Houston vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Houston vs Baylor

Houston face Baylor at McLane Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, November 29.

Our prediction is that Houston can outperform their odds against Baylor. It leads us to a bet on the spread considering that a generous +2.5 has been chalked up at -105.

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Houston Cougars have triumphed in five straight road games. Their previous contest was a 17-14 home defeat against Texas Christian Horned Frogs at TDECU Stadium.

Baylor Bears lost on the road in their last game, making it back-to-back defeats. Arizona Wildcats won 41-17 at Arizona Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Baylor and Houston saw the former win. It was a 20-10 scoreline at TDECU Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Conner Weigman

202.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Sawyer Robertson

271.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Houston vs Baylor Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Houston vs Baylor bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Game Prediction

Houston should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the line in this college football matchup. It’s set at a more than generous +2.5 and you can get -105.

We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Houston vs Baylor stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Houston in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Houston in 8 of their last 11 games this season.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Houston in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 4 of their last 6 games at home this season.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 2 consecutive games.

Houston +2.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling points depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

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Our Game Prediction

Houston +2.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sawyer Robertson Under 271.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Sawyer Robertson (Baylor) to have less than 271.5 passing yards are -114. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Sawyer Robertson Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 271.5

-114

Under 271.5

-114

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Tanner Koziol Under 48.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Tanner Koziol (Houston) at -114 to finish with fewer than 48.5 receiving yards. He may fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest Tanner Koziol Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Houston 28 - 27 Baylor

We’re expecting a close battle so it might be worth going for the Coogs to triumph by a 28-27 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Houston vs Baylor Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The latest Moneyline odds are -133 that Baylor win, while Houston have been chalked up at +114. The probability of the home team winning this college game is 57% according to the sportsbooks.

2.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 58.5 right now. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 58.5 can get -110.

The best betting apps provide tons of game lines and team props for nearly every college football matchup. Take a few moments to browse all the markets so you can place a bet that matches your insight.

Moneyline

Houston

+114

Baylor

-133

Point Spread

Houston +2.5

-105

Baylor -2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 58.5

-110

Over 58.5

-110

Receiving Yards

Josh Cameron (Baylor)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Amare Thomas (Houston)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Tanner Koziol (Houston)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Michael Trigg (Baylor)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Kole Wilson (Baylor)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Ashtyn Hawkins (Baylor)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Dean Connors (Houston)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Conner Weigman (Houston)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Caden Knighten (Baylor)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Bryson Washington (Baylor)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Passing Yards

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor)

Over 271.5

-114

Under 271.5

-114

Conner Weigman (Houston)

Over 202.5

-114

Under 202.5

-114

Baylor Hold Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

Baylor have six wins and four losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 33.10 points per contest and conceding 27.70.

Houston have put together five straight wins away from home. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 22.00 points on offense and surrendering 24.50 on defense.

When the teams last met at McLane Stadium, Houston beat Baylor 25-24.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O58.5	U58.5
Baylor Home Stats		6-4	60.80	33.10	27.70	7	3
Houston Away Stats		6-4	46.50	22.00	24.50	0	10

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
• U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Cougars Stats

Baylor Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 58.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 on the Road: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.20 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.00 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 64.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 60.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 58.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.50 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 27.70 pts in the last 10 home games

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