Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Florida

Mississippi State battle Florida in this NCAAF Week 8 clash at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:15 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Get Ready for a Low-Scoring Matchup

We’re going for a modest total when Florida clash with Mississippi State. Under 50.5 could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -110.

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45-28 Win for Florida in Pair’s Last Encounter

Mississippi State Bulldogs have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Texas A&M Aggies won 31-9 at Kyle Field.

Florida Gators were beaten last game and this was on the road at Kyle Field. Texas A&M Aggies claimed a 34-17 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 45-28 win for Florida at Davis Wade Stadium when they last played Mississippi State.

Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Mississippi State vs Florida betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 50.5 points line. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -110 and hope the number isn’t reached in this college football showdown.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making CFB predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter picks.

Key Mississippi State vs Florida stats:

• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mississippi State games on the road.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Mississippi State games.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Florida games.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Florida games.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Florida games at home.

Under 50.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.

Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.

Best Bet

Under 50.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mississippi State 13 - 31 Florida

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to bet on the Gators on the correct score lines. For example, a 31-13 win in their favor is available at huge odds.

Mississippi State vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Florida Big Favorites on the Moneyline

Florida are regarded as having a 77% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -333. Mississippi State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +265.

The spread is 9.5 and the total points line is currently 51.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 51.5 at -110.

The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Mississippi State

+265

Florida

-333

Point Spread

Mississippi State +9.5

-110

Florida -9.5

-110

Total Points

Under 51.5

-110

Over 51.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the quarterback and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The gambling sites will provide lots of options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college football and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Florida Have Picked Up Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home

Florida have a 8-2 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 32.10 points on average and giving up 15.30.

Mississippi State own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 16.80 points on offense and surrendering 29.40 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Florida Home Stats		8-2	47.40	32.10	15.30	4	6
Mississippi State Away Stats		2-8	46.20	16.80	29.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats

Florida Gators Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 23.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.80 pts and allowed 29.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 17.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.10 pts and allowed 15.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Ole Miss	6	0	227	115	112	5-0	1-0	6W
Texas A&M	6	0	208	122	86	5-0	1-0	6W
Alabama	5	1	209	104	105	3-0	2-1	5W
Georgia	5	1	193	102	91	3-1	2-0	2W
LSU	5	1	155	71	84	4-0	1-1	1W
Missouri	5	1	250	100	150	5-1	0-0	1L
Oklahoma	5	1	175	59	116	4-0	1-1	1L
Tennessee	5	1	289	176	113	4-1	1-0	3W
Vanderbilt	5	1	259	116	143	3-0	2-1	1L
Mississippi State	4	2	202	119	83	3-1	1-1	2L
Texas	4	2	171	66	105	4-0	0-2	1W
Auburn	3	3	148	102	46	2-1	1-2	3L
South Carolina	3	3	134	114	20	3-1	0-2	1L
Kentucky	2	3	122	139	-17	2-1	0-2	2L
Arkansas	2	4	218	184	34	2-1	0-3	4L
Florida	2	4	134	119	15	2-1	0-3	1L