Florida State vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Florida State vs Florida

Florida State go up against Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on Saturday, November 29.

The best betting angle could be the Moneyline and our prediction is Florida State at the current odds of -108. They can get the better of Florida when the two teams clash.

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Florida State Seminoles have now lost four straight road games. In their previous game, North Carolina State Wolfpack won 21-11 at Carter Finley Stadium.

Florida Gators were defeated last time, making it four losses on the spin. Ben Hill Griffin Stadium saw them beaten 31-11 at home to Tennessee Volunteers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida beat FSU when the teams last met. It was a 31-11 scoreline at Doak Campbell Stadium. We’ve seen three Florida wins in the past 5 meetings between the teams.

Quarterbacks

Tommy Castellanos

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

DJ Lagway

198.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Florida State vs Florida Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Florida State vs Florida with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We think that Florida State should prove too strong in this college football matchup. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win and there’s juice in the -108 available.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Florida State vs Florida stats:

• Florida have lost their last 4 games.
• Florida have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Florida have lost 8 of their last 11 games this season.

FSU Moneyline Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.

It’s worth considering all the betting options. If you’re looking for bigger odds about FSU to triumph and a certain number of points to be scored, then the Result & Total lines could be a way forward.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Game Prediction

FSU Moneyline @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Duce Robinson Anytime TD +130

Duce Robinson (FSU) is priced at +130 to record a TD. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Touchdown Scorer bet, which could hopefully result in him taking it to the house.

Latest Duce Robinson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+130

First

+900

Receiving Yards

Over 85.5

-114

Under 85.5

-114

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J. Michael Sturdivant Over 31.5 Receiving Yards -114

J. Michael Sturdivant (Florida) is priced at -114 to exceed 31.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest J. Michael Sturdivant Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+220

First

+1200

Receiving Yards

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Florida State 23 - 20 Florida

We’re expecting a close battle so it might be worth going for the Seminoles to triumph by a 23-20 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Florida State vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The sportsbooks can’t decide whether Florida or Florida State are more likely to prosper. They have Moneyline odds of -108 about both teams and that means they theoretically have the same percentage chance of winning.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 48.5 right now. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 48.5 can find odds of -105 available.

College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

FSU

-108

Florida

-108

Point Spread

FSU +1.5

-115

Florida -1.5

-105

Total Points

Under 48.5

-105

Over 48.5

-115

Jadan Baugh is the market leader to score a touchdown at anytime and you can get -169. There is the chance to back the favorite to grab the first TD at odds of +410.

Touchdown

Jadan Baugh (Florida)

First TD

+410

Anytime TD

-169

Gavin Sawchuk (FSU)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+120

Ousmane Kromah (FSU)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+125

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+120

Duce Robinson (FSU)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+130

Vernell Brown III (Florida)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+165

J. Michael Sturdivant (Florida)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+220

TJ Abrams (Florida)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

Aidan Mizell (Florida)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+270

Randy Pittman Jr. (FSU)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+280

Hayden Hansen (Florida)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+290

Micahi Danzy (FSU)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

Lawayne McCoy (FSU)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+390

DJ Lagway (Florida)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+390

Jaylin Lucas (FSU)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+480

KD Daniels (Florida)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+490

Receiving Yards

Duce Robinson (FSU)

Over 85.5

-114

Under 85.5

-114

Vernell Brown III (Florida)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

J. Michael Sturdivant (Florida)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Randy Pittman Jr. (FSU)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Jadan Baugh (Florida)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Hayden Hansen (Florida)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jadan Baugh (Florida)

Over 95.5

-114

Under 95.5

-114

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Gavin Sawchuk (FSU)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Ousmane Kromah (FSU)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Passing Yards

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

DJ Lagway (Florida)

Over 198.5

-114

Under 198.5

-114

Florida Own Seven Victories From Previous Ten at Home

Florida have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, putting up 28.60 points per contest and giving up 17.60.

Florida State have suffered nine defeats in a row away from home. They have a 1-9 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 16.60 points per contest and conceding 30.30.

FSU beat Florida 24-15 when the teams last met at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Over the previous 3 head-to-head clashes at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Florida have collected two victories, while FSU have one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Florida Home Stats		7-3	46.20	28.60	17.60	3	7
Florida State Away Stats		1-9	46.90	16.60	30.30	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida State Seminoles Stats

Florida Gators Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.40 pts and allowed 20.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.60 pts and allowed 30.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.40 pts and allowed 26.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.60 pts and allowed 17.60 pts in the last 10 home games

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