Michigan State vs Nebraska Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Michigan State vs Nebraska
Michigan State face Nebraska in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re Expecting a Big Nebraska Win
We’d be surprised if Nebraska don’t exceed a -11.5 spread against Michigan State. That is why the bet has to be for them to cover the line at -105.
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Michigan State Won 20-17 in Teams’ Previous Matchup
Michigan State Spartans suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 45-31 scoreline occurred on the road at Solider Field against USC Trojans.
Nebraska Cornhuskers were beaten 30-27 at Memorial Stadium in their last game, being turned over at home to Michigan Wolverines.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Michigan State who came out on top when they last played Nebraska. At Spartan Stadium, a 20-17 win was recorded.
Quarterbacks
Aidan Chiles
Dylan Raiola
Michigan State vs Nebraska Prediction & Picks
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Michigan State vs Nebraska betting preview covers it all.
Game Prediction
There’s everything to like about the -11.5 line that the favorites have to cover in this college football battle. Take the -105 and feel confident that Nebraska get the job done.
The formbook is always a smart starting point when making CFB predictions. Up-to-date team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.
Key Michigan State vs Nebraska stats:
Nebraska -11.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.
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Best Bet
Nebraska -11.5 @ -105
Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 195.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.
Makhi Frazier (Michigan State) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 69.5 rushing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Nebraska -11.5. We’ve also gone for Over 50.5 points and Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) to go Under 195.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
17
-
38
Nebraska
A 38-17 win for the Huskers is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a massive potential return.
Michigan State vs Nebraska Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Nebraska Big Favorites on the Moneyline
At betting odds of -455 with the sportsbooks, Nebraska are regarded as 82% likely to win this college game. Michigan State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +360.
11.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 50.5 right now. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 50.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.
If you’re planning to place a college football wager, visit the best betting apps and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.
Emmett Johnson Favorite to Score First TD
Emmett Johnson is the market leader to be First TD Scorer at +320. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to back him to register a touchdown at any stage at -263.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Nebraska With Seven Wins in Previous Ten Home Games
Nebraska have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 35.80 points on average and giving up 14.70.
Michigan State have stumbled to five straight defeats on the road. They have a 2-8 record in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 18.30 points on average and giving up 29.80.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O50.5 | U50.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nebraska Home Stats |
7-3 | 50.50 | 35.80 | 14.70 | 5 | 5 | |
 Michigan State Away Stats |
2-8 | 48.10 | 18.30 | 29.80 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
- U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
Nebraska Cornhuskers Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 50.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.00 pts and allowed 30.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.30 pts and allowed 29.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 48.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 50.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.50 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.80 pts and allowed 15.50 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Big Ten | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana
|
5 | 0 | 239 | 48 | 191 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
Maryland
|
4 | 0 | 130 | 43 | 87 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Ohio State
|
4 | 0 | 145 | 22 | 123 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Oregon
|
5 | 0 | 233 | 61 | 172 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Illinois
|
4 | 1 | 179 | 117 | 62 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 1W |
USC
|
4 | 1 | 242 | 115 | 127 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
Washington
|
3 | 1 | 173 | 79 | 94 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Penn State
|
3 | 1 | 156 | 47 | 109 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
|
Nebraska
|
3 | 1 | 174 | 54 | 120 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
3 | 1 | 134 | 65 | 69 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Michigan
|
3 | 1 | 140 | 71 | 69 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2W |
|
Michigan State
|
3 | 1 | 137 | 115 | 22 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Iowa
|
3 | 2 | 147 | 78 | 69 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
3 | 2 | 195 | 127 | 68 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Northwestern
|
2 | 2 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1W |
Purdue
|
2 | 2 | 112 | 106 | 6 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Wisconsin
|
2 | 2 | 83 | 75 | 8 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
UCLA
|
0 | 4 | 57 | 125 | -68 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4L |
Charlotte
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