Missouri State vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Dec 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Arkansas State
Missouri State face Arkansas State in the Xbox Bowl at Hancock Whitney Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Thursday, December 18.
Missouri State look great value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that the Bears will claim a victory over Arkansas State. We’re happy to take the -102 that they win.
Missouri State Bears (7-5, 4th in CUSA) have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Robert W. Plaster Stadium, they were turned over 42-30 by Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.
Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-6, 2nd in Sun Belt - West) have suffered two consecutive home losses. Their last game was a 30-29 road triumph at Kidd Brewer Stadium when meeting Appalachian State Mountaineers.
Quarterbacks
Jacob Clark
Jaylen Raynor
Missouri State vs Arkansas State Prediction & Picks
From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Missouri State vs Arkansas State betting tips covers it all.
Game Prediction
We’re backing Missouri State on the moneyline at -102 to win the Xbox Bowl, as we like the odds for the Bears to come out on top against the Wolves.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.
Key Missouri State vs Arkansas State stats:
Missouri State Moneyline Probability
Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
We’d recommend taking a look at the Result & Total and Double Result lines if you’re interested in siding with Missouri State but want bigger odds.
Top up your wagering strategy by unlocking the top betting offers including free bets, promos, and sign-up deals.
Player Prop Picks
Dash Luke (Missouri State) is priced at +185 to score a TD. We believe this is the best of the player props, with attractive odds available when it comes to betting him to score a touchdown at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out this same game parlay which starts with Missouri State on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Under 54.5 points and Dash Luke (Missouri State) scoring a touchdown.
The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
21
Arkansas State
Rather than backing Missouri State to triumph, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 28-21 win in their favor.
Missouri State vs Arkansas State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The betting odds about Arkansas State winning is -116, with Missouri State priced up at -102 to achieve victory. There is a 54% chance of the hosts winning according to the top sportsbooks.
1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 54.5 right now. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. There’s the chance to back Under 54.5 at -102.
Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on college football, the top betting apps let you feast on a wide range of team props and game lines. The selections are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many options at your fingertips.
Shomari Lawrence is favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +550. If you want to back him to score the last TD, you can get similar odds.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Bears Stats
Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 51.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 54.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.10 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.90 pts and allowed 33.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 54.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.70 pts and allowed 24.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.60 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 home games
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
12 | 1 | 485 | 206 | 279 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 11W |
Old Dominion
|
9 | 3 | 392 | 231 | 161 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 5W |
Troy
|
8 | 5 | 316 | 318 | -2 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 1L |
Southern Miss
|
7 | 5 | 358 | 329 | 29 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 3L |
Coastal Carolina
|
6 | 6 | 274 | 407 | -133 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3L |
|
Arkansas State
|
6 | 6 | 293 | 328 | -35 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1W |
Louisiana
|
6 | 6 | 325 | 360 | -35 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 4W |
Georgia Southern
|
6 | 6 | 334 | 410 | -76 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1W |
Texas State
|
6 | 6 | 433 | 367 | 66 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3W |
Marshall
|
5 | 7 | 369 | 363 | 6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2L |
Appalachian State
|
5 | 7 | 304 | 358 | -54 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1L |
South Alabama
|
4 | 8 | 318 | 365 | -47 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
UL Monroe
|
3 | 9 | 199 | 383 | -184 | 2-3 | 1-6 | 8L |
Georgia State
|
1 | 11 | 237 | 454 | -217 | 1-5 | 0-6 | 9L |
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
|
10 | 3 | 368 | 316 | 52 | 6-0 | 4-3 | 3W |
Western Kentucky
|
8 | 4 | 357 | 281 | 76 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2L |
Jacksonville State
|
8 | 5 | 377 | 340 | 37 | 5-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
FIU
|
7 | 5 | 351 | 333 | 18 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 4W |
Louisiana Tech
|
7 | 5 | 332 | 256 | 76 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 2W |
|
Missouri State
|
7 | 5 | 305 | 340 | -35 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 2L |
Delaware Blue Hens
|
6 | 6 | 357 | 390 | -33 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1W |
Liberty
|
4 | 8 | 307 | 318 | -11 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
New Mexico State
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 331 | -72 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1L |
M. Tennessee
|
3 | 9 | 269 | 371 | -102 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2W |
Sam Houston
|
2 | 10 | 213 | 454 | -241 | 1-4 | 1-6 | 2L |
UTEP
|
2 | 10 | 280 | 365 | -85 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 5L |
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