Miami vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Miami vs SMU
Miami meet SMU in this NCAAF matchup at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 11:00 on Saturday, November 1. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Let’s go for Over 50.5 when SMU face Miami. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -115.
Think the total is set too low? Don’t forget to check out the latest BetMGM promo code and our expert site review before making your move.
Miami Hurricanes won their previous game, beating Stanford Cardinal at home. It was a 42-7 win at Hard Rock Stadium.
SMU Mustangs have secured back-to-back home victories. Their last game was on the road and a 13-12 loss occurred against Wake Forest at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Carson Beck
Kevin Jennings
Miami vs SMU Prediction & Picks
We bring you the complete Miami vs SMU betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’ll take a chance on a total bet after finding that the line is set at a generous 50.5 points. Expect this number to be surpassed at -115 for this college football matchup.
Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college football handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.
Key Miami vs SMU stats:
Over 50.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total bet, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to wager Over when it comes to different levels.
Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Kevin Jennings (SMU) to go accumulate over 249.5 passing yards stand at -114. There’s an opportunity to place a QB Passing Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.
Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami) can be backed at -114 to reach over 74.5 rushing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Rushing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Over 50.5 on the total, SMU to cover the +12.5 spread and Kevin Jennings (SMU) to have Over 249.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
31
-
28
SMU
We’ll roll the dice and go for Miami to register a 31-28 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.
Miami vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Miami have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -370 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 79% chance of winning. SMU are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +295.
10.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 50.5 right now. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 50.5 at -110.
There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
SMU Have Picked Up Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home
SMU own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 39.90 points on average and giving up 22.40.
Miami have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 34.20 points per contest while yielding 27.40.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O50.5 | U50.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU Home Stats |
8-2 | 62.30 | 39.90 | 22.40 | 6 | 4 | |
 Miami Away Stats |
6-4 | 61.60 | 34.20 | 27.40 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
- U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Miami Stats
SMU Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 61.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.90 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 27.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 65.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.20 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.50 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Virginia
|
10 | 3 | 418 | 267 | 151 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
8 | 5 | 442 | 373 | 69 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 3W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
Belmont
UIC
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