Liberty vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Liberty vs Bowling Green

Liberty face Bowling Green in this NCAAF matchup at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 17:00 on Saturday 13 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Can Bowling Green Stay Close to the Favorites?

The best bet could involve backing Bowling Green against the spread. There’s an attractive +5.5 available at -112 that the underdogs cover the line against Liberty and that has to be our prediction.

Backing our spread pick? Read our in-depth review of the BetMGM sportsbook, then unlock the exclusive promo code to make your wager go further.

Liberty Beat Bowling Green in Pair’s Last Head-to-Head

Liberty Flames were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 34-24 reverse against Jacksonville State at Burgess Snow Field at AmFirst Stadium.

Bowling Green Falcons were beaten last game and this was on the road at Nippert Stadium. Cincinnati Bearcats claimed a 34-20 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liberty triumphed 34-24 when they last played Bowling Green. This head-to-head was played at Williams Stadium.

Liberty vs Bowling Green Prediction & Picks

Our Liberty vs Bowling Green betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

Considering the +5.5 that is available for Bowling Green, our pick is that they will cover the spread in this college football battle. The underdogs can stay in the game and -112 is available.

To deliver the best possible college football picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date stats available.

Key Liberty vs Bowling Green stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Bowling Green +5.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you are looking for more juice from your spread pick, there’s lots of choice when it comes to selling points. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential payout.

Before placing your next bet, explore our complete guide to the best betting offers, promotions and welcome bonuses today.

Best Bet

Bowling Green +5.5 @ -112 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 20 - 24 Bowling Green

We’ll roll the dice and go for Bowling Green to register a 24-20 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Liberty vs Bowling Green Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Giving Liberty Plenty of Respect

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Liberty are -204 favorites to win and that means a 67% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Bowling Green are trading at +168.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 51.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 51.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on college football, the best sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Liberty

-204

BGSU

+168

Point Spread

Liberty -5.5

-108

BGSU +5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 51.5

-110

Over 51.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

We’re fond of the quarterback and player props as an alternative to betting on the game lines. The gambling sites will have Player Kicking Points, Longest Rushing Attempt and Rushing Yards among the choices and you can take a view.

Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.

Bowling Green Have Won Six of Their Last Ten Home Games

Bowling Green own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 26.70 points scored and 18.50 points allowed.

Liberty own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 28.90 points per contest and giving up 27.10.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Bowling Green Home Stats		6-4	45.20	26.70	18.50	4	6
Liberty Away Stats		6-4	56.00	28.90	27.10	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Liberty Flames Stats

Bowling Green Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.30 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.90 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.70 pts and allowed 20.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Bowling Green	1	1	46	41	5	1-0	0-1	1L
Buffalo	1	1	55	29	26	1-0	0-1	1W
Central Michigan	1	1	33	59	-26	0-0	1-1	1L
Kent State	1	1	35	79	-44	1-0	0-1	1L
Northern Illinois	1	1	28	37	-9	1-0	0-1	1L
Ohio	1	1	48	44	4	1-0	0-1	1W
Toledo	1	1	61	45	16	1-0	0-1	1W
Akron	0	2	0	78	-78	0-1	0-1	2L
Ball State	0	2	3	73	-70	0-0	0-2	2L
Eastern Michigan	0	2	50	80	-30	0-1	0-1	2L
Massachusetts	0	2	36	69	-33	0-2	0-0	2L
Miami (OH)	0	2	17	62	-45	0-0	0-2	2L
Western Michigan	0	2	36	56	-20	0-1	0-1	2L

Conference USA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico St	2	0	40	17	23	2-0	0-0	2W
Western Kentucky	2	1	117	75	42	2-0	0-1	1L
Delaware Blue Hens	1	1	42	48	-6	1-0	0-1	1L
FIU	1	1	42	43	-1	1-0	0-1	1L
Jacksonville State	1	1	44	41	3	1-0	0-1	1W
Liberty	1	1	52	41	11	1-0	0-1	1L
Louisiana Tech	1	1	31	23	8	1-0	0-1	1L
Missouri State	1	1	34	93	-59	0-0	1-1	1W
UTEP	1	1	58	45	13	1-0	0-1	1W
Kennesaw State	0	2	18	66	-48	0-0	0-2	2L
M. Tennessee	0	2	24	76	-52	0-1	0-1	2L
Sam Houston	0	3	65	116	-51	0-1	0-2	3L