Kansas vs UCF Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Kansas vs UCF

Kansas square off against UCF in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Acrisure Bounce House, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

UCF Can Trouble Kansas

We’re happy to get with UCF against the spread. -106 is available that they are able to cover +4.5 against Kansas and that looks more than reasonable.

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Kansas 51-22 Winners in Previous H2H Matchup

Kansas Jayhawks lost when they last took to the field. At David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, they were turned over 37-34 at home to Cincinnati Bearcats.

UCF Knights have won their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 34-20 on the road at Bill Snyder Family Stadium against Kansas State Wildcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Kansas and UCF saw the former win. It was a 51-22 scoreline at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Jalon Daniels

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tayven Jackson

180.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kansas vs UCF Prediction & Picks

Be ready for Kansas vs UCF with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

The market might have underrated UCF in this college football showdown and -106 makes appeal considering the underdogs are +4.5 on the spread. Bet on them to cover the line.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert CFB predictions. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate picks possible.

Key Kansas vs UCF stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by UCF in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by UCF in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by UCF in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kansas in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kansas in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.

UCF +4.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine UCF on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

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Best Bet

UCF +4.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaden Nixon Anytime TD +105

Jaden Nixon (UCF) can be backed at +105 to hit the end zone. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Touchdown Scorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Jaden Nixon Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+105

First

+850

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DJ Black Over 34.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on DJ Black (UCF) at -114 to go beyond 34.5 receiving yards. We feel confident that he’ll cover the Player Receiving Yards line, which looks generous.

Latest DJ Black Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+330

First

+2200

Receiving Yards

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Kansas 23 - 24 UCF

A close battle could be on the cards. We’ll bet on UCF to claim a 24-23 victory at huge odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Kansas vs UCF Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Kansas Could Have the Edge Say the Books

Kansas have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability due to their -189 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +160 about UCF.

The spread is 4.5 and the total points line is currently 54.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 54.5 at -110.

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

Kansas

-189

UCF

+160

Point Spread

Kansas -4.5

-114

UCF +4.5

-106

Total Points

Under 54.5

-110

Over 54.5

-110

Myles Montgomery Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Favorite Myles Montgomery is available at +470 to be the First TD Scorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the final touchdown.

Touchdown

Myles Montgomery (UCF)

First TD

+470

Anytime TD

-185

Leshon Williams (Kansas)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-175

Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Kansas)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-125

Jaden Nixon (UCF)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+105

Jalon Daniels (Kansas)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+125

Cam Pickett (Kansas)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+115

Tayven Jackson (UCF)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+125

Levi Wentz (Kansas)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

Johnny Thompson Jr. (Kansas)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+220

Boden Groen (Kansas)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+240

Duane Thomas Jr. (UCF)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+260

DJ Black (UCF)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+330

Kylan Fox (UCF)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+450

Marcus Burke (UCF)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+440

Receiving Yards

Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Kansas)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Duane Thomas Jr. (UCF)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

DJ Black (UCF)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Cam Pickett (Kansas)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Myles Montgomery (UCF)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Jalon Daniels (Kansas)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Passing Yards

Jalon Daniels (Kansas)

Over 231.5

-114

Under 231.5

-114

Tayven Jackson (UCF)

Over 180.5

-114

Under 180.5

-114

Can UCF Stay Hot at Home?

UCF have reeled off three straight victories at Acrisure Bounce House. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 34.90 points scored and 18.70 points allowed.

Kansas own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 29.40 points on offense and surrendering 29.20 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O54.5	U54.5
UCF Home Stats		6-4	53.60	34.90	18.70	6	4
Kansas Away Stats		4-6	58.60	29.40	29.20	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
• U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas Jayhawks Stats

UCF Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 54.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.60 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.40 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 54.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.00 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.90 pts and allowed 18.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
BYU	4	0	154	37	117	2-0	2-0	4W
Houston	4	0	125	53	72	2-0	2-0	4W
Iowa State	5	0	158	71	87	3-0	2-0	5W
Texas Tech	4	0	208	45	163	3-0	1-0	4W
Utah	4	1	195	73	122	1-1	3-0	1W
Arizona	3	1	125	65	60	3-0	0-1	1L
Cincinnati	3	1	158	74	84	2-1	1-0	3W
TCU	3	1	149	86	63	2-0	1-1	1L
UCF	3	1	139	60	79	3-0	0-1	1L
Baylor	3	2	183	144	39	1-2	2-0	1W
Kansas	3	2	183	103	80	3-1	0-1	1L
Colorado	2	3	129	114	15	2-2	0-1	1L
Kansas State	2	3	131	126	5	2-2	0-1	1W
West Virginia	2	3	110	133	-23	2-1	0-2	2L
Oklahoma State	1	3	69	140	-71	1-2	0-1	3L