Michigan vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 31 Dec 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan vs Texas

No. 18 Michigan go up against No. 13 Texas in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida, with kickoff scheduled for 15:00 on Wednesday, December 31.

There’s a great opportunity to back Michigan against the spread considering they should perform well against Texas. Snap up the -100 when it comes to the underdogs covering the +6.5.

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The Michigan Wolverines (9-3, 4th in Big Ten) saw their five-game winning streak come to an end with a 27–9 home loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Stadium in their last outing.

The Texas Longhorns (9-3, 5th in SEC) made it back-to-back wins with a 27–17 home victory over the Texas A&M Aggies in the Lone Star Showdown at DKR–Texas Memorial Stadium last time out.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 31-12 win for Texas at Michigan Stadium when they last played Michigan.

Michigan vs Texas Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Michigan vs Texas betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’ve lined up a pick which requires Michigan to keep close to the favorites in this college football showdown. We think that the +6.5 betting line can be covered and you can secure -100.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Michigan vs Texas stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Michigan in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Michigan in 4 of their last 5 games.

Michigan +6.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a way to go. Bet on Michigan to cover the line in a combination with other selections.

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Our Game Prediction

Michigan +6.5 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Michigan 27 - 24 Texas

We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take the Wolverines to win 27-24. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Michigan vs Texas Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Texas have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 74% probability due to their -278 Moneyline betting odds. At +225, Michigan are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 48.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 48.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Michigan

+225

Texas

-278

Point Spread

Michigan +6.5

-100

Texas -6.5

-122

Total Points

Under 48.5

-115

Over 48.5

-105

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to bet on Quarterback Passing Yards, First Touchdown Scorer and Passing Touchdowns as potential options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college football and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan Wolverines Stats

Texas Longhorns Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.00 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.70 pts and allowed 18.20 pts in the last 10 home games

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