Miami vs Ole Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Jan 2026
College Football Playoff Betting Preview: Miami vs Ole Miss
No. 10 Miami square off against No. 6 Ole Miss in this Fiesta Bowl CFP Semifinal at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, January 8.
We’ve lined up a prediction which requires Ole Miss to keep close to Miami. We think that the line of +3.5 can be covered and you can secure -120.
Backing our spread pick? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and explore our expert review of the sportsbook as you get ready to lock in your bet.
The Miami Hurricanes (12-2, 2nd in ACC) come into this matchup on a six-game winning streak after a 24-14 Cotton Bowl Classic win over the Ohio State Buckeyes at AT&T Stadium.
The Ole Miss Rebels (13-1, 1st in SEC) have now won seven straight games, most recently picking up a 39-34 Sugar Bowl victory over the Georgia Bulldogs at Caesars Superdome.
Quarterbacks
Carson Beck
Trinidad Chambliss
Miami vs Ole Miss Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our best Miami vs Ole Miss tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Ole Miss should be able to battle hard and our pick is that the Rebels will cover the spread in the Fiesta Bowl. It’s set at an attractive +3.5 and you can get -120.
Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making college football predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our picks.
Key Miami vs Ole Miss stats:
Ole Miss +3.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your spread pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.
Get rewarded from the start. Our comprehensive guide rounds up the latest and best welcome bonuses on offer today.
Player Prop Picks
CJ Daniels (Miami) is available at +150 to reach the goal line. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
You can back Carson Beck (Miami) at -114 to end with fewer than 235.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Ole Miss +3.5, Under 51.5 and CJ Daniels (Miami) scoring a touchdown.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
24
Ole Miss
A close battle could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Rebels to claim a 24-23 victory at huge odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.
Miami vs Ole Miss Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Miami are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -164 about the Hurricanes triumphing means a 62% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +138 about Ole Miss.
3.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 52.5 right now. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s the chance to back Under 52.5 at -110.
There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.
Mark Fletcher Jr. is favorite to score a TD at any stage and you can get -222. There is the chance to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +390.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Miami Stats
Ole Miss Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 43.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.60 pts and allowed 13.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.60 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.80 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 40.30 pts and allowed 16.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
|
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Virginia
|
10 | 3 | 418 | 267 | 151 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
8 | 5 | 442 | 373 | 69 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 3W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
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