Miami vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Miami vs SMU

Miami meet SMU in this NCAAF matchup at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

The Total Line Looks Too Generous to Miss

Let’s go for Over 50.5 when SMU face Miami. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -115.

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SMU Bidding to Bounce Back After Loss

Miami Hurricanes won their previous game, beating Stanford Cardinal at home. It was a 42-7 win at Hard Rock Stadium. 

SMU Mustangs have secured back-to-back home victories. Their last game was on the road and a 13-12 loss occurred against Wake Forest at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Carson Beck

242.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kevin Jennings

249.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Miami vs SMU Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Miami vs SMU betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ll take a chance on a total bet after finding that the line is set at a generous 50.5 points. Expect this number to be surpassed at -115 for this college football matchup.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college football handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Key Miami vs SMU stats:

• The 50.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Miami games on the road.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Miami games on the road.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 SMU games at home.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 SMU games at home.

Over 50.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total bet, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to wager Over when it comes to different levels.

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Best Bet

Over 50.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kevin Jennings Over 249.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Kevin Jennings (SMU) to go accumulate over 249.5 passing yards stand at -114. There’s an opportunity to place a QB Passing Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.

Latest Kevin Jennings Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 249.5

-114

Under 249.5

-114

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Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 74.5 Rushing Yards -114

Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami) can be backed at -114 to reach over 74.5 rushing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Rushing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Mark Fletcher Jr. Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 74.5

-114

Under 74.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Miami 31 - 28 SMU

We’ll roll the dice and go for Miami to register a 31-28 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Miami vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Miami as Heavy Favorites

Miami have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -400 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 80% chance of winning. SMU are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +315.

11.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 50.5 right now. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 50.5 at -115.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Miami

-400

SMU

+315

Point Spread

Miami -11.5

-104

SMU +11.5

-118

Total Points

Under 50.5

-105

Over 50.5

-115

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Malachi Toney (Miami)

Over 77.5

-114

Under 77.5

-114

CJ Daniels (Miami)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Jordan Hudson (SMU)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Romello Brinson (SMU)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami)

Over 74.5

-114

Under 74.5

-114

T.J. Harden (SMU)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

CharMar Brown (Miami)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

Passing Yards

Kevin Jennings (SMU)

Over 249.5

-114

Under 249.5

-114

Carson Beck (Miami)

Over 242.5

-114

Under 242.5

-114

SMU Have Picked Up Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home

SMU own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 39.90 points on average and giving up 22.40.

Miami have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 34.20 points per contest while yielding 27.40.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
SMU Home Stats		8-2	62.30	39.90	22.40	6	4
Miami Away Stats		6-4	61.60	34.20	27.40	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 61.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.90 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 27.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 65.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.20 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.50 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Tech	8	0	288	160	128	5-0	3-0	8W
Virginia	7	1	297	179	118	5-0	2-1	6W
Louisville	6	1	242	150	92	4-1	2-0	2W
Miami	6	1	238	99	139	5-1	1-0	1W
Pittsburgh	6	2	322	176	146	4-1	2-1	4W
Wake Forest	5	2	187	132	55	3-2	2-0	3W
California	5	3	200	195	5	3-1	2-2	1L
SMU	5	3	251	171	80	3-1	2-2	1L
Duke	4	3	237	180	57	2-2	2-1	1L
NC State	4	4	244	239	5	3-1	1-3	2L
Clemson	3	4	182	146	36	1-3	2-1	1L
Florida State	3	4	278	158	120	3-2	0-2	4L
Stanford	3	5	140	236	-96	3-0	0-5	1L
Syracuse	3	5	203	250	-47	2-2	1-3	4L
Virginia Tech	3	5	203	239	-36	2-3	1-2	1W
North Carolina	2	5	128	167	-39	1-3	1-2	4L
Boston College	1	7	214	275	-61	1-3	0-4	7L