UMass vs Missouri Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: UMass vs Missouri
UMass lock horns with Missouri in this NCAAF Week 5 matchup at Faurot Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, September 27. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We think that 55.5 is a more than generous total for Over backers when Missouri meet UMass. Take the -105 that we see the teams combine to good effect.
Massachusetts Minutemen were beaten in their previous three games and the latest was on the road at Kinnick Stadium. Iowa Hawkeyes claimed a 47-7 win.
Missouri Tigers won their last game 29-20, making it four victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Faurot Field against South Carolina Gamecocks.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Missouri had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, they recorded a 45-3 win over Massachusetts.
UMass vs Missouri Prediction & Picks
Step into UMass vs Missouri with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Game Prediction
The total line looks to be on the low side at 55.5. There’s a strong chance that these college football rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -105.
Our team of college football handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.
Key UMass vs Missouri stats:
Over 55.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want to go Over on the Totals at tastier odds, then you can combine this selection with other picks in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the potential return.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Over 55.5 on the total, Massachusetts to cover the +44.5 spread and the most points to be scored in the First Half.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
13
-
52
Missouri
If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Tigers to achieve a 52-13 victory is on offer at massive odds.
UMass vs Missouri Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Moneyline betting odds might not be available with some sportsbooks as there’s a big underdog in the form of UMass Minutemen. However, the Spread can provide some great alternative wagering options.
The spread is calculated to be 44.5, while total points comes in at 57.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you're keen on Over 57.5, this selection is available at -105.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player and quarterback lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Missouri Building a Fortress at Home
Missouri have ten wins and zero loss in the last 10 home games, averaging 35.80 points on offense and surrendering 17.60 on defense.
Massachusetts have been beaten eight consecutive times away from home. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 16.00 points per contest while yielding 40.60.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O55.5 | U55.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Missouri Home Stats |
10-0 | 53.40 | 35.80 | 17.60 | 4 | 6 | |
 UMass Away Stats |
1-9 | 56.60 | 16.00 | 40.60 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
- U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
UMass Stats
Missouri Tigers Stats
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +44.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +44.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -44.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -44.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 60.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 55.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 38.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.00 pts and allowed 40.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.80 pts and allowed 22.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.70 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
|
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Michigan
|
9 | 4 | 307 | 237 | 70 | 6-1 | 3-3 | 5W |
Ohio
|
8 | 4 | 344 | 275 | 69 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 2W |
Toledo
|
8 | 4 | 379 | 146 | 233 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 4W |
Central Michigan
|
7 | 5 | 286 | 272 | 14 | 4-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
Miami (OH)
|
7 | 6 | 326 | 286 | 40 | 4-2 | 3-4 | 1L |
Akron
|
5 | 7 | 267 | 329 | -62 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1W |
Buffalo
|
5 | 7 | 288 | 282 | 6 | 2-5 | 3-2 | 3L |
Kent State
|
5 | 7 | 255 | 403 | -148 | 3-2 | 2-5 | 1W |
Ball State
|
4 | 8 | 190 | 358 | -168 | 4-1 | 0-7 | 3L |
Eastern Michigan
|
4 | 8 | 289 | 357 | -68 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1L |
Bowling Green
|
4 | 8 | 246 | 291 | -45 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Northern Illinois
|
3 | 9 | 205 | 292 | -87 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 2L |
|
UMass
|
0 | 12 | 133 | 463 | -330 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 12L |
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