Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Missouri
Mississippi State square off against Missouri at Faurot Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 on Saturday, November 15.
We’re very excited to see Missouri at -7.5 on the spread and think it’s a great number for the favorites to cover in their clash against Mississippi State at -100.
Backing our spread pick? Read our in-depth review of the BetMGM sportsbook, then unlock the exclusive promo code to make your wager go further.
Mississippi State Bulldogs lost when they last took to the field. At Davis Wade Stadium, they were turned over 41-21 at home to Georgia Bulldogs.
Missouri Tigers have lost back-to-back games, most recently suffering a 38-17 home defeat to Texas A&M Aggies at Faurot Field.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Missouri claim a 39-20 win over Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium.
Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction & Picks
We dive into the best Mississippi State vs Missouri betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
We expect Missouri to cover the -7.5 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -100 for this college football matchup.
We only publish our CFB predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.
Key Mississippi State vs Missouri stats:
Mizzou -7.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
The sportsbooks give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Matt Zollers (Missouri) at -114 to record more than 166.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.
The odds for Fluff Bothwell (Missouri) to reach over 44.5 rushing yards are -114. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this Player Rushing Yards pick.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Missouri to cover the -7.5 spread, Over 51.5 on the total and Matt Zollers (Missouri) to go Over 166.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
20
-
34
Missouri
A 34-20 win for the Tigers is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a massive potential return.
Mississippi State vs Missouri Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this college game, Missouri might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -256 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Mississippi State are least likely to win at +210.
The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 51.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to bet Under 51.5, there are odds of -110.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
There is -233 available that Ahmad Hardy scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +370.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college football. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Drive Result and Next Play Result are often among the options.
Missouri Have Picked Up Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home
Missouri have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 34.60 points per contest and conceding 19.90.
Mississippi State own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, scoring 20.70 points per contest and conceding 32.20.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Missouri Home Stats |
8-2 | 54.50 | 34.60 | 19.90 | 5 | 5 | |
 Mississippi State Away Stats |
2-8 | 52.90 | 20.70 | 32.20 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Missouri Tigers Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 58.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.00 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 52.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.70 pts and allowed 19.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 35.20 pts and allowed 20.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
11 | 1 | 387 | 200 | 187 | 6-1 | 5-0 | 8W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Alabama
|
10 | 2 | 399 | 198 | 201 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 2W |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
|
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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