Florida State vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Florida State vs Virginia
Florida State go up against Virginia in this NCAAF Week 5 matchup at Scott Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Friday 26 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Virginia to Give FSU a Tough Test
There’s an awesome opportunity to back Virginia against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance against Florida State, with +6.5 making appeal at -100.
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31-24 Virginia Victory in Previous H2H Meeting
Florida State Seminoles beat Kent State Golden Flashes in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 66-10 home win at Doak Campbell Stadium.
Virginia Cavaliers have enjoyed three consecutive home wins at Scott Stadium. Last time out, Stanford Cardinal were beaten 48-20.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between Virginia and Florida State saw the former win. It was a 31-24 scoreline at Scott Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Tommy Castellanos
Chandler Morris
Florida State vs Virginia Prediction & Picks
We’ve got your Florida State vs Virginia bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Game Prediction
Considering the +6.5 that is available for Virginia, our pick is that they will cover the spread in this college football battle. The underdogs can stay in the game and -100 is available.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college football handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Florida State vs Virginia stats:
Virginia +6.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.
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Best Bet
Virginia +6.5 @ -100
Player Prop Picks
Chandler Morris (Virginia) can be backed at -114 to go beyond 238.5 passing yards. The line for QB Passing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.
You can back Cam Ross (Florida State) at -114 to go beyond 53.5 receiving yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Virginia +6.5. We’ve also gone for Under 59.5 points and Chandler Morris (Virginia) to have Over 238.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
27
Virginia
We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Seminoles landing a 28-27 win. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.
Florida State vs Virginia Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
FSU Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory
The Florida State odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -250 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 71% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Virginia, you will find +202 about the underdogs.
The spread is 6.5 and the total points line is currently 59.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Under 59.5, then the odds are -105.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Player Odds
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Can Virginia Keep Their Home Streak Alive?
Virginia have reeled off three in a row at Scott Stadium. They own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 28.00 points per contest and giving up 25.00.
Florida State have dropped five consecutive away games. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 22.10 points per contest and giving up 26.80.
Virginia defeated Florida State 31-24 in their last meeting at Scott Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O59.5 | U59.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virginia Home Stats |
5-5 | 53.00 | 28.00 | 25.00 | 3 | 7 | |
 Florida State Away Stats |
5-5 | 48.90 | 22.10 | 26.80 | 1 | 9 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O59.5 = Games Over 59.5 Points
- U59.5 = Games Under 59.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 59.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 59.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.30 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.10 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 58.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 59.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 59.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.90 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.00 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Florida State
|
3 | 0 | 174 | 30 | 144 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Georgia Tech
|
4 | 0 | 155 | 77 | 78 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Louisville
|
3 | 0 | 119 | 48 | 71 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Miami
|
4 | 0 | 147 | 46 | 101 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 4W |
California
|
3 | 1 | 96 | 66 | 30 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
NC State
|
3 | 1 | 126 | 117 | 9 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 1 | 153 | 110 | 43 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
|
Virginia
|
3 | 1 | 182 | 78 | 104 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2W |
Pittsburgh
|
2 | 1 | 130 | 57 | 73 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
2 | 1 | 76 | 53 | 23 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Duke
|
2 | 2 | 136 | 129 | 7 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1W |
North Carolina
|
2 | 2 | 84 | 91 | -7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
2 | 2 | 139 | 106 | 33 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Boston College
|
1 | 2 | 126 | 82 | 44 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2L |
Clemson
|
1 | 3 | 79 | 91 | -12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2L |
Stanford
|
1 | 3 | 73 | 118 | -45 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
1 | 3 | 95 | 119 | -24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1W |
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