Liberty Flames
American Football NCAAF Sun Bowl Stadium Wed 8 Oct 20:00
Texas El Paso Miners (UTEP)
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Liberty vs UTEP

Liberty lock horns with UTEP in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Sun Bowl Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, October 8. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

UTEP to Make it a Close Battle

UTEP look a great play at +2.5 on the spread. They could beat Liberty and the -114 about this selection makes lots of appeal.

Taking our side against the spread? Take a moment to read our detailed BetMGM review, then take advantage of the new promo code before you jump in.

28-10 Win for Liberty in Pair’s Last Encounter

Liberty Flames have now lost four straight games. On the road in their previous game, Old Dominion Monarchs won 21-7 at S.B. Ballard Stadium.

UTEP Miners were beaten 30-11 at Sun Bowl Stadium in their last game. This loss at home to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs was their third straight defeat.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Liberty who came out on top when they last played UTEP. At Williams Stadium, a 28-10 win was recorded.

Liberty vs UTEP Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Liberty vs UTEP tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

A spread of +2.5 looks a great number for UTEP in this college football showdown. Take the betting odds of -114 that this line gets covered.

Our CFB handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each team, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Liberty vs UTEP stats:

  • The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 5 consecutive games on the road.
  • The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.

UTEP +2.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Selling points can be a fantastic option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

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Our Game Prediction
UTEP +2.5 @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:26, 07 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malachi Nelson Over 228.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

Malachi Nelson (UTEP) is priced at -114 to surpass 228.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Malachi Nelson Player Prop Odds

Eric Willis III Over 34.5 Receiving Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Eric Willis III (UTEP) to accumulate over 34.5 receiving yards are -114. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Receiving Yards wager.

Latest Eric Willis III Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread UTEP +2.5
Totals Over 46.5
Passing Yards Malachi Nelson Over 228.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes UTEP +2.5 on the spread, combined with Over 46.5 and Malachi Nelson (UTEP) to have Over 228.5 passing yards.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty Liberty logo 23 - 27 UTEP logo UTEP

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 27-23 victory for the Miners. There are huge odds available when it comes to this prediction.

Liberty vs UTEP Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Close Contest Likely According to the Books

You can choose UTEP Miners at +108 or alternatively Liberty who have betting odds of -127. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 48% likely to claim a victory.

The current spread is 2.5 and the total points line is 45.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 45.5 can get -105.

There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.

Caden Williams Favorite to Score First TD

Caden Williams is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +600. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -130.

Touchdown

Caden Williams (Liberty)
First TD
+600
Anytime TD
-130
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Evan Dickens (Liberty)
First TD
+650
Anytime TD
-115
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Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Evan Dickens (Liberty)
Over 35.5
-114
Under 35.5
-114
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Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college football micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Best Betting Offers
Sun Bowl Stadium
Sun Bowl Stadium

UTEP Have Suffered Seven Losses in Past Ten at Home

UTEP have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 25.00 points on average and giving up 28.50.

Liberty have endured four straight defeats on the road. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, putting up 23.60 points on average and giving up 27.30.

In their most recent matchup at Sun Bowl Stadium, Liberty got the better of UTEP 42-28.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O46.5 U46.5
UTEP logo UTEP Home Stats 3-7 53.50 25.00 28.50 7 3
Liberty logo Liberty Away Stats 4-6 50.90 23.60 27.30 7 3
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O46.5 = Games Over 46.5 Points
  • U46.5 = Games Under 46.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Liberty Flames logo Liberty Flames Stats
UTEP logo UTEP Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
NCAAF Standings Select Season
Conference USA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Kennesaw State 10 3 368 316 52 6-0 4-3 3W
Western Kentucky 8 4 357 281 76 5-1 3-3 2L
Jacksonville State 8 5 377 340 37 5-1 3-4 1L
FIU 7 5 351 333 18 4-2 3-3 4W
Louisiana Tech 7 5 332 256 76 5-1 2-4 2W
Missouri State 7 5 305 340 -35 3-3 4-2 2L
Delaware Blue Hens 6 6 357 390 -33 5-1 1-5 1W
Liberty 4 8 307 318 -11 3-3 1-5 4L
New Mexico State 4 8 259 331 -72 3-3 1-5 1L
M. Tennessee 3 9 269 371 -102 1-5 2-4 2W
Sam Houston 2 10 213 454 -241 1-4 1-6 2L
UTEP 2 10 280 365 -85 1-5 1-5 5L