Mississippi State Bulldogs
American Football NCAAF Razorback Stadium Sat 1 Nov 16:00
Arkansas Razorbacks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Arkansas

Mississippi State meet Arkansas in this NCAAF matchup at Razorback Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

A Tight Matchup in Store

We’ve identified a betting angle for Arkansas vs Mississippi State on the totals. Our prediction is Under 65.5 points which can be backed at odds of -105.

Like our Totals selection? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code, then check out our review before placing your bet.

Hogs 58-25 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Mississippi State Bulldogs have been defeated in four straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Texas Longhorns by a 45-38 (OT) scoreline at Davis Wade Stadium.

Arkansas Razorbacks were defeated last time, making it six losses on the spin. Razorback Stadium saw them beaten 33-24 at home to Auburn Tigers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Arkansas and Mississippi State saw the former win. It was a 58-25 scoreline at Davis Wade Stadium. The previous 6 games have seen both teams achieve three victories.

Quarterbacks

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction & Picks

Your complete Mississippi State vs Arkansas betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 65.5 points in this college football matchup.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making college football predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our picks.

Key Mississippi State vs Arkansas stats:

  • The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Mississippi State games on the road.
  • The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Mississippi State games on the road.
  • The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Mississippi State games on the road.
  • The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Arkansas games at home.
  • The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Arkansas games.

Under 65.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Totals. Moving the line for your Under wager means the chance to secure bigger betting odds.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Best Bet

Under 65.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 22:27, 30 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Taylen Green Under 254.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Taylen Green (Arkansas) to record fewer than 254.5 passing yards are -114. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Taylen Green Player Prop Odds

Raylen Sharpe Under 45.5 Receiving Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Raylen Sharpe (Arkansas) to finish with fewer than 45.5 receiving yards stand at -114. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Raylen Sharpe Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 65.5
Spread Mississippi State +4.5
Passing Yards Taylen Green Under 254.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 65.5, along with Mississippi State +4.5 on the spread and Taylen Green (Arkansas) to have Under 254.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Mississippi State Mississippi State logo 30 - 28 Arkansas logo Arkansas

We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take Mississippi State to win 30-28. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Hogs Have the Shortest Odds to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Arkansas as -185 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. Mississippi State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +154.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 65.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 65.5, then the odds are -105.

You’ll find a great variety of team props and game lines for most college football showdowns. The best betting apps provide a strong mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

O'Mega Blake (Arkansas)
Over 70.5
-114
Under 70.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State)
Over 61.5
-114
Under 61.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Brenen Thompson (Mississippi State)
Over 61.5
-114
Under 61.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Raylen Sharpe (Arkansas)
Over 45.5
-114
Under 45.5
-114
BetMGM Logo

Rushing Yards

Mike Washington Jr. (Arkansas)
Over 77.5
-114
Under 77.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Taylen Green (Arkansas)
Over 61.5
-114
Under 61.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
BetMGM Logo

Passing Yards

Blake Shapen (Mississippi State)
Over 261.5
-114
Under 261.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Taylen Green (Arkansas)
Over 254.5
-114
Under 254.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
BetMGM Logo
Best Betting Offers
Razorback Stadium
Razorback Stadium

Arkansas Have Been Beaten in Last Three at Home

Arkansas have lost three straight at Razorback Stadium. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 27.30 points per contest and conceding 31.30.

Mississippi State own a 1-9 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 18.20 points on offense and surrendering 31.40 on defense.

In their most recent matchup at Razorback Stadium, Mississippi State got the better of Arkansas 7-3. Looking at the last 3 head-to-heads at Razorback Stadium, Mississippi State have tallied two victories, with Arkansas winning once.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O65.5 U65.5
Arkansas logo Arkansas Home Stats 4-6 58.60 27.30 31.30 3 7
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Away Stats 1-9 49.60 18.20 31.40 1 9
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O65.5 = Games Over 65.5 Points
  • U65.5 = Games Under 65.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs logo Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Arkansas Razorbacks logo Arkansas Razorbacks Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Southeastern W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Texas A&M 8 0 302 189 113 5-0 3-0 8W
Alabama 7 1 275 146 129 4-0 3-1 7W
Ole Miss 7 1 296 184 112 5-0 2-1 1W
Vanderbilt 7 1 307 150 157 5-0 2-1 2W
Georgia 6 1 236 137 99 4-1 2-0 3W
Missouri 6 2 283 134 149 5-1 1-1 1L
Oklahoma 6 2 227 100 127 4-1 2-1 1L
Tennessee 6 2 365 247 118 4-1 2-1 1W
Texas 6 2 232 117 115 4-0 2-2 3W
LSU 5 3 204 151 53 4-1 1-2 2L
Auburn 4 4 198 149 49 2-2 2-2 1W
Mississippi State 4 4 261 187 74 3-2 1-2 4L
Florida 3 4 157 140 17 3-1 0-3 1W
South Carolina 3 5 163 169 -6 3-3 0-2 3L
Kentucky 2 5 169 211 -42 2-3 0-2 4L
Arkansas 2 6 284 262 22 2-3 0-3 6L