|
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
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