Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan State vs Minnesota

Michigan State clash with Minnesota in this NCAAF matchup at Huntington Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Will Minnesota Cover the Spread?

We’re bullish about Minnesota on the spread at -3.5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin in their clash against Michigan State and you can get odds of -106.

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Minnesota 27-12 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Michigan State Spartans suffered a fifth consecutive defeat when losing 31-20 in their previous game. This was at home to Michigan Wolverines at Spartan Stadium.

Minnesota Golden Gophers have won their last five home games. Most recently, they lost 41-3 on the road at Kinnick Stadium against Iowa Hawkeyes.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Huntington Bank Stadium, with Minnesota claiming the win. Beating Michigan State by a 27-12 scoreline.

Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Picks

Discover the top Michigan State vs Minnesota betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

Our pick is for Minnesota to cover the attractive -3.5 line in this college football showdown. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -106 is available.

We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Michigan State vs Minnesota stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Minnesota in 4 of their last 5 games at home this season.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Minnesota in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Minnesota in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.

Minnesota -3.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This college bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential payout.

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Best Bet

Minnesota -3.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Lindsey Over 208.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Drake Lindsey (Minnesota) to go accumulate over 208.5 passing yards stand at -114. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.

Latest Drake Lindsey Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 208.5

-114

Under 208.5

-114

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Nick Marsh Over 58.5 Receiving Yards -114

Nick Marsh (Minnesota) is priced at -114 to reach over 58.5 receiving yards. We’re confident in taking him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and bettors can place this bet with confidence.

Latest Nick Marsh Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan State 24 - 31 Minnesota

There’s the chance to land massive odds when it comes to a the Gophers correct score win. We’ll try a 31-24 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Michigan State vs Minnesota Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Giving Minnesota Plenty of Respect

Minnesota have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability due to their -161 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Michigan State, you will find +136 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 46.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 46.5, then the odds are -110.

If you're wagering on college football, it's a good idea to visit the top betting apps and browse the extensive selection of team props and game lines. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

MSU

+136

Minnesota

-161

Point Spread

MSU +3.5

-114

Minnesota -3.5

-106

Total Points

Under 46.5

-110

Over 46.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Nick Marsh (MSU)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Omari Kelly (MSU)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Le'Meke Brockington (Minnesota)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Makhi Frazier (MSU)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Minnesota Keep Delivering at Home

Minnesota have put together five straight wins at Huntington Bank Stadium. They have gone 8-2 across their last 10 home games, posting 30.90 points per contest while yielding 16.10.

Michigan State have been beaten seven straight times on the road. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games on the road, scoring 18.70 points per contest and conceding 32.00.

In their most recent matchup at Huntington Bank Stadium, Minnesota got the better of Michigan State 27-12.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O46.5	U46.5
Minnesota Home Stats		8-2	47.00	30.90	16.10	5	5
Michigan State Away Stats		2-8	50.70	18.70	32.00	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O46.5 = Games Over 46.5 Points
• U46.5 = Games Under 46.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 46.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 31.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.70 pts and allowed 32.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 46.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.90 pts and allowed 16.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Indiana	8	0	363	87	276	6-0	2-0	8W
Ohio State	7	0	255	41	214	4-0	3-0	7W
Oregon	7	1	330	108	222	4-1	3-0	2W
Iowa	6	2	250	105	145	4-1	2-1	3W
Michigan	6	2	232	139	93	4-0	2-2	2W
Nebraska	6	2	280	157	123	4-1	2-1	1W
Washington	6	2	284	167	117	4-1	2-1	1W
USC	5	2	297	162	135	4-0	1-2	1L
Northwestern	5	3	180	134	46	4-1	1-2	1L
Minnesota	5	3	191	174	17	5-0	0-3	1L
Illinois	5	3	263	220	43	3-1	2-2	2L
Maryland	4	3	198	121	77	3-2	1-1	3L
Rutgers	4	4	251	245	6	3-2	1-2	1W
Penn State	3	4	238	136	102	3-2	0-2	4L
Michigan State	3	5	210	260	-50	3-2	0-3	5L
UCLA	3	5	163	248	-85	2-2	1-3	1L
Purdue	2	6	183	222	-39	2-3	0-3	6L
Wisconsin	2	6	100	191	-91	2-3	0-3	6L