Michigan vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 31 Dec 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Michigan vs Texas
No. 18 Michigan go up against No. 13 Texas in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Wednesday, December 31.
There’s a great opportunity to back Michigan against the spread considering they should perform well against Texas. Snap up the -100 when it comes to the underdogs covering the +6.5.
The Michigan Wolverines (9-3, 4th in Big Ten) saw their five-game winning streak come to an end with a 27–9 home loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Stadium in their last outing.
The Texas Longhorns (9-3, 5th in SEC) made it back-to-back wins with a 27–17 home victory over the Texas A&M Aggies in the Lone Star Showdown at DKR–Texas Memorial Stadium last time out.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 31-12 win for Texas at Michigan Stadium when they last played Michigan.
Quarterbacks
Bryce Underwood
Arch Manning
Michigan vs Texas Prediction & Picks
This Michigan vs Texas betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’ve lined up a pick which requires Michigan to keep close to the favorites in this college football showdown. We think that the +6.5 betting line can be covered and you can secure -100.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Michigan vs Texas stats:
Michigan +6.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a way to go. Bet on Michigan to cover the line in a combination with other selections.
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Player Prop Picks
Bryce Underwood (Michigan) is priced at -114 to go beyond 178.5 passing yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.
Arch Manning (Michigan) is available at -114 to accumulate over 23.5 rushing yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the Player Rushing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Michigan +6.5. We’ve also gone for Over 48.5 points and Bryce Underwood (Michigan) to have Over 178.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
27
-
24
Texas
We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take the Wolverines to win 27-24. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
Michigan vs Texas Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Texas have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability due to their -196 Moneyline betting odds. At +164, Michigan are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 49.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.
If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Favorite Jordan Marshall is priced at +600 to be the first player to score a touchdown. There’s also the chance to back him to score a TD at anytime at odds of -115.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college football and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
Texas Longhorns Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.00 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.70 pts and allowed 18.20 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
|
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
| Big Ten | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana
|
13 | 0 | 545 | 141 | 404 | 7-0 | 6-0 | 13W |
Ohio State
|
12 | 1 | 454 | 106 | 348 | 7-1 | 5-0 | 1L |
Oregon
|
11 | 1 | 458 | 178 | 280 | 6-1 | 5-0 | 6W |
|
Michigan
|
9 | 3 | 331 | 224 | 107 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 1L |
USC
|
9 | 3 | 438 | 269 | 169 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 1W |
Iowa
|
8 | 4 | 347 | 182 | 165 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 2W |
Illinois
|
8 | 4 | 352 | 279 | 73 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Washington
|
8 | 4 | 405 | 233 | 172 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
7 | 5 | 279 | 281 | -2 | 7-0 | 0-5 | 1W |
Nebraska
|
7 | 5 | 351 | 276 | 75 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 2L |
Northwestern
|
6 | 6 | 270 | 251 | 19 | 5-2 | 1-4 | 1L |
Penn State
|
6 | 6 | 381 | 257 | 124 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 3W |
Rutgers
|
5 | 7 | 344 | 382 | -38 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Wisconsin
|
4 | 8 | 154 | 259 | -105 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1L |
Maryland
|
4 | 8 | 282 | 318 | -36 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 8L |
Michigan State
|
4 | 8 | 295 | 359 | -64 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
UCLA
|
3 | 9 | 218 | 401 | -183 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 5L |
Purdue
|
2 | 10 | 225 | 382 | -157 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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