Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Florida
Mississippi State battle Florida in this NCAAF Week 8 clash at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:15 on Saturday, October 18. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re going for a modest total when Florida clash with Mississippi State. Under 50.5 could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -110.
Like our Totals selection? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code, then check out our review before placing your bet.
Mississippi State Bulldogs have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Texas A&M Aggies won 31-9 at Kyle Field.
Florida Gators were beaten last game and this was on the road at Kyle Field. Texas A&M Aggies claimed a 34-17 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 45-28 win for Florida at Davis Wade Stadium when they last played Mississippi State.
Quarterbacks
Blake Shapen
DJ Lagway
Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction & Picks
We dive into the top Mississippi State vs Florida betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 50.5 points line. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -110 and hope the number isn’t reached in this college football showdown.
Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making CFB predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter picks.
Key Mississippi State vs Florida stats:
Under 50.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.
Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Eugene Wilson III (Florida) to make it to the end zone are +185. He looks like a value bet to punch it in and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer pick.
You can place a bet on Jadan Baugh (Mississippi State) at -114 to record fewer than 77.5 rushing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Rushing Yards wager is worth backing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Under 50.5, Florida -9.5 on the spread and Eugene Wilson III (Florida) scoring a touchdown.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
13
-
31
Florida
There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to bet on the Gators on the correct score lines. For example, a 31-13 win in their favor is available at huge odds.
Mississippi State vs Florida Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Florida are regarded as having a 78% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -345. Mississippi State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +280.
The spread is 9.5 and the total points line is currently 51.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 51.5 at -115.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
There is -250 available that Jadan Baugh scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +310.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college football and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
Florida Have Picked Up Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home
Florida have a 8-2 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 32.10 points on average and giving up 15.30.
Mississippi State own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 16.80 points on offense and surrendering 29.40 on defense.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O50.5 | U50.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Home Stats |
8-2 | 47.40 | 32.10 | 15.30 | 4 | 6 | |
 Mississippi State Away Stats |
2-8 | 46.20 | 16.80 | 29.40 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
- U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Florida Gators Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 23.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.80 pts and allowed 29.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 42.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 50.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 17.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.10 pts and allowed 15.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
11 | 1 | 387 | 200 | 187 | 6-1 | 5-0 | 8W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Alabama
|
10 | 2 | 399 | 198 | 201 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 2W |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
|
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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