Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Arkansas

Mississippi State meet Arkansas in this NCAAF matchup at Razorback Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

A Tight Matchup in Store

We’ve identified a betting angle for Arkansas vs Mississippi State on the totals. Our prediction is Under 65.5 points which can be backed at odds of -105.

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Hogs 58-25 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Mississippi State Bulldogs have been defeated in four straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Texas Longhorns by a 45-38 (OT) scoreline at Davis Wade Stadium.

Arkansas Razorbacks were defeated last time, making it six losses on the spin. Razorback Stadium saw them beaten 33-24 at home to Auburn Tigers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Arkansas and Mississippi State saw the former win. It was a 58-25 scoreline at Davis Wade Stadium. The previous 6 games have seen both teams achieve three victories.

Quarterbacks

Blake Shapen

261.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Taylen Green

254.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction & Picks

Your complete Mississippi State vs Arkansas betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 65.5 points in this college football matchup.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making college football predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our picks.

Key Mississippi State vs Arkansas stats:

• The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Mississippi State games on the road.
• The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Mississippi State games on the road.
• The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Mississippi State games on the road.
• The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Arkansas games at home.
• The 65.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Arkansas games.

Under 65.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Totals. Moving the line for your Under wager means the chance to secure bigger betting odds.

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Best Bet

Under 65.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Taylen Green Under 254.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Taylen Green (Arkansas) to record fewer than 254.5 passing yards are -114. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Taylen Green Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 254.5

-114

Under 254.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

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Raylen Sharpe Under 45.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Raylen Sharpe (Arkansas) to finish with fewer than 45.5 receiving yards stand at -114. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Raylen Sharpe Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Mississippi State 30 - 28 Arkansas

We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take Mississippi State to win 30-28. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Hogs Have the Shortest Odds to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Arkansas as -185 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. Mississippi State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +154.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 65.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 65.5, then the odds are -105.

You’ll find a great variety of team props and game lines for most college football showdowns. The best betting apps provide a strong mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Moneyline

Mississippi State

+154

Arkansas

-185

Point Spread

Mississippi State +4.5

-110

Arkansas -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 65.5

-105

Over 65.5

-115

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

O'Mega Blake (Arkansas)

Over 70.5

-114

Under 70.5

-114

Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Brenen Thompson (Mississippi State)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Raylen Sharpe (Arkansas)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

CJ Brown (Arkansas)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Mike Washington Jr. (Arkansas)

Over 77.5

-114

Under 77.5

-114

Taylen Green (Arkansas)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Passing Yards

Blake Shapen (Mississippi State)

Over 261.5

-114

Under 261.5

-114

Taylen Green (Arkansas)

Over 254.5

-114

Under 254.5

-114

Arkansas Have Been Beaten in Last Three at Home

Arkansas have lost three straight at Razorback Stadium. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 27.30 points per contest and conceding 31.30.

Mississippi State own a 1-9 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 18.20 points on offense and surrendering 31.40 on defense.

In their most recent matchup at Razorback Stadium, Mississippi State got the better of Arkansas 7-3. Looking at the last 3 head-to-heads at Razorback Stadium, Mississippi State have tallied two victories, with Arkansas winning once.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O65.5	U65.5
Arkansas Home Stats		4-6	58.60	27.30	31.30	3	7
Mississippi State Away Stats		1-9	49.60	18.20	31.40	1	9

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O65.5 = Games Over 65.5 Points
• U65.5 = Games Under 65.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats

Arkansas Razorbacks Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 65.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 65.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.20 pts and allowed 31.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 66.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 65.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 65.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.40 pts and allowed 31.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.20 pts and allowed 31.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas A&M	8	0	302	189	113	5-0	3-0	8W
Alabama	7	1	275	146	129	4-0	3-1	7W
Ole Miss	7	1	296	184	112	5-0	2-1	1W
Vanderbilt	7	1	307	150	157	5-0	2-1	2W
Georgia	6	1	236	137	99	4-1	2-0	3W
Missouri	6	2	283	134	149	5-1	1-1	1L
Oklahoma	6	2	227	100	127	4-1	2-1	1L
Tennessee	6	2	365	247	118	4-1	2-1	1W
Texas	6	2	232	117	115	4-0	2-2	3W
LSU	5	3	204	151	53	4-1	1-2	2L
Auburn	4	4	198	149	49	2-2	2-2	1W
Mississippi State	4	4	261	187	74	3-2	1-2	4L
Florida	3	4	157	140	17	3-1	0-3	1W
South Carolina	3	5	163	169	-6	3-3	0-2	3L
Kentucky	2	5	169	211	-42	2-3	0-2	4L
Arkansas	2	6	284	262	22	2-3	0-3	6L